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Showing 961-1,008 of 7,189 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Oregon Governor winner?
PM $95.4K · K 367.1K contractsWill the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Oregon
Related contracts
PM Yes 77.5%Rules differK Yes 77.5%
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Oregon
Related contracts
PM Yes 22.5%Rules differK Yes 21.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 7th District margin of victory
K 41.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 19.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 7.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 3.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
K 40.8K contractsWill Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33%
Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 23%
Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
PM $95.1KWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 40.8K contractsWill there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 83.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
PM $94.8KWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran?
K 40.7K contractsWill Donald Trump meet in person the Supreme Leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?
PM $94.6KUS federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31?Yes 18%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OR-06 House winner?
K 40.7K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for OR-06?Yes 96.8%
Will Republican win the House race for OR-06?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Prime Minister of Italy?
PM $94.3KWill Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 52%
Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 19.5%
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 19%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan's 1st District margin of victory
K 40.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 88.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 67.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Guerrero Governor Election Winner
PM $94.2KWill Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes 88.3%
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes 5%
Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes 4.6%
+25 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/4 - 10/10)
K 40.6K contractsWill the President sign more than 3 Executive Orders between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 10, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the President sign more than 4 Executive Orders between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 10, 2026?Yes 0.5%
Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 10, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-07 House Election Winner
PM $93.9KWill the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?Yes 97.8%
Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Amazonas Governor Election Winner
PM $93.7K · K 10.4K contractsWill Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 87%Rules differK Yes 87.5%
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?
Kalshi: Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 16%Rules differK Yes 12.5%
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 12.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?
K 40.2K contractsWill HJR 6 pass?Yes 94%
Will HJR 4 pass?Yes 48.5%
Will Proposition 1 pass?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
K 40.2K contractsWill the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 14 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 90.5%
Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 15 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 83%
Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 16 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 72.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Myropillia by...?
PM $93.7KWill Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?Yes 16.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-07 House winner?
K 40.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for TX-07?Yes 96.5%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-07?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
PM $93.3KAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 42.5%
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 31%
Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 28%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
MT-01 House winner?
PM $92.7K · K 533.5K contractsWill the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for MT-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 65.5%Rules differK Yes 67.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for MT-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 34.5%Rules differK Yes 32.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?
K 40.1K contractsWill a new Constitutional Amendment be added before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 8.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in New Jersey?
K 39.8K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New Jersey?Yes 72.5%
Will Democrats win more than 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New Jersey?Yes 14%
Will Democrats win exactly 9 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New Jersey?Yes 6%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PM $92.7KWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 39.8K contractsWill Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 1.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
PM $92.4KWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa Senate winner? (Person)
K 39.6K contractsWho will win the 2026 Iowa Senate election? (Ashley Hinson)Yes 58.5%
Who will win the 2026 Iowa Senate election? (Josh Turek)Yes 41.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
PM $91.9KRepublican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?Yes 30.5%
Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?Yes 20%
Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?Yes 14.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA-06 House winner?
K 39.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for LA-06?Yes 92.9%
Will Democratic win the House race for LA-06?Yes 6.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by...?
PM $91.2KWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026?Yes 20%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say in October?
K 39.1K contractsWill Trump say "Predict / Prediction" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Autism" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Newscum" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 98.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-06 House Election Winner
PM $90.8KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?Yes 96.7%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will JD Vance say during his CBS Town Hall?
K 39.0K contractsWhat will JD Vance say during CBS Things That Matter: A Town Hall With Vice President JD Vance originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET? (Trump (3+ times))Yes 99.5%
What will JD Vance say during CBS Things That Matter: A Town Hall With Vice President JD Vance originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET? (Democrat)Yes 99.5%
What will JD Vance say during CBS Things That Matter: A Town Hall With Vice President JD Vance originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET? (2028 / Campaign)Yes 99.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
PM $90.8KIlhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Yes 20.5%
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Yes 6.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win?
K 38.9K contractsWill Republicans win all 3?Yes 57%
Will Republicans win Nebraska, South Carolina?Yes 18.5%
Will Republicans win South Carolina?Yes 11.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-05 House Election Winner
PM $90.6KWill the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes 88.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate?
K 38.9K contractsWill Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate each other in 2026?Yes 0.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
PM $90.6KPakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes 5.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado Attorney General winner?
K 38.8K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Colorado?Yes 94.2%
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Colorado?Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
PM $89.0KWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?
K 38.8K contractsWill Ding Xuexiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Yes 23%
Will Li Qiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Yes 20%
Will Zhao Leji become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Yes 14.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2045 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-01 House Election Winner
PM $88.7KWill the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?Yes 88%
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
K 38.7K contractsWill Trump recognize Somaliland?Yes 11.5%
Will Trump recognize the Republic of China?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
PM $88.2KAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
K 38.7K contractsWill Swedish Social Democratic Party be a part of the next government in Sweden?Yes 79.5%
Will Green Party be a part of the next government in Sweden?Yes 67%
Will Centre Party be a part of the next government in Sweden?Yes 48%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-23 House Election Winner
PM $88.2KWill the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this week
K 38.7K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 99%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-11 House Election Winner
PM $88.1KWill the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC