Search prediction markets

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?Yes 95.5%

Nevada visitor volume in 2026

K 66.1K contracts

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 48 million?Yes 92.5%

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 49 million?Yes 90.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jul 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

K 65.9K contracts

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?Yes 66.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Yes 91.8%

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

PM $34.5K

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Yes 73.5%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Yes 66.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiHealth

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

K 65.7K contracts

When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2029)Yes 91.5%

When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jul 1, 2028)Yes 87.5%

When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 72.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomics

US real GDP growth in 2026?

PM $34.0K · K 422.8K contracts

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Kalshi: GDP growth in 2026? (0.0% or Below)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 0.4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

The Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026

K 65.3K contracts

Will Bernie Sanders go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 54.5%

Will Tulsi Gabbard go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30.5%

Will Hunter Biden go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30%

+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes 25.4%

GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?

PM $33.8K

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 19%

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 17.9%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3350?Yes 99.5%

Connecticut gas prices tomorrow

K 65.2K contracts

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3300?Yes 99.5%

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3250?Yes 99%

+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Yes 77.5%

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

PM $33.7K

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?Yes 58%

Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Yes 48%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Amazon headcount in Q3

K 65.2K contracts

Will Amazon.com Inc. report Above 1.54 million employees (full-time & part-time, excl. contractors/temps) in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will Amazon.com Inc. report Above 1.56 million employees (full-time & part-time, excl. contractors/temps) in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%

Will Amazon.com Inc. report Above 1.58 million employees (full-time & part-time, excl. contractors/temps) in Q3 2026?Yes 94.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC

Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?Yes 59%

Alphabet’s Market Cap end of October 2026?

PM $32.5K

Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 33%

Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 10.4%

+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)

K 64.4K contracts

Will Tate McRae have above 2.3M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98%

Will Tate McRae have above 2.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will Tate McRae have above 4M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97%

+28 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes 5.5%

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

PM $32.5K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Tesla total deliveries in 2026

K 64.4K contracts

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.55 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.5 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.6 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 96.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes 91.5%

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

PM $32.1K

Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.5%

Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.4%

+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiTech

Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

PM $32.0K · K 259.3K contracts

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiFinancials

Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in Q3

K 64.4K contracts

Will Victoria's Secret & Co. report Above 2% total comparable sales growth in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%

Will Victoria's Secret & Co. report Above 3% total comparable sales growth in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%

Will Victoria's Secret & Co. report Above 4% total comparable sales growth in Q3 2026?Yes 92.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC

Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.2%?Yes 98.5%

US share of global GDP in 2026

K 63.3K contracts

Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.1%?Yes 98.5%

Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.4%?Yes 97.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 in October?Yes 93.5%

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?

PM $32.0K

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?Yes 69.5%

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?Yes 63.7%

+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

US test scores in Math in 2026?

K 62.8K contracts

Will US test scores in Math decline? (No significant difference)Yes 42%

Will US test scores in Math decline? (Significant decrease)Yes 33.5%

Will US test scores in Math decline? (Significant increase)Yes 21%

3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?Yes 51.5%

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?

PM $31.9K

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?Yes 23%

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?Yes 17.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Will rates hit zero in 2026?Yes 3.2%

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

K 62.6K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.8%

JIO Platforms IPO by...?

PM $31.8K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?

K 61.6K contracts

Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?Yes 59.3%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes 7.6%

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

PM $31.5K

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?Yes 3.3%

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?Yes 0.6%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC