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Showing 625-672 of 7,014 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Will the federal government start mining Bitcoin?
K 61.2K contractsWill the federal government start mining Bitcoin before 2027?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
PM $208.4KWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Georgia Governor winner?
PM $204.7K · K 1.79M contractsWill the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Georgia
Related contracts
PM Yes 51.5%Rules differK Yes 48.5%
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Georgia
Related contracts
PM Yes 48.5%Rules differK Yes 51.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
K 61.0K contractsWill the President sign between 400 and 449 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Yes 19.5%
Will the President sign between 450 and 499 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Yes 15.5%
Will the President sign between 350 and 399 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?Yes 14.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2029 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
When will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law?
PM $201.0K · K 28.2K contractsU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Kalshi: Will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 32.5%
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Kalshi: Will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 9%
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Kalshi: Will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Democratic Presidential ticket
K 60.9K contractsWill Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?Yes 8.3%
Will Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?Yes 7.2%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?Yes 6.1%
+23 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
K 60.2K contractsWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 22, 2027?Yes 70%
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Mar 15, 2027?Yes 66.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
PM $200.9KFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes 1.4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
K 60.0K contractsWill Jerry Moran vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?Yes 8.5%
Will Mike Lee vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?Yes 8%
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?Yes 7.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
PM $200.8KTrump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes 2.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?
K 59.9K contractsWill Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 53%
Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 51%
Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 40.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PM $200.8KAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes 22.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?
K 59.9K contractsAI regulation by 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
PM $198.2KWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
K 59.7K contractsWill Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
PM $195.4KWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes 2.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?
K 59.7K contractsWill the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 500 as of October 31, 2027?Yes 86%
Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 600 as of October 31, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 700 as of October 31, 2027?Yes 77.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
PM $193.6KWill Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?
PM $192.7K · K 104.8K contractsWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Kalshi: Will Bernie Sanders endorse James Talarico in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas before Nov 3, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 22.5%Rules differK Yes 23.5%
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Kalshi: Will Bernie Sanders endorse Dan Osborn in the 2026 United States Senate election in Nebraska before Nov 3, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 6.4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
How many government shutdowns in 2026?
K 59.2K contractsWill the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 2 in 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 3 in 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 4 in 2026?Yes 7.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-06 House winner?
K 59.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-06?Yes 94.5%
Will Kevin Kiley win the House race for CA-06?Yes 5.1%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-06?Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
PM $191.9KUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes 5.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
K 58.9K contractsWill Democrats hold 240 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 54 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
PM $190.8KWill Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?Yes 22%
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes 16.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Arizona Governor winner?
PM $188.2K · K 820.4K contractsWill the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arizona
Related contracts
PM Yes 92.5%Rules differK Yes 91%
Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arizona
Related contracts
PM Yes 87.5%Rules differK Yes 91%
Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arizona
Related contracts
PM Yes 11%Rules differK Yes 9.7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo
K 58.9K contractsWill Los Angeles Mayor be Nithya Raman wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra wins for Nov 2026?Yes 53.5%
Will Los Angeles Mayor be Karen Bass wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra wins for Nov 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will Los Angeles Mayor be Nithya Raman wins AND California Governor be Steve Hilton wins for Nov 2026?Yes 2.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 58.8K contractsWill October 13 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 28.5%
Will October 16 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 23.5%
Will October 14 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 17.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?
PM $187.6KRepublican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Yes 20.6%
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Yes 13.5%
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Yes 4.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
K 58.6K contractsWill the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 11 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 98%
Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 10 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 98%
Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 12 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 96%
+10 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which bills will become law in 2026?
PM $186.8KWill Export-control chip security become law this year?Yes 30.5%
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?Yes 23.5%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes 19.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-01 House winner?
K 58.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MD-01?Yes 88%
Will Democratic win the House race for MD-01?Yes 13%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PM $186.4KU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
K 57.8K contractsWill become President of the United States before 2045?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2045 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Another NATO article 4 by...?
PM $186.3KAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Yes 5.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026
K 57.3K contractsWill eBay Inc. report Above $84 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will eBay Inc. report Above $84.5 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will eBay Inc. report Above $85 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 85%
+14 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
EU dissolves before 2027?
PM $185.5KEU dissolves before 2027?Yes 1.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund in 2026?
K 57.2K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Mike Lindell has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Enrique Tarrio has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that anyone has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?
PM $183.9KShipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?Yes 93%
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?Yes 67%
+6 more
KalshiPolitics
European Central Bank rate decision in October
K 56.9K contractsWill the European Central Bank Maintain current rate at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 95.5%
Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 4%
Will the European Central Bank Cut 1-25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 1%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
PM $182.8KWill Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes 2.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will James Talarico drop out?
K 56.8K contractsWill James Talarico drop out of the 2026 Texas Senate race before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Montana Senate winner?
PM $181.1K · K 904.5K contractsWill the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Montana?
Related contracts
PM Yes 91.5%Rules differK Yes 89.8%
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Independents win the Senate race in Montana?
Related contracts
PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 9.6%
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Montana?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.3%Rules differK Yes 0.6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-06 House winner?
K 56.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for VA-06?Yes 93%
Will Democratic win the House race for VA-06?Yes 7.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
PM $180.3KU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Yes 2.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?
K 56.7K contractsWill Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 21.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 14.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 6.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PM $178.1KUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?
PM $177.9K · K 29.1K contractsWill Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
Kalshi: Will Lorne Doerkson be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?
Related contracts
PM Yes 77.5%Rules differK Yes 48.5%
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
Kalshi: Will Lorne Doerkson become Premier of British Columbia following the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 77.5%Rules differK Yes 74%
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?
Kalshi: Will David Eby become Premier of British Columbia following the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 22.5%Rules differK Yes 26%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?
K 56.6K contractsWill legislation that prohibits ICE agents conducting immigration enforcement operations from wearing facial coverings, with limited exceptions become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7.4%
Will legislation that requires ICE and CBP personnel engaged in enforcement operations to wear body-worn cameras become law in 2026?Yes 6.1%
Will legislation that requires ICE and CBP personnel engaged in law enforcement or immigration enforcement activities to wear a clearly visible, scannable QR code become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC