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Showing 241-288 of 928 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiScience and Technology
Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
K 60.4K contracts1 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 8%
5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 4.5%
2 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
PM $19.7KWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 39.5%
Will Édouard Philippe win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 26%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 14.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
K 59.7K contractsWill Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
PM $18.5KWill Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 37.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 24%
Will Marine Le Pen win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 15%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund in 2026?
K 57.2K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Mike Lindell has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Enrique Tarrio has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that anyone has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
PM $18.2KWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Yes 8.8%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Yes 8.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
K 57.1K contractsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?Yes 51.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
PM $16.7KWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame expansion be completed?
K 56.0K contractsWill Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 86.5%
Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 76.5%
Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 76.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Next Israeli Minister of Interior?
PM $16.5KWill no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes 38%
Will Yoav Ben-Tzur be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Yes 20.5%
Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Yes 7.2%
+15 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
K 55.7K contractsWill Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Apr 2027?Yes 68%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Mar 2027?Yes 43%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Feb 2027?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
PM $16.4KWill Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 96%
Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 84%
Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 47.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
K 54.6K contractsManned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout
PM $16.3KWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?Yes 56.5%
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?Yes 18%
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?Yes 16.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Next Gemini Pro model release
K 54.3K contractsWill Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 20%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?
PM $15.1KWill Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 64%
Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 34.5%
Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 0.9%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
K 53.4K contractsWill any LLM score at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will any LLM score at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98%
Will any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?
PM $14.9KWill RZP-Zehut win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 35.5%
Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 28%
Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 16%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
K 53.0K contractsWill Joan Smalls be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Ashley Graham be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 97%
Will Adriana Lima be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 95%
+34 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?
PM $14.5KWill UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 68.5%
Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 21.7%
Will UTJ win 9-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 10%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Baltimore vs Cleveland: Rushing Attempts
K 52.8K contractsTyler Huntley: 2+ rushing attemptsYes 99.5%
Deshaun Watson: 4+ rushing attemptsYes 83%
Derrick Henry: 18+ rushing attemptsYes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
PM $14.1KFrance declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.8%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?Yes 2.3%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Katie Zacharia say during Saturday in America?
K 52.8K contractsWhat will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Event does not qualify)Yes 99.5%
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Trump (3+ times))Yes 0.5%
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tariff)Yes 0.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?
PM $14.1KZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
Novak Djokovic: Retirement
PM $13.7K · K 25.7K contractsWill Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Novak Djokovic announce their retirement before the 2027 ATP season?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 5%
Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 1.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will release a new song this year?
K 51.2K contractsWill Tate McRae release a new song 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Lil Nas X release a new song 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will The Marías release a new song 2026?Yes 84%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18
K 50.9K contractsWill OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 174T tokens?Yes 11%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 166T tokens?Yes 7.5%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 172T tokens?Yes 6%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?
PM $12.9KWill Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 38%
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 23.2%
Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 20%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
K 50.6K contractsWill new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 950 units?Yes 97.5%
Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 1,100 units?Yes 97.5%
Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 1,250 units?Yes 89%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Together # of seats?
PM $12.9KWill Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 32%
Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 31.5%
Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 22%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
K 50.1K contractsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2040)Yes 51.4%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2035)Yes 47.6%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2030)Yes 30.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by...?
PM $12.9KLeopold Aschenbrenner charged by December 31, 2027?Yes 23%
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by June 30, 2027?Yes 8%
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?Yes 4.7%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
K 48.8K contractsWill Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 62.5%
Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 60.5%
Will Religious Zionist Party be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 55.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Next Prime Minister of Latvia?
PM $12.8KWill Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?Yes 95.5%
Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?Yes 0.7%
Will Viktors Valainis be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?Yes 0.7%
+5 more
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
K 48.3K contractsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2040)Yes 61.5%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2035)Yes 51.3%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2030)Yes 37.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place
PM $12.4KWill ARENA win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 29.5%
Will PCN win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 28.5%
Will Vamos win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th
K 47.3K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Xiaomi)Yes 76%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Alibaba)Yes 12%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Moonshot)Yes 3%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?
PM $12.3KWill United Torah Judaism win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 54.5%
Will United Torah Judaism win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 35%
Will United Torah Judaism win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 14.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
K 47.3K contractsWill Tina Kotek underperform Kamala Harris in Oregon?Yes 95%
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala Harris in Maine?Yes 84%
Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala Harris in New York?Yes 45%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round?Yes 51.5%
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by 3%-6%?Yes 22.5%
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by less than 3%?Yes 15.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner?
PM $11.5K · K 3.5K contractsWill SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
Kalshi: Will SDA win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 61.5%
Will HDZ BiH win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
Kalshi: Will HDZ BiH win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 50%
Will NiP win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
Kalshi: Will NiP win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 40%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world?
K 46.9K contractsWill Jeff Bezos be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 90.5%
Will Larry Page be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 85%
Will Elon Musk be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Hits + Runs + RBIs
K 46.6K contractsChandler Simpson: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?Yes 71.5%
Yandy Díaz: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?Yes 69%
Steven Kwan: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?Yes 67.5%
+75 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
PM $11.1KScrewworm National Emergency declared by December 31?Yes 13.5%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?Yes 6.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
K 43.3K contractsWill Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 51.5%
Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 31%
Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 25.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?
PM $11.0KVenezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by December 31?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Heisman Trophy Finalists
K 43.3K contractsWill Jeremiah Smith be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes 87%
Will Trinidad Chambliss be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes 56%
Will CJ Carr be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes 50.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PM $11.0KWill SNSD win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 94.8%
Will DF win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 4%
Will SDP BiH win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 2.9%
+4 more