Economics prediction markets
1,573 economics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 289-336 of 1,573 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
PM $34.7K · K 3.30M contractsObama federally charged before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Barack Obama be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?
Needs review
PM Yes 4.5%Review neededK Yes 4.7%
Obama federally charged before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Barack Obama be arrested before Jan 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.5%Rules differK Yes 2.7%
Obama arrested before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Barack Obama be arrested before Jan 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.7%Rules differK Yes 2.7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026
K 66.4K contractsWill the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 15.5 million barrels?Yes 97.5%
Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 16.0 million barrels?Yes 82.5%
Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 16.5 million barrels?Yes 76.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2026?
PM $34.0K · K 422.4K contractsNegative GDP growth in 2026?
Kalshi: GDP growth in 2026? (0.0% or Below)
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 0.4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Norwegian Cruise passengers carried in 2026
K 66.4K contractsWill Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.1 million passengers carried in 2026?Yes 95%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.15 million passengers carried in 2026?Yes 89.5%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.2 million passengers carried in 2026?Yes 85%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Nevada visitor volume in 2026
K 66.1K contractsWill Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?Yes 95.5%
Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 48 million?Yes 92.5%
Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 49 million?Yes 90.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?
PM $33.3KWill US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Yes 23%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by October 30, 2026?Yes 6%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026?Yes 3%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: 1st Touchdown
K 64.9K contractsKenneth Walker III: 1st TouchdownYes 21.5%
Travis Kelce: 1st TouchdownYes 10.5%
Xavier Worthy: 1st TouchdownYes 9.5%
+25 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
PM $32.9KWill Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?Yes 41%
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes 29.5%
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Yes 12%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US share of global GDP in 2026
K 63.3K contractsWill U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.2%?Yes 98.5%
Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.1%?Yes 98.5%
Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.4%?Yes 97.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
PM $32.5KWill Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?Yes 55%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 13.4%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will rates hit zero in 2026?
K 62.6K contractsWill rates hit zero in 2026?Yes 3.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?
PM $32.0KWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 in October?Yes 93.5%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?Yes 71.5%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?Yes 61.9%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
K 61.3K contractsMore white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?Yes 42.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?
PM $31.9KIntuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?Yes 51.5%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?Yes 23%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?Yes 16.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
K 60.2K contractsWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 22, 2027?Yes 70%
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Mar 15, 2027?Yes 66.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
JIO Platforms IPO by...?
PM $31.8KWill Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
K 59.5K contractsWill **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q4 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q4 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q4 2026?Yes 79%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
PM $31.5KLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes 7.6%
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?Yes 3.2%
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?Yes 0.6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
PM $31.5KWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?Yes 18.9%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?Yes 12%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?Yes 10.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?
K 59.2K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?Yes 98%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?Yes 97%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?Yes 96.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Mar 2027?
K 57.8K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their March 2027 meeting?Yes 58%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their March 2027 meeting?Yes 32.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their March 2027 meeting?Yes 5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jun 16, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomics
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
PM $31.5KWill no one dissent the December Fed decision?Yes 44.5%
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?Yes 29.3%
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?Yes 10.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Apr 2027?
K 57.2K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their April 2027 meeting?Yes 66.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their April 2027 meeting?Yes 22.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their April 2027 meeting?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jul 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
PM $30.5KSpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?Yes 2.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Oura officially announce an IPO?
K 57.0K contractsWhen will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Oct 1, 2027)Yes 89.5%
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 82%
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Jul 1, 2027)Yes 81%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
PM $30.3KTrump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Connecticut gas prices tomorrow
K 56.9K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.3350?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3300?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3250?Yes 99%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomics
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
PM $30.1KWill no one dissent the October Fed decision?Yes 27.5%
Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?Yes 24.5%
Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?Yes 17.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
K 56.8K contractsWill the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?Yes 86%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,000?Yes 73.5%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,250?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Sep 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
PM $29.4KWill Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 24%
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Yes 24%
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 18%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
European Central Bank rate decision in October
K 56.7K contractsWill the European Central Bank Maintain current rate at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 95.5%
Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 4%
Will the European Central Bank Cut 1-25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 1%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
PM $29.1KWill Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?Yes 31%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 16.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?
K 56.2K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?Yes 96.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?Yes 96.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?Yes 96%
+22 moreNext deadline Mar 24, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?
PM $28.2KWill the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?Yes 48.5%
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $397,000 and $407,000 on December 31?Yes 25.1%
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $407,000 and $417,000 on December 31?Yes 15%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
K 55.0K contractsWill the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.74 on Dec 31, 2026?Yes 85%
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.99 on Dec 31, 2026?Yes 74%
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 5.09 on Dec 31, 2026?Yes 63.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
PM $27.7KBank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Yes 69%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will DXY get in 2026?
K 54.9K contractsWill the price of the USDX be above 101.75 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the price of the USDX be above 102 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 99%
Will the price of the USDX be above 103 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 69.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
PM $27.1KWill Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes 28%
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes 15.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Timber harvested from Oregon BOF lands in FY2027
K 53.9K contractsWill timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 160 million board feet?Yes 96.5%
Will timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 180 million board feet?Yes 85%
Will timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 200 million board feet?Yes 44.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
PM $26.7KWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?Yes 47%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?Yes 43.5%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?Yes 4.7%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Sep 2027?
K 53.0K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2027 meeting?Yes 82%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2027 meeting?Yes 10.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their September 2027 meeting?Yes 7%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?
PM $26.2KAmazon 2026 capex above $170B?Yes 99.3%
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?Yes 96.2%
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?Yes 94.8%
+3 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Katie Zacharia say during Saturday in America?
K 52.8K contractsWhat will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Event does not qualify)Yes 99.5%
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Trump (3+ times))Yes 0.5%
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tariff)Yes 0.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
PM $26.0K · K 31.50M contractsNo comparable saved prices
0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?
K 52.5K contractsWill U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?Yes 49%
1 mktNext deadline Jun 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in October 2026?
PM $25.8KWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 in October?Yes 91.5%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $65 in October?Yes 68%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 in October?Yes 52.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
NASDAQ-100 price at year-end?
K 51.9K contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 84%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 82%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 55%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Brazil decision in December?
PM $25.8KWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes 54.5%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes 25%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?Yes 16%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC