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Showing 289-336 of 5,269 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: 1st Touchdown
K 64.9K contractsKenneth Walker III: 1st TouchdownYes 21.5%
Travis Kelce: 1st TouchdownYes 10.5%
Xavier Worthy: 1st TouchdownYes 9.5%
+25 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $170.1KWill the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes 13.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 13%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 64.4K contractsWill Tate McRae have above 2.3M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98%
Will Tate McRae have above 2.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Tate McRae have above 4M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 96%
+28 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $169.5KPapertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes 94.5%
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 93%
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?Yes 91%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla total deliveries in 2026
K 64.4K contractsWill Tesla Inc. report Above 1.55 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.5 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.6 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 96.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $168.1KTheo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 34%
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 19%
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 1%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
US test scores in Math in 2026?
K 62.8K contractsWill US test scores in Math decline? (No significant difference)Yes 42%
Will US test scores in Math decline? (Significant decrease)Yes 33%
Will US test scores in Math decline? (Significant increase)Yes 21%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $162.1KWill the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes 38%
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 20.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
How high will XRP get in October?
K 62.4K contractsWill XRP trimmed mean be above $1.60 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 11%
Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.70 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 8%
Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.10 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Anthropic lab leak by...?
PM $156.2KAnthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?Yes 6.5%
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
K 61.6K contractsWill a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?Yes 58.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $154.4KWill Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 59.4%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 9.3%
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 5.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the federal government start mining Bitcoin?
K 61.2K contractsWill the federal government start mining Bitcoin before 2027?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?
PM $151.4KAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 21.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Basketball Players Traded
K 61.1K contractsWill Zach LaVine be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Michael Porter Jr. be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Zion Williamson be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 50.5%
+43 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Oro launch a token by ___?
PM $150.2KWill Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 60.5%
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?
K 60.5K contractsWill SpaceX launch another Starship before Dec 11, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 27, 2026?Yes 75%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 17%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $149.9KWill Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 66%
Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes 8.8%
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?Yes 7%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
K 60.4K contracts1 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 8%
5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 4.5%
2 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Cambria FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $148.4KCambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes 66.5%
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?Yes 44%
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?Yes 22%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Time's Person of the Decade
K 60.4K contractsWho will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)Yes 39%
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Elon Musk)Yes 29%
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Taylor Swift)Yes 18%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2030 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Cambria launch a token by ___?
PM $146.5KWill Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 97.5%
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 94.7%
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 89.6%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?
K 59.9K contractsAI regulation by 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $143.4KWill the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 76%
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 10%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Amazon Credit Card Spend in October
K 59.6K contractsWill Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 94 ?Yes 97.5%
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 103 ?Yes 74.5%
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 106 ?Yes 69.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
PM $142.4KWill any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 38%
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
How many government shutdowns in 2026?
K 59.2K contractsWill the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 2 in 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 3 in 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 4 in 2026?Yes 7.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
PM $137.9KWill Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 55.5%
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 19.5%
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 8.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
ETH price on Oct 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
K 58.7K contractsEthereum price at Oct 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT? ($2,080 or above)Yes 99.5%
Ethereum price at Oct 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT? ($2,040 or above)Yes 99.5%
Ethereum price at Oct 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT? ($2,000 or above)Yes 99.5%
+37 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PM $137.7KWill over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Yes 8.5%
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Yes 6.5%
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Yes 6%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
K 58.6K contractsWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 61%
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $137.5KWill the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 22%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 8.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
When will Bitcoin cross $130k?
K 58.4K contractsWill Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 22.5%
Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jun 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 18.5%
Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will BULK launch a token by ___?
PM $136.7KWill BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 32%
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
K 57.1K contractsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?Yes 51.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
PM $136.1KMajor CEX insolvent in 2026?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 56.8K contractsWill October 13 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 28.5%
Will October 16 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 23.5%
Will October 14 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 17.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
PM $135.5KWill the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes 30.4%
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Yes 16.4%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?Yes 8.9%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?
K 56.7K contractsWill Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 21.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 14.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 6.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
What will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest reach in 2026?
PM $135.2KWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Yes 29.4%
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?Yes 8.9%
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
K 55.7K contractsWill Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Apr 2027?Yes 68%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Mar 2027?Yes 43%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Feb 2027?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PM $134.7KWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 16.5%
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 16.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?
K 55.3K contractsWill any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
SSI public model released by…?
PM $134.3KSSI public model released by December 31, 2026?Yes 37%
SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?Yes 33.5%
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Yes 9%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCrypto
When will Bitcoin hit $100k?
PM $133.0K · K 1.81M contractsWill Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $100000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?
Related contracts
PM Yes 20.5%Rules differK Yes 24.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
K 54.6K contractsManned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
K 54.6K contractsWill Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Tesla Optimus released this year?
PM $132.9K · K 433.3K contractsWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12.3%Rules differK Yes 6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC