Politics prediction markets

PM Yes 15.5%Rules differK Yes 17.5%

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

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1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

Will ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 46.5%

Top U.S. Selling Vinyl Album: 2026

K 184.4K contracts

Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 20%

Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 7.5%

+25 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in AlaskaYes 80%

Alaska Governor winner? (Party)

K 179.1K contracts

Will the Republican party win the governorship in AlaskaYes 20.5%

Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes 12%

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

PM $1.12M

Will Maine be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 38%

Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

K 175.3K contracts

Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 35%

Will Ohio be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 7.5%

+17 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC

Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?Yes 6.8%

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

PM $1.11M

Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?Yes 1.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the number of ICE removals be above 200000 in FY2026?Yes 99.4%

Deportations in 2026?

K 174.4K contracts

Will the number of ICE removals be above 300000 in FY2026?Yes 98.5%

Will the number of ICE removals be above 400000 in FY2026?Yes 97.9%

+4 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

French election called by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%

French election called by...?

PM $1.10M

Will Republican win the House race for CO-04?Yes 73.5%

CO-04 House winner?

K 173.4K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for CO-04?Yes 26.5%

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes 91.5%

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

PM $1.09M

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 4.8%

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 3.6%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Top 5 most searched people on Google in 2026

K 173.0K contracts

Will Lindsay Clancy be the #Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list?Yes 76.5%

Will Erling Haaland be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 53.5%

Will Savannah Guthrie be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 43.5%

+17 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

PM $1.06M

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.2%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners

K 170.2K contracts

Will Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 76.5%

Will Jon Batiste be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 59.5%

Will Noah Kahan be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 56.5%

+17 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Trump be impeached?

PM $1.05M · K 3.21M contracts

Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?

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PM Yes 63%Rules differK Yes 64.5%

Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?

Kalshi: Will the President be impeached before Jul 1, 2027?

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PM Yes 55.5%Rules differK Yes 42.5%

Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2027?

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PM Yes 2.3%Rules differK Yes 4.3%

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3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Katie Zacharia deliver her next White House briefing before Oct 27, 2026?Yes 0.5%

When will Katie Zacharia deliver her next White House briefing?

K 168.1K contracts

Will Katie Zacharia deliver her next White House briefing before Oct 20, 2026?Yes 0.5%

Will Katie Zacharia deliver her next White House briefing before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 0.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 67.5%

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

PM $1.03M

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 32.5%

Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 0.9%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 11.5%

Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?

K 164.8K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes 11%

India strike on Pakistan by...?

PM $996.9K

Will Democratic win the House race for MO-05?Yes 96.5%

MO-05 House winner?

K 164.3K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for MO-05?Yes 2.8%

US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Yes 4%

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

PM $995.3K

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States has imposed a ban on exports of diesel that has gone into effect before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 4.5%

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

K 161.4K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes 27%

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

PM $992.2K

Will Steve Scalise be the Republican nominee for LA-01?Yes 9.7%

LA-01 Republican nominee?

K 161.1K contracts

Will Randall Arrington be the Republican nominee for LA-01?Yes 0.5%

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes 7.5%

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

PM $985.5K

PM $977.9K · K 78.7K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Javier Milei win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

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PM Yes 48.5%Rules differK Yes 59.5%

Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)

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PM Yes 58.5%Rules differK Yes 54.5%

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)

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PM Yes 48.5%Rules differK Yes 54.5%

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Saved prices; check contract rules.

30 saved comparisonsNext deadline Sep 1, 2027 UTC

Will ICEMAN by Drake spend 5 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 8.5%

How many weeks will Iceman spend at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?

K 157.1K contracts

Will ICEMAN by Drake spend 6 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 4.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028?Yes 17%

Will Trump run for a third term?

K 156.5K contracts

Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 14%

Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.9%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2027?Yes 7%

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

PM $968.0K

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.4%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above 45% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?Yes 6.4%

How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

K 156.3K contracts

Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above 43% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?Yes 6.2%

Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above 44% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?Yes 5.3%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

PM $945.3K

Will Josh Allen be the #1 ranked fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 49.5%

KalshiSports

Top Fantasy QB

K 155.3K contracts

Will Brock Purdy be the #1 ranked fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 16.5%

Will Jared Goff be the #1 ranked fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 5.5%

+34 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes 56.5%

Maduro Prison Time?

PM $924.6K

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes 24.5%

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Yes 5.7%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for NY-21?Yes 74.5%

NY-21 House winner?

K 150.5K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for NY-21?Yes 26.5%

PM $918.5K · K 3.74M contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Kansas Senate winner?

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kansas?

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PM Yes 62.5%Rules differK Yes 64.5%

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kansas?

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PM Yes 37.5%Rules differK Yes 36.5%

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Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?Yes 8.3%

Will the US take control of any part of Canada?

K 149.1K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 21, 2029 UTC

Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 8.3%

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

PM $916.2K

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 7.5%

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 6.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Who will win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election? (Bo French)Yes 55.5%

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

K 148.2K contracts

Who will win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election? (Jon Rosenthal)Yes 43.5%