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Showing 289-336 of 928 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiWorld
NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 10 Finishers
K 43.0K contractsCup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 10Yes 79%
Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 10Yes 73%
Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 10Yes 71.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
PM $9.9KIsrael Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
PM $9.7K · K 6.3K contractsJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 71.5%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 70.5%Rules differK Yes 71.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
K 42.7K contractsAbove 14000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 4000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
Above 18000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
K 42.2K contractsWill SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida this year?Yes 25%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?
PM $8.8KWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?Yes 5.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this month
K 42.0K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 71%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?
PM $8.7KWill the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2027?Yes 84.5%
Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by July 31, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Team Total Yards
K 39.8K contractsIndianapolis: 250+ Total YardsYes 58%
Indianapolis: 350+ Total YardsYes 57%
Indianapolis: 300+ Total YardsYes 54%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?
PM $8.5KWill Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 32%
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 31.5%
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 24.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?
PM $8.4K · K 1.3K contractsWill Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union conclude an agreement expanding rights for Canadians to live or work in the EU after September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 39.6K contractsWill Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 1.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this week
K 38.7K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 99%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
PM $8.3KIsrael Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
K 38.5K contractsWhen will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before 2027)Yes 39%
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before November)Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?
PM $8.2KWill Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 43.4%
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 22%
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 16%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Team Field Goals
K 38.3K contractsIndianapolis: 1+ Field GoalsYes 81%
Tennessee: 1+ Field GoalsYes 67%
Indianapolis: 2+ Field GoalsYes 46%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PM $8.1KWill SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 91%
Will NiP win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 4.4%
Will SNSD win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 3.4%
+4 more
KalshiPolitics
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
K 37.1K contractsWill Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 93%
Will Vladimir Padrino López de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 2.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 2.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Shas # of seats?
PM $8.1KWill Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 47.5%
Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 34.5%
Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 12%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pro Football Coaches Out Before March
K 36.8K contractsTodd Bowles out before Mar 1, 2027Yes 88%
Dan Quinn out before Mar 1, 2027Yes 80%
Nick Sirianni out before Mar 1, 2027Yes 66%
+29 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $8.0KWill Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 85.5%
Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 15%
Will Chantel Gibbs win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 0.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Hits
K 36.4K contractsYandy Díaz: 1+ hits?Yes 68.5%
Chandler Simpson: 1+ hits?Yes 66.5%
Steven Kwan: 1+ hits?Yes 64%
+47 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place
PM $7.9KWill PCN win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 49.5%
Will PDC win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 19%
Will Vamos win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?
K 35.4K contractsWill the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner
PM $7.9KWill Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?Yes 49%
Will Vladislav Kondratovič win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?Yes 17%
Will Ignotas Adomavičius win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 35.2K contractsWill the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.79 by Dec 31?Yes 94.5%
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $6.69 by Dec 31?Yes 64%
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $6.39 by Dec 31?Yes 61%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Dems # of seats?
PM $7.8KWill Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 37.5%
Will Dems win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 21%
Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 20.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?
K 35.1K contractsWill the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule be above 25000 in 2026?Yes 93%
Will the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule be above 27500 in 2026?Yes 82%
Will the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule be above 30000 in 2026?Yes 56.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Sep 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?
PM $7.5KWill Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 57.5%
Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 17%
Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 14%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy next meet?
K 34.6K contractsWill Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Turkey?Yes 16%
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the United Arab Emirates?Yes 9%
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Ukraine?Yes 4.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?
PM $7.5KWill Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 50%
Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 32.5%
Will Blue and White win 1.25-2% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 8.2%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026
K 34.5K contractsWill Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 50.6%?Yes 99.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 43.6%?Yes 99.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 49.8%?Yes 99%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Quebec General Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?
PM $7.4KWill the Parti Québécois win by between 10 and 19 seats?Yes 62.2%
Will the Parti Québécois win by between 20 and 29 seats?Yes 36%
2 mkts
KalshiTech
Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?
K 34.0K contractsWill Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 67.5%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
PM $7.3KEU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Yes 19%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
EU loses a member before 2030?
K 33.6K contractsWill a country leave the EU by 2030?Yes 10.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Yashar vote share?
PM $7.0KWill Yashar win 18-20% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 35.5%
Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 34.8%
Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 25.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs: First Week Streams
K 33.6K contractsWill Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs by Zach Bryan have above 5000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 99.5%
Will Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs by Zach Bryan have above 3000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 99.5%
Will Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs by Zach Bryan have above 2000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 99.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?
PM $6.4KWill United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 31.5%
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4-4.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 31%
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 24%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Song on Spotify in 2026?
K 33.1K contractsWill Babydoll be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 83%
Will End of Beginning be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 13%
Will Billie Jean be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Together vote share?
PM $6.4KWill Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 34%
Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 28.5%
Will Together win 11-13% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 13.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 32.5K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 30.4%Yes 46.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 37.6%Yes 45.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 34.8%Yes 44.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
France declares state of emergency by...?
PM $6.3KFrance declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Yes 23.5%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Yes 15.5%
France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?Yes 12%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
K 32.1K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 15%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?
PM $6.1KWill Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 45.5%
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 29%
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 15.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US ban crude oil exports?
K 31.7K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States has imposed a ban on exports of crude oil that has gone into effect before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Which party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?
PM $6.0KWill Nuevas Ideas (NI) gain the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 77%
Will PCN gain the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 3.8%
Will ARENA gain the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 3.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC