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Showing 769-816 of 7,536 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 18, 2026?
K 49.7K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >68° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
Will the maximum temperature be <61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
PM $146.1KWill Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes 54%
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes 45.5%
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes 1.9%
+2 more
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin Governor margin of victory
K 49.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 74%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 46.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 31%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?
PM $145.8KTrump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent
K 49.5K contractsWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 97%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 95.5%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 93.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?
PM $145.3KWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026?Yes 26.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?
K 49.5K contractsWhat cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Roybal v. Griffith)Yes 57.5%
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States)Yes 34%
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice)Yes 31.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?
PM $144.7KWill Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent?
K 49.3K contractsWill Any Court rule that the 2024 USA Federal Election was Fraudulent?Yes 5.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?
PM $144.6KHouthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?
PM $143.8K · K 4.6K contractsWill AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 58.5%Rules differK Yes 44%
Will AfD be in the next Berlin state government?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 44%
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 42%Rules differK Yes 44%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
K 49.2K contractsWill Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 62.5%
Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 60.5%
Will Religious Zionist Party be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 56.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas Attorney General winner?
K 49.0K contractsWill the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Arkansas?Yes 98%
Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Arkansas?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
PM $143.6KWill anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026
K 48.9K contractsWill Altria Group Inc. report Above 54.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 55 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 55.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 84.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
PM $143.2KMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Iran hold a presidential election?
K 48.9K contractsWill Iran hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Prabowo Subianto out as President of Indonesia by...?
PM $143.1KWill Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2027?Yes 7.5%
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KY-04 House winner?
K 48.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for KY-04?Yes 94.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for KY-04?Yes 4.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PM $142.8KWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 4.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026?
K 48.6K contractsWill Trump make 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Oct 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Trump make 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Oct 2026?Yes 40.5%
Will Trump make 1 trip to Mar-a-Lago as President in Oct 2026?Yes 8%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
PM $142.3KWill there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 60.9%
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 34.4%
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 2.9%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Toronto mayoral election winner?
K 48.5K contractsWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 75%
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 26.5%
Will Chris Alexander win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-28 House Election Winner
PM $142.3KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?Yes 96.7%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?
K 48.5K contractsWill the US fall below 7.60 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028Yes 85%
Will the US fall below 7.50 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028Yes 64%
Will the US fall below 7.25 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028Yes 38.5%
+1 moreNext deadline May 17, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
PM $142.2KWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by October 31, 2026?Yes 0.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?
K 48.4K contractsWill the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 94.5%
Will democracy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 6.5%
Will the Iran war and foreign policy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 5%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
PM $141.8KJeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
K 48.3K contractsWhere will Trump and Putin next meet? (China)Yes 81.5%
Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur? (Alaska)Yes 7.5%
Where will Trump and Putin next meet? (Germany)Yes 5.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
PM $140.6KMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Yes 56.5%
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Yes 24%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23, 2026?
K 48.1K contractsWill James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 84.5%
Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 8.5%
Will Gina Hinojosa be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 1.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
PM $139.7KPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?Yes 2.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 47.5K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 9500000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 10000000?Yes 92.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 10500000?Yes 88%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
PM $138.5KTaiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
K 47.5K contractsWill Rahm Emanuel be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Yes 31%
Will Ro Khanna be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Yes 14.5%
Will Pete Buttigieg be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Yes 12%
+30 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
PM $138.0KWill John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes 6%
Will Douglas Alexander be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes 5.9%
Will Alan Campbell be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes 5.1%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alberta referendum: Remain vote share?
K 47.5K contractsWill Remain receive at least 60% of valid votes in Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum?Yes 96.5%
Will Remain receive at least 65% of valid votes in Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum?Yes 86.5%
Will Remain receive at least 70% of valid votes in Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum?Yes 71%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
PM $135.2KWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?
K 47.4K contractsWill Chuck Schumer no longer be Senate Minority Leader in 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?
PM $134.8KWill the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Yes 53%
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Yes 45.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
K 47.3K contractsWill Tina Kotek underperform Kamala Harris in Oregon?Yes 95%
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala Harris in Maine?Yes 84%
Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala Harris in New York?Yes 44.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
PM $134.2KWill no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes 37.9%
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes 31.7%
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes 11.8%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)
K 47.2K contractsWho will win Chicago Mayoral Election? (Alexi Giannoulias)Yes 68.5%
Who will win Chicago Mayoral Election? (Brandon Johnson)Yes 13.1%
Who will win Chicago Mayoral Election? (Paul Vallas)Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 23, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-04 House Election Winner
PM $133.7KWill the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Yes 98.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?Yes 0.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
K 46.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 38.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 31%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 27.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Stavky by...?
PM $133.6KWill Russia capture Stavky by December 31, 2026?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
K 46.9K contractsWill Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 48%
Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 24.5%
Will Donald Trump endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 9.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Maduro guilty of all counts?
PM $133.2KMaduro guilty of all counts?Yes 34.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC