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Showing 337-384 of 1,718 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?
K 60.5K contractsWill SpaceX launch another Starship before Dec 11, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 27, 2026?Yes 75%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 17%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PM $78.1KUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
K 60.4K contracts1 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 8%
5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 4.5%
2 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
3rd Largest Company end of October?
PM $77.8KWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 79.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 20.5%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 1.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Acre Governor Election Winner
PM $77.5K · K 6.0K contractsWill Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 98.6%Rules differK Yes 97.5%
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 2%
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round?
Kalshi: Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Time's Person of the Decade
K 60.4K contractsWho will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)Yes 39%
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Elon Musk)Yes 29%
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Taylor Swift)Yes 18%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?
K 59.9K contractsAI regulation by 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
PM $76.9KU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes 4.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
K 59.7K contractsWill Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PM $76.7KWill Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Amazon Credit Card Spend in October
K 59.6K contractsWill Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 94 ?Yes 97.5%
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 103 ?Yes 74.5%
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 106 ?Yes 69.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
PM $76.0KWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 52.1%
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 43.5%
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 3.8%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
K 58.6K contractsWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 61%
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
PM $75.2KWill Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 57.2%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 26.1%
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 2.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund in 2026?
K 57.2K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Mike Lindell has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Enrique Tarrio has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that anyone has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
PM $75.0KWill two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Yes 58%
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
K 57.1K contractsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?Yes 51.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?
PM $73.9KWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes 18.9%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 18.2%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes 14.2%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 56.8K contractsWill October 13 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 28.5%
Will October 16 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 23.5%
Will October 14 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 17.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
PM $69.7KWill Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 57.8%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 17.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?
K 56.7K contractsWill Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 21.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 14.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 6.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
PM $67.6KWill Yashar be in the next Israeli government?Yes 59%
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?Yes 56.5%
Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?Yes 53.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame expansion be completed?
K 56.0K contractsWill Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 86.5%
Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 76.5%
Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 76.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Lab end of October?
PM $67.4KWill Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 68%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 24%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 3%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
K 55.7K contractsWill Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Apr 2027?Yes 68%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Mar 2027?Yes 43%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Feb 2027?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
PM $67.2KWill no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes 35.5%
Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Yes 17.5%
Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Yes 11.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
K 54.6K contractsManned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PM $66.5KWill Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 37.9%
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 30.4%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
K 54.6K contractsWill Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
PM $66.3KSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Yes 66.5%
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?Yes 49%
2 mktsNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Next Gemini Pro model release
K 54.3K contractsWill Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 20%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
PM $65.9KWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 73.5%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 25.6%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in December
K 53.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in December 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in December 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in December 2026?Yes 35%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
PM $65.7KWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
K 53.4K contractsWill any LLM score at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will any LLM score at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98%
Will any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
PM $65.4KWill OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 20.3%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
K 53.0K contractsWill Joan Smalls be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Ashley Graham be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 97%
Will Adriana Lima be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 95%
+34 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Lab end of October?
PM $64.8KWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 5%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Baltimore vs Cleveland: Rushing Attempts
K 52.8K contractsTyler Huntley: 2+ rushing attemptsYes 99.5%
Deshaun Watson: 4+ rushing attemptsYes 83%
Derrick Henry: 18+ rushing attemptsYes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
PM $63.6KUS x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?Yes 6.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Katie Zacharia say during Saturday in America?
K 52.8K contractsWhat will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Event does not qualify)Yes 99.5%
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Trump (3+ times))Yes 0.5%
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tariff)Yes 0.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
AI data center in space by...?
PM $63.2KAI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Yes 24.5%
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027?
K 51.5K contractsHow much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 15 inches)Yes 89.5%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 10 inches)Yes 87%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 25 inches)Yes 77%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
PM $62.3KWill no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes 35.3%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes 18.2%
Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes 9.8%
+15 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will release a new song this year?
K 51.2K contractsWill Tate McRae release a new song 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Lil Nas X release a new song 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will The Marías release a new song 2026?Yes 84%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
PM $62.1KWill Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 53.5%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 27%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 18.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18
K 50.9K contractsWill OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 174T tokens?Yes 11%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 166T tokens?Yes 7.5%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 172T tokens?Yes 6%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
PM $61.5KWill AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026?Yes 18%
Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?Yes 14.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC