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Showing 673-720 of 7,549 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
K 59.7K contractsWill Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?
PM $187.6KRepublican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Yes 20.6%
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Yes 13.5%
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Yes 4.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?
K 59.7K contractsWill the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 500 as of October 31, 2027?Yes 86%
Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 600 as of October 31, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 700 as of October 31, 2027?Yes 77.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which bills will become law in 2026?
PM $186.8KWill Export-control chip security become law this year?Yes 30.5%
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?Yes 23.5%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes 19.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
How many government shutdowns in 2026?
K 59.2K contractsWill the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 2 in 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 3 in 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 4 in 2026?Yes 7.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PM $186.4KU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-06 House winner?
K 59.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-06?Yes 94.5%
Will Kevin Kiley win the House race for CA-06?Yes 5.1%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-06?Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Another NATO article 4 by...?
PM $186.3KAnother NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Yes 5.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
K 58.9K contractsWill Democrats hold 240 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 54 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
EU dissolves before 2027?
PM $185.5KEU dissolves before 2027?Yes 1.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo
K 58.9K contractsWill Los Angeles Mayor be Nithya Raman wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra wins for Nov 2026?Yes 53.5%
Will Los Angeles Mayor be Karen Bass wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra wins for Nov 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will Los Angeles Mayor be Nithya Raman wins AND California Governor be Steve Hilton wins for Nov 2026?Yes 2.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?
PM $183.9KShipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?Yes 93%
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?Yes 67%
+6 more
KalshiTech
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 58.8K contractsWill October 13 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 28.5%
Will October 16 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 23.5%
Will October 14 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 17.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
PM $182.8KWill Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes 2.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
K 58.6K contractsWill the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 11 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 98%
Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 10 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 98%
Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 12 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 96%
+10 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Montana Senate winner?
PM $181.1K · K 904.5K contractsWill the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Montana?
Related contracts
PM Yes 91.5%Rules differK Yes 89.8%
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Independents win the Senate race in Montana?
Related contracts
PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 9.6%
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Montana?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.3%Rules differK Yes 0.6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-01 House winner?
K 58.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MD-01?Yes 88%
Will Democratic win the House race for MD-01?Yes 13%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
PM $180.3KU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Yes 2.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
K 57.8K contractsWill become President of the United States before 2045?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2045 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PM $178.1KUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?
PM $177.9K · K 29.1K contractsWill Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
Kalshi: Will Lorne Doerkson be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?
Related contracts
PM Yes 77.5%Rules differK Yes 48.5%
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
Kalshi: Will Lorne Doerkson become Premier of British Columbia following the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 77.5%Rules differK Yes 74%
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?
Kalshi: Will David Eby become Premier of British Columbia following the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 22.5%Rules differK Yes 26%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026
K 57.3K contractsWill eBay Inc. report Above $84 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will eBay Inc. report Above $84.5 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will eBay Inc. report Above $85 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 85%
+14 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund in 2026?
K 57.2K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Mike Lindell has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Enrique Tarrio has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that anyone has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
PM $176.9KWill Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
European Central Bank rate decision in October
K 56.9K contractsWill the European Central Bank Maintain current rate at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 95.5%
Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 4%
Will the European Central Bank Cut 1-25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 1%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
PM $176.6KWill the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will James Talarico drop out?
K 56.8K contractsWill James Talarico drop out of the 2026 Texas Senate race before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?
PM $175.5KMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-06 House winner?
K 56.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for VA-06?Yes 93%
Will Democratic win the House race for VA-06?Yes 7.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?
PM $173.7KPete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027?Yes 55.5%
Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?Yes 37.5%
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?
K 56.7K contractsWill Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 21.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 14.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 6.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Senate Majority Leader?
PM $173.7KWill Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes 52.5%
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes 24.5%
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes 7.8%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?
K 56.6K contractsWill legislation that prohibits ICE agents conducting immigration enforcement operations from wearing facial coverings, with limited exceptions become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7.4%
Will legislation that requires ICE and CBP personnel engaged in enforcement operations to wear body-worn cameras become law in 2026?Yes 6.1%
Will legislation that requires ICE and CBP personnel engaged in law enforcement or immigration enforcement activities to wear a clearly visible, scannable QR code become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
PM $173.6KJames Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Yes 1.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Grammy nominees: Best New Artist
K 56.3K contracts2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? (Ella Langley)Yes 98.5%
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? (Slayyyter)Yes 76%
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? (SIENNA SPIRO)Yes 75%
+74 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
PM $173.2KAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?Yes 2.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Choosin’ Texas weeks at #1: October
K 55.3K contractsWill Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 87%
Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 2%
Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 1.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Idaho Senate winner?
PM $172.3K · K 405.6K contractsWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Idaho?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95.9%Rules differK Yes 94.6%
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Todd Achilless win the Senate race in Idaho?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.8%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Idaho?
Related contracts
PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
K 54.8K contractsWill the Republican Party loses majority control of the U.S. House of Representatives before the 2026 midterms?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by...?
PM $170.7KWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026?Yes 15%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Delaware Attorney General winner?
K 54.8K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Delaware?Yes 97.2%
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Delaware?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Iowa Senate and Governor Combo
PM $168.2K · K 2.52M contractsBlue tsunami in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democrats hold 215 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 48 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Related contracts
PM Yes 49.5%Rules differK Yes 91%
Blue wave in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democrats hold 215 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 48 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Related contracts
PM Yes 83.5%Rules differK Yes 91%
Blue wave in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the number of Iowa races won by the Democratic Party among IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, the U.S. Senate seat, and the Governorship during the November 3, 2026 general election be exactly 5?
Related contracts
PM Yes 83.5%Rules differK Yes 32%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
K 54.6K contractsWill Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
PM $167.5KMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Hampshire Senate margin of victory
K 54.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 85%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 75.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 66.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
PM $167.2KWill no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes 65%
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Yes 12.8%
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.1%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
K 54.4K contractsWill Joan Smalls be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Ashley Graham be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Alex Consani be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 90%
+34 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump visit North Korea by...?
PM $166.7KWill Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Yes 7.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC