Browse prediction markets

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 100,000?Yes 96.5%

California permitted housing units in 2026

K 72.4K contracts

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 105,000?Yes 90.5%

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 110,000?Yes 60.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2027 UTC

Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes 89.5%

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

PM $95.9K

Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes 4.7%

Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes 3.9%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

PM $91.2K · K 10.4K contracts

Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 87%Rules differK Yes 87.5%

Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?

Kalshi: Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 16%Rules differK Yes 13%

Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13%Rules differK Yes 13%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

College Football Coaches Out Before February

K 72.1K contracts

Deion Sanders out before Feb 1, 2027Yes 80.5%

Mike Norvell out before Feb 1, 2027Yes 77.5%

Kalen DeBoer out before Feb 1, 2027Yes 52.5%

+34 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC

Will the maximum temperature be >85° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 48%

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 18, 2026?

K 71.6K contracts

Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 47.5%

Will the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 6%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 17?Yes >99.9%

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 17?

PM $91.2K

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on October 17?Yes <0.1%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 17?Yes <0.1%

+8 more

Will Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94.5%

What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?

K 71.1K contracts

Will Kevin Warsh say Good Day at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94%

Will Kevin Warsh say Shock at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 80%

+44 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%

Highest temperature in Munich on October 18?

PM $89.2K

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%

+8 more

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?

PM $86.6K · K 112.9K contracts

Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Kalshi: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? (Rebeca Grynspan)

Related contracts

PM Yes 37.3%Rules differK Yes 39%

Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Kalshi: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? (Rafael Grossi)

Related contracts

PM Yes 30.5%Rules differK Yes 22%

Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Kalshi: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? (Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés)

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.6%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

Who will perform at Las Vegas Sphere in 2027?

K 70.5K contracts

Will Beyoncé perform at Las Vegas Sphere 2027?Yes 55.5%

Will Coldplay perform at Las Vegas Sphere 2027?Yes 32%

Will Spice Girls perform at Las Vegas Sphere 2027?Yes 29%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC

Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL? (Steve Higgins)Yes 35.5%

SNL: Lorne Michaels' successor for showrunner

K 67.0K contracts

Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL? (Tina Fey)Yes 34.5%

Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL? (Colin Jost)Yes 17.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes 92.5%

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

PM $86.1K

Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes 4.2%

Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes 1.8%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC

Karl-Anthony Towns: 10+ pointsYes 88.5%

Philadelphia vs New York: Points

K 66.5K contracts

OG Anunoby: 10+ pointsYes 75.5%

LeBron James: 10+ pointsYes 73.5%

+32 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Yes 46.5%

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

PM $85.0K

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Yes 13.4%

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Yes 11.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiTech

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

PM $82.6K · K 15.9K contracts

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14%Rules differK Yes 21.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiClimate and Weather

Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?

K 65.4K contracts

Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiElections

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania?

K 63.6K contracts

Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 94%

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 2.5%

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 2%

+27 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2045 UTC

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Yes 3.4%

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

PM $80.4K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the US meet its climate goals? (By 2030)Yes 17.9%

US meets its climate goals?

K 63.5K contracts

Will the US meet its climate goals? (By 2025)Yes 12%

2 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2030 UTC

Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes 34.5%

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

PM $79.4K

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Yes 15%

Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Yes 13%

+12 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Acre Governor Election Winner

PM $77.5K · K 6.0K contracts

Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 98.6%Rules differK Yes 97.5%

Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 2%

Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round?

Kalshi: Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

Who will headline Rolling Loud Miami 2026?

K 62.6K contracts

Will Future be a Headliner at Rolling Loud Miami 2026?Yes 2.5%

Will Drake be a Headliner at Rolling Loud Miami 2026?Yes 2.5%

Will A$AP Rocky be a Headliner at Rolling Loud Miami 2026?Yes 2.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC

Will Omar be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 37.5%

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?

K 62.4K contracts

Will Josephine be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 34%

Will Rene be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 30%

+14 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes 4.2%

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

PM $76.9K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Hanna become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 0.5%

Hurricane Hanna category?

K 62.1K contracts

Will Hanna become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 0.5%

Will Hanna become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 0.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC

Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes 97.7%

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

PM $73.5K

Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes 2.1%

Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes <0.1%

3 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

Will the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 86.5%

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?

K 61.6K contracts

Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 13.5%

Will the maximum temperature be >87° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?Yes 59%

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

PM $67.6K

Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?Yes 56.5%

Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?Yes 53.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Pro Basketball Players Traded

K 61.1K contracts

Will Zach LaVine be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 52.5%

Will Michael Porter Jr. be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 52.5%

Will Zion Williamson be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 50.5%

+43 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC

Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes 35.5%

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

PM $67.2K

Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Yes 17.5%

Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Yes 11.5%

+15 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC

Will the maximum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 66.5%

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?

K 60.3K contracts

Will the maximum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 34%

Will the maximum temperature be >61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC