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Showing 49-96 of 1,307 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiTech
When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
PM $460.4K · K 10.4K contractsWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2028?
Related contracts
PM Yes 64.5%Rules differK Yes 65.5%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 33%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
NASA lands on the moon?
K 554.0K contractsWill NASA land a person on the Moon by 2029?Yes 41.5%
Will NASA land a person on the Moon by 2028?Yes 23.5%
Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2028?Yes 3.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
K 522.7K contractsWill Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?Yes 96.5%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?Yes 92.5%
+10 moreNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
PM $451.4KAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Yes 27.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Best AI in Oct 2026?
K 508.7K contractsBest AI in Oct 2026? (Gemini)Yes 75.5%
Best AI in Oct 2026? (Claude)Yes 23.5%
Best AI in Oct 2026? (Muse)Yes 1.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
PM $437.2KWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Yes 35.5%
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Actor
K 488.4K contracts2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations? (Matt Damon)Yes 91%
2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations? (John Malkovich)Yes 86%
2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations? (Andrew Scott)Yes 84%
+31 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
PM $435.0KWill GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes 1.4%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Google market share this week
K 475.0K contractsGoogle market share this week? (Above 19.5%)Yes 99.5%
Google market share this week? (Above 18.9%)Yes 99.5%
Google market share this week? (Above 18.7%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
PM $429.4KWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 13.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
OpenAI market share this week
K 447.7K contractsOpenAI market share this week? (Above 18.1%)Yes 99.5%
OpenAI market share this week? (Above 17.1%)Yes 99.5%
OpenAI market share this week? (Above 15.1%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
PM $399.1KWill The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 48.5%
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 19%
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 16.7%
+24 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Godzilla Minus Zero · Rotten Tomatoes score
K 443.5K contractsGodzilla Minus Zero Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 99.5%
Godzilla Minus Zero Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 50)Yes 99.5%
Godzilla Minus Zero Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 45)Yes 99.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
PM $395.1KWill Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?Yes 98.6%
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?Yes 0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026?Yes 0.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Who will headline Coachella 2027?
K 430.3K contractsWill Tame Impala be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 91%
Will Dua Lipa be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 81.5%
Will Drake be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 63.5%
+113 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCulture
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
PM $341.1KWill "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes 60.5%
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes 40.5%
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes 0.3%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
K 424.9K contractsWill OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 14.5%
Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will ByteDance have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 7.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
PM $336.4KWill SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Yes 78.3%
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Yes 8.8%
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
K 414.1K contractsWill the FDA approve Any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
PM $331.2K · K 867.0K contractsOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? (Before 2027)
Related contracts
PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 6.7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Who will have a #1 album this year?
K 406.6K contractsWill Post Malone have a #1 album this year?Yes 45%
Will Lil Baby have a #1 album this year?Yes 41.5%
Will SZA have a #1 album this year?Yes 40%
+99 moreNext deadline Dec 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?
PM $310.0KWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Yes 72%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Yes 10%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
PM $278.2K · K 140.2K contractsWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Kalshi: Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 9.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
DeepSeek market share this week
K 405.6K contractsDeepSeek market share this week? (Above 23.9%)Yes 99.5%
DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 23.2%)Yes 99.5%
DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 21.7%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Taylor Swift: Wedding Dress
K 398.1K contractsWill Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Dior at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 63.5%
Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Monique Lhuillier at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 20.5%
Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Fendi at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 18%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which artists will release new albums in 2026?
PM $275.3KWill Lil Uzi Vert release an album in 2026? Yes 54.5%
Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?Yes 32.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
K 386.8K contractsWill a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 71.5%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
PM $258.8KWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes 35%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes <0.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Wild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
K 376.3K contractsWild Horse Nine Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 75)Yes 99.5%
Wild Horse Nine Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 70)Yes 99.5%
Wild Horse Nine Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 65)Yes 99.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Billboard #1 Artist 2026
PM $255.1KWill Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes 78.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes 4.2%
Will Billie Eilish be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes 0.6%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Clayface · Rotten Tomatoes score
K 351.6K contractsClayface Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 45)Yes 96.5%
Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 50)Yes 95.5%
Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 94.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
PM $252.6KWill the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Yes 92.8%
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Yes 4.2%
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?Yes <0.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
K 332.3K contractsWill a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83.2%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 29%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
PM $237.0KWill The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 83.5%
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 9.9%
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 0.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Who will release a new album in 2026?
K 324.3K contractsWill Lil Baby release a new album in 2026?Yes 90%
Will Offset release a new album in 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will 2 Chainz release a new album in 2026?Yes 76.5%
+70 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCulture
GTA VI released by...?
PM $226.1KGTA VI released by November 30?Yes 97.2%
GTA VI released by October 31?Yes 0.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?
K 316.0K contractsWill Widespread Panic perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will The String Cheese Incident perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 88.5%
Will The Avett Brothers perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 88.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Top Spotify Song 2026
PM $222.8KWill "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Yes 86.6%
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Yes 13%
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026?Yes 0.4%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Actress
K 312.6K contracts2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations? (Julianne Moore)Yes 92%
2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations? (Inde Navarrette)Yes 85%
2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations? (Olivia Wilde)Yes 74%
+23 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
PM $220.0KWill John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 40%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 19.5%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 17.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
K 303.6K contractsWill above 13500000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?Yes 91.5%
Will above 13750000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?Yes 89.5%
Will above 14000000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?Yes 77.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
PM $192.3KHugh Jackman as Wolverine?Yes 94%
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?Yes 91.5%
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?Yes 91.4%
+17 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Oscar winner: Best Actress
K 296.5K contractsWill Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the Oscars?Yes 71.5%
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the Oscars?Yes 19%
Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the Oscars?Yes 3.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
PM $186.3KWill Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 97%
Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 23.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping · Rotten Tomatoes score
K 293.4K contractsThe Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 45)Yes 96.5%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 50)Yes 93.5%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 90.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?
PM $186.2KWill Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?Yes 6%
1 mkt
KalshiEntertainment
Top Song on Spotify in 2026?
K 293.0K contractsWill End of Beginning be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 88%
Will Babydoll be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will SWIM be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2%
+25 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
PM $173.4KWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 57%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 43%
Will Toy Story 5 have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes <0.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC