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Showing 481-528 of 7,549 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate
How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
K 85.2K contractsWill there be more than 4 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 6.5%
Will there be more than 5 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 4.5%
Will there be more than 6 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 2%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump visit Greenland by...?
PM $356.3KWill Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Yes 8.5%
Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?Yes 0.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-10 House winner?
K 84.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-10?Yes 83.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-10?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
PM $355.2KUAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes 5.6%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Top U.S. Streamed Song (On-Demand Audio): 2026
K 84.3K contractsWill Choosin’ Texas be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Most-Streamed Songs of 2026 in U.S. (On-Demand Audio), as Published by Billboard?Yes 93%
Will SWIM be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Most-Streamed Songs of 2026 in U.S. (On-Demand Audio), as Published by Billboard?Yes 2%
Will Ordinary be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Most-Streamed Songs of 2026 in U.S. (On-Demand Audio), as Published by Billboard?Yes 2%
+21 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?
PM $354.7KSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?Yes 16%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How high will gas prices in New York get this year?
K 83.9K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above or below $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 60.1%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 29.9%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.20 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
PM $352.4KWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Yes 95%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Yes 2.9%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 0.9%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
K 83.4K contractsWill the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 182 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?Yes 91.5%
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 186 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?Yes 88%
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 190 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?Yes 78.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PM $350.6KWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of England rate decision in November
PM $346.2K · K 10.1K contractsBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 93.5%Rules differK Yes 94.5%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 6%
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ljubljana mayoral election winner?
K 83.4K contractsWill Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Yes 67%
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Yes 16.5%
Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Yes 6.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-02 House winner?
K 83.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MO-02?Yes 76.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for MO-02?Yes 24.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PM $343.6KWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes 4.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Red wave in 2026?
K 82.9K contractsRed wave in 2026?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
PM $342.0KWill Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 15.9%
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 13.2%
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 1.6%
+9 more
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Michigan Governor winner?
PM $340.5K · K 445.3K contractsWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Michigan
Related contracts
PM Yes 93.8%Rules differK Yes 92.8%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Michigan
Related contracts
PM Yes 6%Rules differK Yes 7.6%
Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Mike Duggan (Independent) win the governorship in Michigan
Related contracts
PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will the 2028 presidential election occur?
K 82.1K contractsWill the 2028 presidential election occur?Yes 91.1%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
K 82.1K contractsWhat will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 2000)Yes 96%
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 3000)Yes 83%
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 2500)Yes 78%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PM $335.6KWill the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 25.1%
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 13.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB
K 82.0K contractsWho will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? (Josh Allen)Yes 54%
Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? (Bryce Young)Yes 22.5%
Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? (Brock Purdy)Yes 20%
+23 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
China x India military clash by...?
PM $333.2KChina x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?
K 80.8K contractsWill Itamar Ben-Gvir be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 22%
Will Yoram Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 10.5%
Will Yitzhak Wasserlauf be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 4%
+21 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
PM $332.5K9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 3.9%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
K 80.4K contractsWill the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Uganda?Yes 40.5%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Democratic Republic of the Congo?Yes 13.5%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?Yes 10.3%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
European military action against Iran by...?
PM $332.4KWill a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?Yes 3%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump issue dividend payments?
K 80.3K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 14.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
PM $331.1KIsrael military action against Yemen by December 31?Yes 27%
Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?Yes 8.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
K 80.2K contractsWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Roraima in the Brazil presidential runoff?Yes 97%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Tocantins in the Brazil presidential runoff?Yes 97%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Minas Gerais in the Brazil presidential runoff?Yes 95.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PM $330.6KWill Donald Trump visit Kansas in 2026?Yes 98.1%
Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026?Yes 61%
Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?Yes 52%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump end income tax for people earning under $150k?
K 79.8K contractsWill Trump waive taxes for people earning under $150k?Yes 4.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?
PM $330.0KWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?Yes 15%
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
K 79.3K contractsWill the President try to fire the Jerome Powell as either Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
PM $328.3KWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 15.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
US credit rating downgrade in 2026?
K 79.2K contractsWill the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Saudi airspace closed by...?
PM $325.6KWill Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?Yes 16.5%
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election?
K 79.0K contractsWill Bezalel Smotrich be Minister of Finance as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 15%
Will Shaul Meridor be Minister of Finance as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 10.5%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be Minister of Finance as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 8.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
PM $319.6KJerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?
K 78.4K contractsWill Shou Zi Chew testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027?Yes 36.5%
Will Sam Altman testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027?Yes 35%
Will Mark Zuckerberg testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027?Yes 30%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Press Secretary announced by...?
PM $319.4KNext White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Yes 59.5%
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Yes 19.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Governor-Senate combo
K 78.3K contractsWill Kansas Governor winner be Republican party and Kansas Senate winner be Republican party?Yes 54.5%
Will Kansas Governor winner be Republican party and Kansas Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 20.5%
Will Kansas Governor winner be Democratic party and Kansas Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 20.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
PM $317.8KWill Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Top Fantasy Rookie WR
K 77.7K contractsWill Denzel Boston be the #1 ranked fantasy rookie wide receivers in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 32%
Will Carnell Tate be the #1 ranked fantasy rookie wide receivers in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 19%
Will KC Concepcion be the #1 ranked fantasy rookie wide receivers in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 15%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
PM $317.6KSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Yes 27.5%
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Yes 5.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Dakota Attorney General winner?
K 77.7K contractsWill the Republican party win the Attorney General race in South Dakota?Yes 98.2%
Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in South Dakota?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
PM $314.9K5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes 16.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?
K 77.6K contractsWill Ilhan Omar's U.S. citizenship be revoked before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
PM $310.6KAndrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC