Browse prediction markets

Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2028?Yes 5.5%

How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?

K 93.4K contracts

Will government spending decrease by $200 billion before 2028?Yes 5.5%

Will government spending decrease by $750 billion before 2028?Yes 5.4%

+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2029 UTC

Will Georgia Governor winner be Republican party and Georgia Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 52.5%

Georgia Governor-Senate combo

K 92.8K contracts

Will Georgia Governor winner be Democratic party and Georgia Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 46.5%

Will Georgia Governor winner be Republican party and Georgia Senate winner be Republican party?Yes 3.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes 4.9%

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

PM $343.6K

Will Pete Buttigieg be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Yes 29%

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?

K 92.4K contracts

Will Andy Beshear be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Yes 19.5%

Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Yes 14%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC

Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 15.9%

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

PM $342.0K

Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 13.2%

Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 1.6%

+9 more

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Michigan Governor winner?

PM $340.5K · K 445.3K contracts

Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Michigan

Related contracts

PM Yes 93.8%Rules differK Yes 92.8%

Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Michigan

Related contracts

PM Yes 6%Rules differK Yes 7.6%

Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Mike Duggan (Independent) win the governorship in Michigan

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Yashar win the next Israeli legislative election? (Yashar)Yes 67%

Israeli legislative election winner?

K 92.2K contracts

Who will win the next Israeli legislative election? (Likud)Yes 31.5%

Will Together win the next Israeli legislative election? (Together)Yes 2%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC

Will "Housewife" rank No. 3–4 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 41.5%

"Housewife" by Tate McRae · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Oct 31, 2026)

K 91.7K contracts

Will "Housewife" rank No. 1–2 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 33%

Will "Housewife" rank No. 5–6 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 4%

+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketScience

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

PM $336.4K

Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Yes 77.8%

Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Yes 7.8%

Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Yes 4.7%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes 99.2%

Vancouver mayoral election winner?

K 91.4K contracts

Will Gölök Z. Buday win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes 0.5%

Will Muhammad Ahmad win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes 0.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 25.1%

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

PM $335.6K

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 24.5%

Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 13.7%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for CO-05?Yes 76.5%

CO-05 House winner?

K 91.4K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for CO-05?Yes 24.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6%

China x India military clash by...?

PM $333.2K

Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before January 1, 2027?Yes 8.5%

KalshiWorld

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

K 90.5K contracts

Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before December 1, 2026?Yes 7%

Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before November 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?Yes 3%

European military action against Iran by...?

PM $332.4K

Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?Yes 1.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 96.5%

MercadoLibre items sold in 2026

K 90.2K contracts

Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.1 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 95.5%

Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.05 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 95.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

PolymarketKalshiTech

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

PM $331.3K · K 868.2K contracts

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? (Before 2027)

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?Yes 42%

Will Trump impose martial law?

K 89.6K contracts

Will Trump impose martial law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 31%

Will Trump impose martial law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Israel military action against Yemen by December 31?Yes 27%

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

PM $331.1K

Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?Yes 8.7%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Will New York City experience population change between 0.01% and 0.99% during 2025-2027?Yes 39.5%

NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

K 89.1K contracts

Will New York City experience population change between -0.99% and 0% during 2025-2027?Yes 32.5%

Will New York City experience population change between 1% and 1.99% during 2025-2027?Yes 7%

+5 moreNext deadline Jun 1, 2029 UTC

Will Donald Trump visit Kansas in 2026?Yes 98.1%

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

PM $330.6K

Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026?Yes 61%

Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?Yes 52%

+18 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

K 89.0K contracts

Will the Secretary of State visit India before 2027?Yes 97.5%

Will the Secretary of State visit Uzbekistan before 2027?Yes 95.5%

Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?Yes 27.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?Yes 15%

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?

PM $330.0K

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

How many billionaires will New York City lose this year? (At least 1)Yes 55%

How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?

K 89.0K contracts

How many billionaires will New York City lose this year? (At least 2)Yes 45%

How many billionaires will New York City lose this year? (At least 3)Yes 27%

+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 15.3%

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

PM $328.3K

Will Texas Governor winner be Republican party and Texas Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 40%

Texas Governor-Senate combo

K 88.3K contracts

Will Texas Governor winner be Republican party and Texas Senate winner be Republican party?Yes 37.5%

Will Texas Governor winner be Democratic party and Texas Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 23.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?Yes 16.5%

Saudi airspace closed by...?

PM $325.6K

Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Yes 4.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiScience

Dallas vs Green Bay: Receptions

K 88.2K contracts

CeeDee Lamb: 3+ receptionsYes 92.5%

Tucker Kraft: 2+ receptionsYes 91.5%

Matthew Golden: 3+ receptionsYes 85.5%

+87 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC

Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.8%

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

PM $319.6K

Manchin Senate combo: Both lose?Yes 55%

Manchin Senate combo: Rogers & Collins

K 87.3K contracts

Manchin Senate combo: Both win?Yes 23.5%

Manchin Senate combo: Rogers loses, Collins wins?Yes 19.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Yes 80.5%

Next Press Secretary announced by...?

PM $319.4K

Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Yes 59.5%

Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Yes 19.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?Yes 2.4%

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?

K 86.9K contracts

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.3%

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

PM $317.8K

Will the United States add another state before date?Yes 13%

Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?

K 86.6K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC