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Showing 1,201-1,248 of 6,988 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

How many Senate seats will Independents win in the Midterms?
K 25.5K contractsWill the number of U.S. Senate seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 23.5%
Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 9.5%
Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?
PM $62.0KWill Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by June 30, 2027?Yes 23%
Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

IL-04 House winner?
K 25.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for IL-04?Yes 93.9%
Will Chris Getty win the House race for IL-04?Yes 5.5%
Will Republican win the House race for IL-04?Yes 1.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

AK-AL House Election Winner
PM $62.0KWill the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?Yes 85.5%
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?Yes 14.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?Yes 1.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
K 25.4K contractsWill Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 38%
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 18.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-09 House Election Winner
PM $61.5KWill the Democratic Party win the NY-09 House seat?Yes 97%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-09 House seat?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maryland State Senate District 2 winner?
K 25.3K contractsWho will win the 2026 Maryland State Senate District 2 general election? (Paul Corderman)Yes 93%
Who will win the 2026 Maryland State Senate District 2 general election? (Eric Van Buren)Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Michoacán Governor Election Winner
PM $61.4KWill Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 35.1%
Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 28.8%
Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 11.6%
+19 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

LA-04 Democratic nominee?
K 25.1K contractsWill Conrad Cable be the Democratic nominee for LA-04?Yes 7.3%
Will Matt Gromlich be the Democratic nominee for LA-04?Yes 1.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

FL-08 House Election Winner
PM $61.1KWill the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?Yes 94.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana's 5th District margin of victory
K 25.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 92.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketSports

Pro Football: AFC East Champion
PM $61.0KWill Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?Yes 67.5%
Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?Yes 29.5%
Will New York Jets win the 2026 AFC East?Yes 2.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa: Sand's margin vs. Turek's margin?
K 25.0K contractsWill Rob Sand's governor margin minus Josh Turek's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 32.5%
Will Rob Sand's governor margin minus Josh Turek's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 24%
Will Rob Sand's governor margin minus Josh Turek's Senate margin be between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 21.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-02 House Election Winner
PM $61.0KWill the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat?Yes 97.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-02 House seat?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Top 5 Fantasy RB
K 24.9K contractsWill Bijan Robinson be a top 5 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 75%
Will Kenneth Walker III be a top 5 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 67.5%
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be a top 5 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 55.5%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

ND-AL House Election Winner
PM $61.0KWill the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?Yes 96.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the ND-AL House seat?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria?
K 24.9K contractsWill the US reopen its embassy in Syria before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 34%
Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-14 House Election Winner
PM $60.9KWill the Democratic Party win the NY-14 House seat?Yes 96.7%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
K 24.9K contractsWill Donald Trump visit Kansas in Oct 2026?Yes 99%
Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina in Oct 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Donald Trump visit Michigan in Oct 2026?Yes 96.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner
PM $60.9KWill Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Yes 90%
Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Yes 6%
2 mkts
KalshiPolitics

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
K 24.8K contractsWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 97%
Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 95.5%
Will Nathalie Arthaud appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 89.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-31 House Election Winner
PM $60.8KWill the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?Yes 95%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-31 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kaohsiung mayoral election winner?
K 24.8K contractsWill Lai Jui-lung win the 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election?Yes 84%
Will Ko Chih-en win the 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election?Yes 14.5%
Will Zhang Jing win the 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IL-01 House Election Winner
PM $60.5KWill the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MI-01 House winner?
K 24.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MI-01?Yes 89%
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-01?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?
PM $60.3KMohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump embargo a new country?
K 24.7K contractsWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing a comprehensive trade embargo on a new foreign country before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-09 House Election Winner
PM $60.1KWill the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-09 House seat?Yes 2.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
K 24.7K contractsWill France vote to leave the EU before 2030?Yes 4.9%
Will Italy vote to leave the EU before 2030?Yes 4.5%
Will Hungary vote to leave the EU before 2030?Yes 4.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-01 House Election Winner
PM $60.1KWill the Republican Party win the TX-01 House seat?Yes 96.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-11 House winner?
K 24.7K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-11?Yes 95.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-11?Yes 4.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner
PM $60.1KWill Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Yes 27%
Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Yes 27%
Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Yes 26.9%
+18 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Scottish independence referendum called?
K 24.7K contractsNew Scottish referendum called before 2030?Yes 25.5%
New Scottish referendum called before 2029?Yes 10.5%
New Scottish referendum called before 2028?Yes 6.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

UT-04 House Election Winner
PM $60.0KWill the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat?Yes 95.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the UT-04 House seat?Yes 4.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Which lists will win a Knesset seat?
K 24.6K contractsWill Yashar win at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 98%
Will Shas win at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 98%
Will Likud win at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 98%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NC-06 House Election Winner
PM $60.0KWill the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?Yes 90.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models
K 24.6K contractsWill Lady Gaga be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?Yes 42.5%
Will Taylor Swift be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will Rihanna be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?Yes 23%
+27 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MO-06 House Election Winner
PM $60.0KWill the Republican Party win the MO-06 House seat?Yes 95%
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

MI-03 House winner?
PM $59.6K · K 9.4K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for MI-3?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95%Rules differK Yes 94.2%
Will the Republican Party win the MI-03 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for MI-3?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.2%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida?
K 24.5K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida originally scheduled for October 23, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 97.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida originally scheduled for October 23, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 95.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida originally scheduled for October 23, 2026? (Stock Market)Yes 92.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kansas's 3rd District margin of victory
K 24.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 93.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 91.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

KY-06 House Election Winner
PM $59.6KWill the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Yes 66.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Yes 34.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)
K 24.5K contractsWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon finish 3rd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 36.5%
Will Édouard Philippe finish 3rd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 25%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish 3rd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 11.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Regional Board Chair of Halland?
PM $59.5KWill Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes 87%
Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes 7%
Will Lise-Lotte Bensköld Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes <0.1%
+3 more
KalshiPolitics

Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
K 24.5K contractsWill Cyril Ramaphosa leave office next in this set?Yes 13.5%
Will Bola Tinubu leave office next in this set?Yes 12.5%
Will John Mahama leave office next in this set?Yes 6%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands
PM $59.5KWill Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes 97.5%
Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes 1.6%
Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes 0.9%
3 mkts
KalshiPolitics

Georgia Governor margin of victory
K 24.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 43%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 15.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 7.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Tim Walz in jail by...?
PM $59.4KTim Walz in jail by December 31?Yes 0.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC