Browse prediction markets

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?Yes 97.5%

Diesel prices in Oct 2026

K 461.1K contracts

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?Yes 96.5%

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?Yes 96.5%

+18 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

OpenAI market share this week

K 431.0K contracts

OpenAI market share this week? (Above 18.1%)Yes 99.5%

OpenAI market share this week? (Above 17.1%)Yes 99.5%

OpenAI market share this week? (Above 15.1%)Yes 99.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes 5.4%

Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?

PM $150.4K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

K 424.9K contracts

Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 14.5%

Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 10.5%

Will ByteDance have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 7.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketFinancials

Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

PM $149.5K

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?Yes 4.5%

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?Yes 4.2%

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?Yes 3.6%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 99%

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

K 423.3K contracts

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 99%

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 98.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Yes 75.5%

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $146.6K

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?Yes 24%

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?Yes 11.8%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiCompanies

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

K 420.5K contracts

Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?Yes 93%

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?Yes 7.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Yes 45.5%

Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $146.5K

Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31?Yes 38%

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Yes 37%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.60?Yes 99.5%

Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

K 416.0K contracts

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?Yes 99.5%

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?Yes 99.5%

+23 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?Yes 91.5%

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

PM $140.5K

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in October?Yes 60%

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?Yes 58%

+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

K 413.9K contracts

Will the FDA approve Any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?Yes 20.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will USD/KRW hit 1300 (Low) in 2026?Yes 40.5%

Will USD/KRW hit __ in 2026?

PM $137.6K

Will USD/KRW hit 1200 (Low) in 2026?Yes 12%

Will USD/KRW hit 1100 (Low) in 2026?Yes 10.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2200?Yes 99.5%

New Jersey gas prices this week

K 408.0K contracts

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?Yes 99.5%

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?Yes 99.5%

+18 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiTech

Tesla Optimus released this year?

PM $132.9K · K 433.3K contracts

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 12%Rules differK Yes 5.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiFinance

Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?

PM $132.3K · K 193.7K contracts

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Kalshi: Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 7.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 235,000 jobs?Yes 98.5%

Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026

K 404.4K contracts

Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 240,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%

Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 245,000 jobs?Yes 95.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

DeepSeek market share this week

K 403.1K contracts

DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 23.9%)Yes 99.5%

DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 23.2%)Yes 99.5%

DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 21.7%)Yes 99.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes 33%

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

PM $126.9K

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Yes 29.8%

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?Yes 4.8%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

K 395.3K contracts

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Yes 24%

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

PM $125.1K

Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?Yes 16.5%

Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?Yes 7.3%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?Yes 98.5%

South Dakota corn yield in 2026

K 389.8K contracts

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?Yes 98%

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?Yes 96.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketScience

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?

PM $111.3K

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Yes 4.2%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 36.5%

How high will gas prices in California get this year?

K 387.6K contracts

Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 30.5%

Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 16%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?Yes 45.5%

Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $108.1K

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?Yes 27.5%

Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?Yes 12.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC

KalshiHealth

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

K 386.7K contracts

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 71.5%

Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?Yes 64.5%

Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $104.9K

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Yes 40%

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?Yes 12.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

Bank of Israel rate decision in October

PM $103.4K · K 11.3K contracts

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 92%Rules differK Yes 92%

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Israel Cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 7.6%Rules differK Yes 7.5%

Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Israel Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.2%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

K 332.3K contracts

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83.2%

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 29.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

Kyren Williams: 1+ touchdownsYes 64.5%

Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns

K 309.8K contracts

Puka Nacua: 1+ touchdownsYes 57.5%

Davante Adams: 1+ touchdownsYes 52.5%

+46 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Yes 55%

Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $100.1K

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?Yes 20.5%

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?Yes 17.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

James Cook III: 1+ touchdownsYes 57.5%

Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Touchdowns

K 306.9K contracts

Josh Allen: 1+ touchdownsYes 57.5%

Ashton Jeanty: 1+ touchdownsYes 53.5%

+49 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Yes 74.5%

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

PM $99.4K

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 17.5%

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 7%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 15, 2027 UTC

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 95.5%

CPI YoY in December

K 304.1K contracts

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 94.5%

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 94.5%

+18 moreNext deadline Apr 14, 2027 UTC

Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?Yes 45.5%

Will EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?

PM $98.0K

Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?Yes 13.5%

Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026?Yes 12%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Jaylen Warren: 1+ touchdownsYes 43.5%

Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Touchdowns

K 291.4K contracts

Bucky Irving: 1+ touchdownsYes 35.5%

DK Metcalf: 1+ touchdownsYes 31.5%

+39 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?View outcomes

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

PM $97.8K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October

PM $96.9K · K 12.6K contracts

Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Review meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 66.5%Rules differK Yes 65.5%

No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Policy Review meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 29.5%Rules differK Yes 34%

Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Review meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?Yes 94.5%

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

K 288.2K contracts

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?Yes 80.5%

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?Yes 38.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

Bank of Russia rate decision in October

PM $95.9K · K 3.4K contracts

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Russia maintain current rate at the October Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 91.5%Rules differK Yes 91.5%

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Russia cut 1-25bps at the October Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 3.5%

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Russia hike 1-25bps at the October Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC

Christian McCaffrey: 1+ touchdownsYes 69.5%

Washington vs San Francisco: Touchdowns

K 277.2K contracts

Mike Evans: 1+ touchdownsYes 52.5%

George Kittle: 1+ touchdownsYes 46.5%

+44 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q3 2026?Yes 99.5%

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

K 271.9K contracts

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q3 2026?Yes 99%

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC