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Showing 193-240 of 2,099 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEntertainment
Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
K 147.4K contractsWill Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?
PM $186.2KWill Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mkt
KalshiCulture
Boston Calling Music Festival 2027: Headliners
K 145.9K contractsWill Noah Kahan be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027?Yes 36.5%
Will The Strokes be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027?Yes 26.5%
Will Zach Bryan be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027?Yes 24%
+27 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
PM $180.7KSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Yes 66.5%
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Yes 14.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
K 145.4K contractsWill a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?Yes 54.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
PM $173.7KSituational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
K 145.3K contractsWho will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Donald Trump)Yes 52%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Bill Clinton)Yes 50.5%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Naomi Campbell)Yes 45%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
PM $173.4KWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 56.5%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 43%
Will Toy Story 5 have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes <0.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?
K 144.4K contractsWill a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 50.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 44.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 27.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $170.1KWill the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes 13.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 13%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Director
K 141.4K contractsWill Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70.5%
Will Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 6.5%
Will Olivia Wilde win Best Director at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 1.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $162.1KWill the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes 51.2%
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes 40.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 20.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actor
K 135.7K contracts2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Paul Giamatti)Yes 86.5%
2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Andrew Garfield)Yes 81.5%
2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Sam Rockwell)Yes 76%
+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Anthropic lab leak by...?
PM $156.2KAnthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?Yes 6.5%
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 133.8K contractsWill Taylor Swift have above 13.9M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.1M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.2M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $154.4KWill Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 59.4%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 9.3%
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 5.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Top U.S. Selling Album (Physical and Digital Sales Combined): 2026
K 132.7K contractsWill ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 81.5%
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 7%
Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 3.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
PM $152.8KWill Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 74%
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 16%
Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 6.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Anthropic market share this week
K 132.1K contractsAnthropic market share this week? (Above 4.5%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 4.0%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 3.8%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $149.9KWill Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 66%
Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes 9.7%
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?Yes 7%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
When will Frank Ocean release a new album?
PM $146.2K · K 10.4K contractsWill Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Frank Ocean release a new album in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 10%Rules differK Yes 16.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Comedy
K 130.5K contractsWill The Invite win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 24.5%
Will Club Kid win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 20%
Will The Debut win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 13%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
KalshiCulture
Who will announce a new tour this year?
K 130.4K contractsWill Lady Gaga announce a new tour this year?Yes 55.5%
Will Madonna announce a new tour this year?Yes 52.5%
Will Frank Ocean announce a new tour this year?Yes 50%
+17 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
PM $143.5KWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by October 31, 2026?Yes 88.8%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.B. Pritzker by October 31, 2026?Yes 79.9%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?Yes 60.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
NFL Players Traded
K 129.4K contractsWill Jonah Elliss be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 60%
Will Jerry Jeudy be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Spencer Rattler be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 56.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $143.4KWill the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 76%
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 10%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Top Song on Spotify U.S in 2026?
K 128.9K contractsWill Choosin’ Texas be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will DtMF be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
Will Earrings be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 1.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Top US Spotify Artist 2026
PM $143.1KWill Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes 83.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes 11.6%
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes 3.8%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
K 128.6K contractsGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1490)Yes 28%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1505)Yes 27.5%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1510)Yes 27%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
PM $142.4KWill any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
K 127.3K contractsWho will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? (Miley Cyrus)Yes 65.5%
Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? (JAY-Z)Yes 59%
Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? (T-Pain)Yes 49.5%
+130 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
PM $139.0KWill MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?Yes 99.9%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?Yes <0.1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes <0.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026
K 126.7K contractsWill Carnival Corporation report Above 97.2 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.1 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
PM $137.8KWill Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 54%
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 19.5%
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 8.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Elon purchase Ryanair?
K 125.4K contractsWill Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX take a stake in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $137.5KWill the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 23.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 8%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 123.4K contractsWill there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
TIME Person of the Year 2026
PM $135.1KWill Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes 16.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes 15.5%
+25 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Carolina vs Philadelphia: Receptions
K 123.2K contractsDeVonta Smith: 2+ receptionsYes 92%
Dallas Goedert: 2+ receptionsYes 87%
Tetairoa McMillan: 3+ receptionsYes 86.5%
+72 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PM $134.7KWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 64%
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 16.2%
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 15.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
K 122.9K contractsWill Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2099 UTC
PolymarketTech
SSI public model released by…?
PM $134.2KSSI public model released by December 31, 2026?Yes 39.5%
SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?Yes 33.5%
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Yes 9%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will have a top 20 song this year?
K 120.6K contractsWill Chappell Roan have a top 20 song this year?Yes 98%
Will Mariah Carey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
Will Lana Del Rey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
+86 moreNext deadline Dec 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
PM $133.0KWill the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes 41.4%
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Yes 17.9%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?Yes 11.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
K 119.2K contractsWill Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 63%
Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 30%
Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 3.5%
+65 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Tesla Optimus released this year?
PM $132.9K · K 433.3K contractsWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?
K 119.2K contractsWill Pennsylvania have at least 180 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 185 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 190 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 57.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PM $127.2KWill Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC