Browse prediction markets

PM Yes 78%Rules differK Yes 75%

Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?

Kalshi: Will Democrats win exactly 48 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?

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Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?

Kalshi: Will Democrats win exactly 47 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?

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PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 12%

Will Democrats win exactly 46 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?

Kalshi: Will Democrats win exactly 46 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?

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PM Yes 3.5%Rules differK Yes 1.9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $140 billion?Yes 95%

Illinois pension debt in 2026?

K 11.4K contracts

Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $145 billion?Yes 78.5%

Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $150 billion?Yes 10.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Who will win the Georgia State House? (Republican party)Yes 66.5%

Georgia State House winner?

K 11.4K contracts

Who will win the Georgia State House? (Democratic party)Yes 22.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?Yes 4.5%

Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?

PM $28.9K

Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?Yes 1.8%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $750 billion?Yes 94.5%

Global remittances received in 2026

K 11.4K contracts

Will global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $800 billion?Yes 93.5%

Will global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $850 billion?Yes 86.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?Yes 97.3%

WA-08 House Election Winner

PM $28.9K

Will the Republican Party win the WA-08 House seat?Yes 1.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026

K 11.3K contracts

Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 3%?Yes 88%

Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 4%?Yes 87.5%

Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 7%?Yes 87%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 29.5%

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

PM $28.8K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 22.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 86.1%

Florida's 12th District margin of victory

K 11.3K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 75%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 62%

+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes 67%

Campeche Governor Election Winner

PM $28.8K

Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes 21.9%

Will Carlos Ucán Yam win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes 0.5%

+23 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for GA-09?Yes 95.8%

GA-09 House winner?

K 11.3K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for GA-09?Yes 3.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka again by...?

Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Yes 84.5%

Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?Yes 30%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Taiwan presidential election winner?

Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (William Lai)Yes 74.5%

Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (Cheng Li-wun)Yes 10.5%

Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou)Yes 4.3%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2029 UTC

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 95.8%

Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 3.8%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?

Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 37.5%

Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 31%

Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 11%

+4 moreNext deadline Apr 29, 2027 UTC

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?Yes 2.8%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiElections

Who will be a part of the next government of British Columbia?

Will BC Conservatives be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 52%

Will BC NDP be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 28%

Will BC Greens be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 7%

+2 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...?

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?Yes 24.5%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress

Will Julianne Moore be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92%

Will Inde Navarrette be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 79.5%

Will Ruth Madeley be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 69.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

2026 Harris County Judge Election Winner

Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?Yes 90.4%

Will Orlando Sanchez win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?Yes 9.8%

Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 3800000?Yes 95.5%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 4100000?Yes 91%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 4400000?Yes 82%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes 95.5%

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

PM $28.6K

1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Missouri's 4th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 97.4%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 95.6%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 95%

+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 28%

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

PM $28.6K

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 22.6%

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 14.1%

+7 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC

Tennessee's 4th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 95%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 91%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 82%

+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Yes 72.3%

Cusco Mayoral Election Winner

PM $28.5K

Will Sergio Sullca Condori win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Yes 7.3%

Will Federico Huamán Tapara win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Yes 5.3%

+11 more

120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?

Who will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (John Thune)Yes 50.5%

Who will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (Chuck Schumer)Yes 34.5%

Who will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (John Barrasso)Yes 12.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-10 House seat?Yes 95%

CA-10 House Election Winner

PM $28.5K

Will the Republican Party win the CA-10 House seat?Yes 4.7%

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Cinematography

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 93%

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 80.5%

Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 79%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the MA-09 House seat?Yes 96%

MA-09 House Election Winner

PM $28.4K

Will the Republican Party win the MA-09 House seat?Yes 2.1%

Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?

Will Giorgia Meloni become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Yes 30%

Will Elly Schlein become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Yes 25%

Will Giuseppe Conte become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Yes 23%

+8 moreNext deadline Dec 22, 2028 UTC

Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?Yes 95.6%

2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner

PM $28.4K

Will Eric J. Tatum win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?Yes 3.8%

PM $28.3K · K 407.5K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Kalshi: Will Democrats win the 2026 senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine?

Related contracts

PM Yes 51%Rules differK Yes 49.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent

Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 98%

Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 97%

Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 96.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance

2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (Rein Me In (with Olivia Dean))Yes 57%

2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (Dracula (with JENNIE))Yes 57%

2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (Bring Your Love)Yes 57%

+14 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20.4%

NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $28.2K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20.1%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Effie Phillips-Staley receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 3%

NY-17 House election: Effie Phillips-Staley vote percent

K 11.0K contracts

Will Effie Phillips-Staley receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 2.5%

Will Effie Phillips-Staley receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 2.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the MN-04 House seat?Yes 96.5%

MN-04 House Election Winner

PM $28.2K

Will the Republican Party win the MN-04 House seat?Yes 3.6%