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Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.















Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Kalshi: Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
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Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
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Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
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Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
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Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?
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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2027?
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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027?
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Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas?
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Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?
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California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?
Kalshi: Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 5, 2026?
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Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Kalshi: Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 5, 2026?
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California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?
Kalshi: Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?
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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
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