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Showing 3,553-3,600 of 7,936 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
New York's 17th District margin of victory
K 5.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 29%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 15.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 7.8%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best AI model on October 26?
PM $14.8KWill gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 9%
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 4.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which Senate races will be within 1 point?
K 5.8K contractsWill the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?Yes 18%
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Maine be decided by 1 percentage point or less?Yes 16.5%
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan be decided by 1 percentage point or less?Yes 16%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NJ-10 House election: LaMonica McIver vote percent
K 5.8K contractsWill LaMonica McIver receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will LaMonica McIver receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will LaMonica McIver receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $14.8KWill Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Yes 72%
Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Yes 24.1%
Will Li Wu Ying-chih win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Yes <0.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-12 House election: James Hayes vote percent
K 5.8K contractsWill James Hayes receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will James Hayes receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?Yes 86.5%
Will James Hayes receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?Yes 76.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 18.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump order more tariffs in Oct 2026?
K 5.8K contractsWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Oct 2026?Yes 26.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $14.7KWill GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 53%
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?Yes 22%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
K 5.8K contractsWill the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?Yes 4.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory
K 5.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 97%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 96.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 96.2%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Hampshire Senate Election: Turnout
PM $14.7KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 650,000 and 700,000?Yes 40%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 700,000 and 750,000?Yes 25.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 600,000 and 650,000?Yes 23.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027
K 5.7K contractsWho will hold the WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Agit Kabayel)Yes 80.5%
Who will hold the WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Andrii Novitskyi)Yes 47.5%
Who will hold the WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Joseph Parker)Yes 47.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 96.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 93.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 6th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 88.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 24.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-03 House election: Clifton Brown vote percent
K 5.7K contractsWill Clifton Brown receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 67.5%
Will Clifton Brown receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 29.5%
Will Clifton Brown receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?
K 5.7K contractsWill Trump approve a new city on federal land before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 35%
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 16%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 37.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 16.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee
K 5.7K contractsWill Justin Amash be the nominee for the Presidency for the Libertarian party?Yes 29.5%
Will Chase Oliver be the nominee for the Presidency for the Libertarian party?Yes 11.5%
Will Jo Jorgensen be the nominee for the Presidency for the Libertarian party?Yes 7.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-19 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 14%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy?
K 5.7K contractsWill Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 22.5%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 12%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?
PM $14.7KWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?Yes 3.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?
K 5.7K contractsWill Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?Yes 39%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 27, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 35%-40%?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Treg Taylor drop out?
K 5.7K contractsWill Treg Taylor drop out of the 2026 Alaska Governor race before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska State Senate winner?
K 5.7K contractsWho will win the Alaska State Senate? (Republican party)Yes 89.5%
Who will win the Alaska State Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the blue slip process be removed?
K 5.7K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee holds a hearing for, or votes to report, a district-court or U.S.-attorney nomination associated with a state where a sitting home-state senator has not returned an affirmative blue slip before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 39%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee holds a hearing for, or votes to report, a district-court or U.S.-attorney nomination associated with a state where a sitting home-state senator has not returned an affirmative blue slip before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 30%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee holds a hearing for, or votes to report, a district-court or U.S.-attorney nomination associated with a state where a sitting home-state senator has not returned an affirmative blue slip before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado's 4th District margin of victory
K 5.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 4th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 63.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 39.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 29%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Michigan's 8th District margin of victory
K 5.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 2.1%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
PM $14.6KWill OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Yes 50.5%
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Yes 42.5%
Will Xiaomi have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Yes 0.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SD-AL House winner?
K 5.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for SD-AL?Yes 96%
Will Democratic win the House race for SD-AL?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Plzeň
PM $14.6KWill Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 97.8%
Will Lukáš Hegner be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 1.4%
Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 1.3%
+4 more
KalshiTech
When will Bald Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 5.6K contractsWill Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 57%
Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 55%
Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 52.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: which party wins young men?
K 5.6K contractsWill Democrats win young men (18-29) in the exit poll?Yes 85%
Will Republicans win young men (18-29) in the exit poll?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 19.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 15.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-12 House election: Wilneida Negron vote percent
K 5.6K contractsWill Wilneida Negron receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 17.5%
Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 8.5%
Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 6%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which Dems will underperform Kamala?
PM $14.6KWill Tina Kotek underperform Kamala in Oregon?Yes 93%
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala in Maine?Yes 79%
Will Peggy Flanagan underperform Kamala in Minnesota?Yes 67%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CT-05 House election: Jahana Hayes vote percent
K 5.6K contractsWill Jahana Hayes receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jahana Hayes receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-05 House election?Yes 94%
Will Jahana Hayes receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-05 House election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 27.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC