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Showing 1,105-1,152 of 8,624 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?
K 48.5K contractsWill the US fall below 7.60 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028Yes 85%
Will the US fall below 7.50 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028Yes 64%
Will the US fall below 7.25 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028Yes 38.5%
+1 moreNext deadline May 17, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-36 House Election Winner
PM $86.1KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-36 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?
K 48.4K contractsWill the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 94%
Will democracy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 6.5%
Will the Iran war and foreign policy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 5%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PM $85.8KWill the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 75.5%
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 16.4%
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
K 48.3K contractsWhere will Trump and Putin next meet? (China)Yes 81.5%
Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur? (Alaska)Yes 7.5%
Where will Trump and Putin next meet? (Germany)Yes 5.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-26 House Election Winner
PM $85.8KWill the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes 88.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
K 48.2K contractsWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 1.99% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 87.5%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 2.49% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 82.5%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 70%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PM $85.5KWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Yes 11.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New York gas prices tomorrow
K 48.2K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.3900?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3850?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3800?Yes 99.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
PM $84.9KWill Citigroup fail by end of 2026?Yes 3.4%
Will RBC fail by end of 2026?Yes 3.4%
Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?Yes 3.3%
+16 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alberta referendum: Remain vote share?
K 47.7K contractsWill Remain receive at least 60% of valid votes in Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum?Yes 96.5%
Will Remain receive at least 65% of valid votes in Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum?Yes 86.5%
Will Remain receive at least 70% of valid votes in Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum?Yes 72.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner
PM $84.8KWill Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes 53.5%
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes 43.5%
Will Álvaro Dias win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes <0.1%
+6 more
KalshiTech
South Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
K 47.6K contractsWill South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.2 million TEUs?Yes 93.5%
Will South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.3 million TEUs?Yes 87.5%
Will South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.4 million TEUs?Yes 36.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-01 House Election Winner
PM $84.8KWill the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?Yes 69%
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Yes 31%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 47.6K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 9500000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 10000000?Yes 92.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 10500000?Yes 89%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-04 House Election Winner
PM $84.1KWill the Democratic Party win the NC-04 House seat?Yes 96.8%
Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
K 47.5K contractsWill Rahm Emanuel be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Yes 31%
Will Ro Khanna be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Yes 14.5%
Will Pete Buttigieg be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Yes 12%
+30 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?
PM $84.1KWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 in October?Yes 83%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in October?Yes 83%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 in October?Yes 69%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?
K 47.4K contractsWill Chuck Schumer no longer be Senate Minority Leader in 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
PM $84.0KZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
K 47.3K contractsWill Tina Kotek underperform Kamala Harris in Oregon?Yes 95%
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala Harris in Maine?Yes 84.5%
Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala Harris in New York?Yes 44.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
PM $83.9KWill the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes 95.5%
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes 2.4%
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes 1.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)
K 47.2K contractsWho will win Chicago Mayoral Election? (Alexi Giannoulias)Yes 68.5%
Who will win Chicago Mayoral Election? (Brandon Johnson)Yes 13.1%
Who will win Chicago Mayoral Election? (Paul Vallas)Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 23, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Epic Games' valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $83.7KWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?Yes 26.9%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?Yes 22.5%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Celsius Point of Sale Growth in October
K 47.2K contractsWill Celsius Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 79 ?Yes 98%
Will Celsius Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 83 ?Yes 77.5%
Will Celsius Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 85 ?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
PM $83.6KWill Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Yes 36%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026
K 47.1K contractsWill dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.00 Tcf?Yes 97.5%
Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.25 Tcf?Yes 96.5%
Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.50 Tcf?Yes 95%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
PM $83.1KWill Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes 29.8%
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes 25.9%
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes 11.4%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world?
K 46.9K contractsWill Jeff Bezos be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 90.5%
Will Larry Page be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 85.5%
Will Elon Musk be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-06 House Election Winner
PM $82.8KWill the Republican Party win the OH-06 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
K 46.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 38.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 31%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 27.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $82.5KWill Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by December 31?Yes 2.9%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?Yes 2.1%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?Yes 1.9%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
K 46.9K contractsWill Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 47.5%
Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 25%
Will Donald Trump endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 9.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-12 House Election Winner
PM $82.0KWill the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?Yes 94%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Illinois gas prices tomorrow
K 46.9K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.6500?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.6450?Yes 98%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.6550?Yes 95%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-11 House Election Winner
PM $82.0KWill the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?Yes 95.9%
Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Lisa Cook departure announced?
K 46.8K contractsLisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2029?Yes 25.5%
Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jul 2028?Yes 20.5%
Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2028?Yes 15.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
HI-02 House Election Winner
PM $81.5KWill the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republican Party win the HI-02 House seat?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 3500+ Passing Yards Season
K 46.3K contractsWill Bryce Young record 3500+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 77%
Will Joe Burrow record 3500+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 73.5%
Will Dak Prescott record 3500+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 72.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
PM $81.1KWill Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 17%
Will Yemen join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%
Will Iraq join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 8%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine Governor-Senate combo
K 46.2K contractsWill Maine Governor winner be Democratic party and Maine Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 55.5%
Will Maine Governor winner be Democratic party and Maine Senate winner be Republican party?Yes 39.5%
Will Maine Governor winner be Republican party and Maine Senate winner be Republican party?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
PM $80.8KWill Iran legalize gay marriage?Yes 1.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump restrict SNAP benefits?
K 46.1K contractsWill a bill that restricts SNAP benefits become law before Jan 4, 2027?Yes 8.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-05 House Election Winner
PM $80.2KWill the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Yes 96.8%
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film
K 46.1K contracts2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations? (NAZA)Yes 84%
2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations? (You Can See Everything)Yes 77%
2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations? (Once Upon a Time in Harlem)Yes 75.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?
PM $79.9KWill Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Yes 60.5%
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?Yes 14%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?
K 45.9K contractsWill Michael Malchieli be Minister of the Interior as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 12.5%
Will Yoav Ben-Tzur be Minister of the Interior as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 8.5%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be Minister of the Interior as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 4%
+26 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-04 House Election Winner
PM $79.5KWill the Republican Party win the TX-04 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-04 House seat?Yes 0.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC