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Showing 481-528 of 1,750 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
K 44.0K contractsWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 1.99% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 87.5%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 70%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 2.49% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 68.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above __?
PM $12.8KWill Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B?Yes 94.9%
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.5B?Yes 86.3%
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.75B?Yes 35%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Core CPI in December
K 43.7K contractsWill CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in December?Yes 97.5%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in December?Yes 76.5%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in December?Yes 24.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?
PM $12.8KWill Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?Yes 70.5%
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?Yes 23.5%
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.6%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2028?
K 43.6K contractsGDP growth in 2028? (2.6% to 3.0%)Yes 10.5%
GDP growth in 2028? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 10.5%
GDP growth in 2028? (1.6% to 2.0%)Yes 10%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2029 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Russia decision in December?
PM $12.6KWill the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 55.5%
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 29.5%
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 5.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New York gas prices tomorrow
K 43.2K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.3900?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3850?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3800?Yes 99%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PM $12.4KWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.05T by October 31?Yes 88%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by October 31?Yes 45.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by October 31?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Maine lobster landings in 2026
K 43.1K contractsWill Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?Yes 97.5%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 60 million pounds?Yes 96.5%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 65 million pounds?Yes 83.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Bloomberg IPO by...?
PM $12.3KWill Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will Bloomberg IPO by September 30, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will Bloomberg IPO by June 30, 2027?Yes 16%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December
PM $12.2K · K 16.1K contractsWill the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 73%Rules differK Yes 69.5%
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India maintain the current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 14.5%Rules differK Yes 20%
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
K 42.7K contractsAbove 14000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 4000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
Above 18000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
K 42.3K contractsWill the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.66% by Oct 30, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.90% by Oct 30, 2026?Yes 50%
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.85% by Oct 30, 2026?Yes 50%
+25 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle this year?
PM $12.0K · K 3.7K contractsWill Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Starbucks announce acquisition of Chipotle before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year?
K 42.3K contractsRobert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man by 2027?Yes 46.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?
PM $12.0KAnduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
K 42.2K contractsWill SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida this year?Yes 25%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
PM $12.0KWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes 45.9%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes 6.2%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will be the world's second trillionaire?
K 42.1K contractsWill Jeff Bezos be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 21%
Will Mark Zuckerberg be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 18.5%
Will Jensen Huang be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 9.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2033 UTC
PolymarketFinance
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?
PM $11.9KOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this month
K 42.0K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 71.5%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
USMCA extended in 2026?
PM $11.5KUSMCA extended in 2026?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Diesel price at year-end 2026
K 41.9K contractsWill AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 be above $4.00?Yes 98.5%
Will AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 be above $4.60?Yes 96.5%
Will AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 be above $4.40?Yes 96.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
SB Energy IPO by...?
PM $11.2KWill SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 25.3%
Will SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes 8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?
K 41.9K contractsUnemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.2%)Yes 39%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.1%)Yes 28.5%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.3%)Yes 20.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
PM $11.2KWill OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?Yes 40.5%
Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?Yes 17.1%
Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?Yes 12%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026?
K 41.3K contractsWill year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
US recession by end of 2027?
PM $11.1KUS recession by end of 2027?Yes 35%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Mississippi cotton production in 2027
K 41.2K contractsWill Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?Yes 92.5%
Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 700,000 bales?Yes 74.5%
Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 800,000 bales?Yes 62%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketScience
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
PM $11.1KScrewworm National Emergency declared by December 31?Yes 14%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?Yes 6.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Hims subscribers in 2026
K 40.8K contractsWill Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.8 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 97%
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.84 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.88 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 95%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
PM $11.0KUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?Yes 60%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
Costco raises hot dog combo price?
PM $10.9K · K 78.8K contractsCostco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.9%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 39.8K contractsWill Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 1.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Artist performing the James Bond Theme
K 39.7K contractsWho will perform the next James Bond Song? (Olivia Dean)Yes 35%
Who will perform the next James Bond Song? (Raye)Yes 26.5%
Who will perform the next James Bond Song? (Dua Lipa)Yes 19%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
PM $10.6KAnthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
PM $10.4K · K 12.5K contractsWill the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.73% in Oct 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 67%Rules differK Yes 71%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.70% in Oct 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 64%Rules differK Yes 67.5%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.67% in Oct 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 57%Rules differK Yes 58%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026?
K 39.7K contractsWill Arizona’s annual average employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for 2026 be above 24,431 employees?Yes 36%
1 mktNext deadline Jun 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US Nominal GDP in 2026
K 39.1K contractsUS Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $31.4 trillion)Yes 99%
US Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $31.2 trillion)Yes 98.5%
US Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $31.6 trillion)Yes 97.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?
PM $10.0KWill Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Yes 35.5%
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Maine gas prices tomorrow
K 39.0K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.3300?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3050?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3250?Yes 97.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of November 2026?
PM $9.8KWill Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?Yes 35.5%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of November 2026?Yes 31%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of November 2026?Yes 24%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this week
K 38.7K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 99.5%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
PM $9.7KWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?Yes 6.7%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 16, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Illinois gas prices tomorrow
K 38.5K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.6500?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.6550?Yes 99%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.6400?Yes 99%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
PM $9.4KOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
K 38.5K contractsWhen will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before 2027)Yes 39%
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before November)Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
PM $9.1KWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?Yes 92.5%
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31?Yes 8.5%
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by December 31?Yes 0.4%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC