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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 97-144 of 1,392 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiCompanies
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
K 243.6K contractsWhen will Starlink IPO? (Before Jun 30, 2027)Yes 5.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 4.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
PM $291.5KWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 27.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 24.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Yes 23.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
K 239.6K contractsWill OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?Yes 20%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?
PM $278.5KWill NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 26.5%
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 19.5%
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 10.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
PM $278.2K · K 140.2K contractsWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Kalshi: Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 9.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receiving Yards
K 235.6K contractsEmeka Egbuka: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Chris Godwin Jr.: 25+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Chris Godwin Jr.: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
+83 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
K 232.9K contractsWill Bank of Canada maintain the current rate at their October 2026 meeting?Yes 82.5%
Will Bank of Canada hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?Yes 17.5%
Will Bank of Canada hike rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $273.4KWill North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 23.5%
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 10.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
New Orleans vs New York G: Receiving Yards
K 232.1K contractsIsaiah Likely: 40+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Isaiah Likely: 25+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Devaughn Vele: 25+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
+96 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PM $260.0KWill the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes 32.5%
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes 32%
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes 17.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
K 229.8K contractsHow many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)Yes 99.5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)Yes 97.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
PM $253.4KWill CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 28.5%
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 22.5%
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiWorld
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
K 227.3K contractsWill Pope Leo XIV visit Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Peru before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 72%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
PM $241.7KWill Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 42.5%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 35%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 12.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Robinhood funded customers in 2026
K 218.8K contractsWill Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 99%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.4 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.2 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 97.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
PM $237.9KWill any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 19%
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.7%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will have a top 10 song this year?
K 207.5K contractsWill Don Toliver have a top 10 song this year?Yes 99.5%
Will Mariah Carey have a top 10 song this year?Yes 97%
Will Chappell Roan have a top 10 song this year?Yes 94.5%
+105 moreNext deadline Dec 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PM $228.4KWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 57.9%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Carolina vs Philadelphia: Receptions
K 207.2K contractsTommy Tremble: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Dameon Pierce: 2+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Dallas Goedert: 3+ receptionsYes 99.5%
+73 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
PM $224.1KWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Yes 46.4%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 30%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Yes 9.2%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027: Headliner
K 206.9K contractsWill Vampire Weekend be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%
Will Tyler, The Creator be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%
Will Travis Scott be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
PM $215.4KWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 61.5%
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 12%
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
K 204.1K contractsWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 30 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
PM $208.8KWill Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes 33.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes 20.5%
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes 9.4%
+54 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
K 200.4K contractsWill USAID be eliminated?Yes 17.5%
Will EPA be eliminated?Yes 11.3%
Will IRS be eliminated?Yes 7.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketTech
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
PM $207.1KWill Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 9.4%
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 4.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
K 194.1K contractsWill Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 27.5%
Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 15.5%
Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 6.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
PM $205.3KWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes 65%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Will Stripe acquire PayPal this year?
PM $187.0K · K 29.8K contractsWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Stripe and Advent International (collectively) announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Stripe and Advent International (collectively) announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
K 192.4K contractsWhich company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Amazon)Yes 16.5%
Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Netflix)Yes 8.5%
Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Disney)Yes 4.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
K 184.8K contractsWill OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
PM $180.7KSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Yes 66.5%
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Yes 14.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
K 181.3K contractsWill quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?Yes 32.6%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketTech
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
PM $173.7KSituational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will any company achieve AGI?
K 180.4K contractsWill any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 81.5%
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 77.5%
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 77.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $170.1KWill the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes 13.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 13%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
American Express cards-in-force in Q3
K 179.7K contractsWill American Express Company report Above 154.5 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will American Express Company report Above 155 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will American Express Company report Above 155.5 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 72.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 13, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $162.1KWill the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes 38%
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 20.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top 5 most searched people on Google in 2026
K 171.8K contractsWill Lindsay Clancy be the #Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list?Yes 76.5%
Will Erling Haaland be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 53.5%
Will Savannah Guthrie be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 43.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Anthropic lab leak by...?
PM $156.2KAnthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?Yes 6.5%
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
K 171.2K contractsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (United States)Yes 56.5%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (China)Yes 30.9%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (Russia)Yes 1.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
PolymarketTech
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $154.4KWill Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 59.4%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 9.3%
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 5.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners
K 170.1K contractsWill Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 76.5%
Will Jon Batiste be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Noah Kahan be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 56.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $149.9KWill Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 66%
Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes 8.8%
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?Yes 7%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
New Orleans vs New York G: Receptions
K 168.9K contractsBryce Lance: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Kendre Miller: 2+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Malik Nabers: 4+ receptionsYes 99.5%
+88 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $143.4KWill the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 76%
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 10%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?
K 167.5K contractsWill Tesla Inc report above 0 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 83%
Will Tesla Inc report above 1000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 29.5%
Will Tesla Inc report above 5000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 13%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
PM $142.4KWill any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 38%
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC