Browse prediction markets

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes 21.5%

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

PM $201.8K

PM $201.0K · K 28.2K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

When will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Kalshi: Will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 32.5%

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Kalshi: Will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 9%

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Kalshi: Will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Choosin’ Texas be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Digital Songs of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 83%

Top U.S. Selling Digital Song: 2026

K 65.7K contracts

Will Golden be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Digital Songs of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 39%

Will SWIM be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Digital Songs of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 16.5%

+21 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will the UK announce a snap election before Jan 2, 2028?Yes 23%

UK snap election announced?

K 65.4K contracts

Will the UK announce a snap election before Jan 2, 2027?Yes 5.4%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes 1.4%

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

PM $200.9K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 82%

When will Trump's ballroom be completed?

K 65.4K contracts

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 53.5%

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 31.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes 2.3%

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

PM $200.8K

Will Bernie Sanders go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 52.5%

The Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026

K 65.3K contracts

Will Tulsi Gabbard go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30.5%

Will Hunter Biden go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30%

+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes 8%

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

PM $198.2K

1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will Democrats win exactly 9 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Michigan?Yes 33%

How many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan?

K 65.3K contracts

Will Democrats win exactly 8 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Michigan?Yes 24.5%

Will Democrats win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Michigan?Yes 21%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes 2.3%

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

PM $195.4K

Will Amazon.com Inc. report Above 1.54 million employees (full-time & part-time, excl. contractors/temps) in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%

KalshiTech

Amazon headcount in Q3

K 65.2K contracts

Will Amazon.com Inc. report Above 1.56 million employees (full-time & part-time, excl. contractors/temps) in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%

Will Amazon.com Inc. report Above 1.58 million employees (full-time & part-time, excl. contractors/temps) in Q3 2026?Yes 94.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes 20.5%

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?

PM $193.6K

PM $192.7K · K 104.8K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?

Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Kalshi: Will Bernie Sanders endorse James Talarico in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas before Nov 3, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 22%Rules differK Yes 25%

Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Kalshi: Will Bernie Sanders endorse Dan Osborn in the 2026 United States Senate election in Nebraska before Nov 3, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.9 on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 39.5%

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 19, 2026?

K 65.1K contracts

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 23.5%

Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 39.1 on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 10.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Will AfD win the next election to the German Bundestag?Yes 84%

Next German federal election winner?

K 65.0K contracts

Will CDU/CSU win the next election to the German Bundestag?Yes 12%

Will SPD win the next election to the German Bundestag?Yes 6.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Mar 25, 2030 UTC

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes 5.3%

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

PM $191.9K

Will Tate McRae have above 2.3M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98%

KalshiTech

Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)

K 64.9K contracts

Will Tate McRae have above 3.9M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will Tate McRae have above 2.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%

+28 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?Yes 22%

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

PM $190.8K

Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes 17.5%

Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes 16.4%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Arizona Governor winner?

PM $188.4K · K 823.3K contracts

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arizona

Related contracts

PM Yes 92.5%Rules differK Yes 90.8%

Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arizona

Related contracts

PM Yes 88%Rules differK Yes 90.8%

Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arizona

Related contracts

PM Yes 11%Rules differK Yes 9.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Will any federal or state court rule finds that fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states?Yes 7.6%

Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

K 64.9K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Tesla total deliveries in 2026

K 64.5K contracts

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.55 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.5 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.6 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 96.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Yes 20.6%

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

PM $187.6K

Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Yes 13.5%

Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Yes 4.4%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Marine Le Pen finish 1st in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 80.5%

Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)

K 64.2K contracts

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon finish 1st in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 4.5%

Will Jordan Bardella finish 1st in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 3.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2028 UTC

Will Export-control chip security become law this year?Yes 30.5%

Which bills will become law in 2026?

PM $186.8K

Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?Yes 23.5%

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes 20.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania?

K 63.6K contracts

Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 94%

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 2.5%

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 2%

+27 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2045 UTC

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Yes 25%

Another NATO article 4 by...?

PM $186.5K

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.3%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the corporate tax be decreased before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%

Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?

K 63.4K contracts

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes 4.5%

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

PM $186.4K