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Showing 4,033-4,080 of 11,171 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Minnesota's 7th District margin of victory
K 3.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 7th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 7th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 7th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?
K 3.3K contractsWill Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 51%
Will Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 50%
Will Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 47%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OK-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

WV-02 House winner?
K 3.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for WV-02?Yes 96.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for WV-02?Yes 3.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?
PM $11.5KWill Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 34.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 30.5%
Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 25.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IL-14 House winner?
K 3.3K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for IL-14?Yes 96.1%
Will Republican win the House race for IL-14?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Trenčín Region Governor Election Winner
PM $11.5KWill Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
Will Natália Svítková win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will a bill that directly funds HSAs/FSAs become law?
K 3.3K contractsWill legislation that channels government funds directly into HSAs and/or FSAs become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Los Angeles County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
K 3.3K contractsWill Xavier Becerra receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Los Angeles County, California?Yes 96%
Will Xavier Becerra receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Los Angeles County, California?Yes 93%
Will Xavier Becerra receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Los Angeles County, California?Yes 86%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-29 House election: Sylvia Garcia vote percent
K 3.3K contractsWill Sylvia Garcia receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-29 House election?Yes 88%
Will Sylvia Garcia receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-29 House election?Yes 79.5%
Will Sylvia Garcia receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-29 House election?Yes 66.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?
PM $11.4KPaxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?Yes 7.6%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
PM $11.4K · K 31.8K contractsCalifornia voter ID referendum passes?
Kalshi: Will the 2026 California Voter ID initiative pass?
Related contracts
PM Yes 16.5%Rules differK Yes 20%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

In what year will the next UK general election be held?
K 3.3K contractsWill it be confirmed that 2029 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?Yes 66.5%
Will it be confirmed that 2028 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?Yes 38.5%
Will it be confirmed that 2027 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?Yes 16%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
K 3.3K contractsWill Alice Weidel become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?Yes 38%
Will Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?Yes 17.5%
Will No one become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?Yes 8.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Aug 26, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Rhode Island Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?Yes 37%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 13.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Turkey rate decision in October
K 3.3K contractsWill the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye cut 1-250bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 81.5%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 17%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye hike 1-250bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 3.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

SD-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 20%-25%?Yes 41.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 25%-30%?Yes 14.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MO-08 House election: Christopher Reichard vote percent
K 3.3K contractsWill Christopher Reichard receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-08 House election?Yes 97%
Will Christopher Reichard receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-08 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Christopher Reichard receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-08 House election?Yes 93%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Dems' best tossup Senate race?
PM $11.3KWill the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 31%
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 24.5%
Will the Maine Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 19%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
K 3.3K contractsWill Fireworks Initiative pass?Yes 53.5%
Will War Materiel Act amendment pass?Yes 43.5%
Will AHV VAT financing pass?Yes 20.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 35%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 16.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

MVP Finalists
K 3.3K contractsWill Josh Allen be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Most Valuable Player award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 57.5%
Will Bijan Robinson be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Most Valuable Player award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 53%
Will Trevor Lawrence be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Most Valuable Player award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 51.5%
+38 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes 37%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 13.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Illinois's 3rd District margin of victory
K 3.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 3rd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 90.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 3rd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 3rd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

New Hampshire Governor margin of victory
K 3.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New Hampshire be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 34.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 28.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22.2%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Vermont Governor election: Phil Scott vote percent
K 3.3K contractsWill Phil Scott receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 95%
Will Phil Scott receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 83%
Will Phil Scott receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 65%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

SC-05 House Election Winner
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 92.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Minnesota's 8th District margin of victory
K 3.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 76.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 59.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?
PM $11.1KWill voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 56.5%
Will voters pick the 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver "Peacemaker" (.45 Colt) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 19%
Will voters pick the Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 10.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

North Dakota governor winner? (2028)
K 3.3K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in North DakotaYes 86%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in North DakotaYes 14.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NM-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 21%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-13 House winner?
K 3.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NY-13?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for NY-13?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?
K 3.2K contractsWill Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 75.5%
Will Summer Lee announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 70.5%
Will Chris Deluzio announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 62.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 16, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Indiana's 1st District margin of victory
K 3.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 87%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 78.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 69%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner
PM $11.1KWill the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 24.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OK-05 House election: Stephanie Bice vote percent
K 3.2K contractsWill Stephanie Bice receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 88%
Will Stephanie Bice receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 76%
Will Stephanie Bice receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more?Yes 41.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Croat member of the Presidency winner?
K 3.2K contractsWill Darijana Filipovic win the 2026 election for the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes 98%
Will Slaven Kovacevic win the 2026 election for the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes 2%
Will Zdenko Lucic win the 2026 election for the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?
PM $11.0KWill the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 76%
Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 19%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto

ETH price range on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
K 3.2K contractsEthereum price at Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT? ($2,370 to 2,409.99)Yes 16%
Ethereum price at Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT? ($2,410 to 2,449.99)Yes 15.5%
Ethereum price at Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT? ($2,330 to 2,369.99)Yes 13.5%
+47 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Rhode Island Senate Election: Turnout
PM $11.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?Yes 57.4%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 300,000 and 350,000?Yes 18.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 400,000 and 450,000?Yes 17%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC