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Economics prediction markets

1,573 economics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 97-144 of 1,573 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

PolymarketKalshiWorld
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November

PM $157.1K · K 25.5K contracts

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 81%

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 70%Rules differK Yes 81%

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 21.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Number of rate hikes in 2026?

Number of rate hikes in 2026?

K 272.9K contracts
Will there be exactly 2 Fed rate hikes in 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will there be exactly 1 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will there be exactly 3 Fed rate hikes in 2026?Yes 8.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

K 272.3K contracts
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q3 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q3 2026?Yes 99%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?

Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?

PM $150.4K
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes 5.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Jan 2027?

Fed decision in Jan 2027?

K 249.7K contracts
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2027 meeting?Yes 62.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?Yes 32.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

PM $146.7K
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?Yes 94.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in October?Yes 60%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?Yes 58%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?

When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?

K 243.6K contracts
When will Starlink IPO? (Before Jun 30, 2027)Yes 5.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 4.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $146.6K
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Yes 75.5%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?Yes 24%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?Yes 12%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026

Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026

K 241.4K contracts
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?Yes 96.5%
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 90.0 TWh?Yes 95.5%
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh?Yes 94.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $146.6K
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Yes 45.5%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31?Yes 38%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Yes 37%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receiving Yards

K 235.6K contracts
Emeka Egbuka: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Chris Godwin Jr.: 25+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Chris Godwin Jr.: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
+83 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

PM $141.0K
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Yes 67.7%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Yes 10.5%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?Yes 5.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

K 232.9K contracts
Will Bank of Canada maintain the current rate at their October 2026 meeting?Yes 82.5%
Will Bank of Canada hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?Yes 17.5%
Will Bank of Canada hike rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will USD/KRW hit __ in 2026?

Will USD/KRW hit __ in 2026?

PM $137.6K
Will USD/KRW hit 1300 (Low) in 2026?Yes 40%
Will USD/KRW hit 1200 (Low) in 2026?Yes 12%
Will USD/KRW hit 1000 (Low) in 2026?Yes 10.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026

Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026

K 231.1K contracts
Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.4 million TEUs?Yes 95.5%
Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.5 million TEUs?Yes 94.5%
Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.6 million TEUs?Yes 88.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

PM $133.8K
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Yes 27.5%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?Yes 22.5%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?

Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?

PM $132.3K · K 193.7K contracts

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Kalshi: Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 7.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Texas crude oil production in 2026

Texas crude oil production in 2026

K 220.2K contracts
Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.6 million barrels/day?Yes 98.5%
Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.7 million barrels/day?Yes 97.5%
Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.8 million barrels/day?Yes 26.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Robinhood funded customers in 2026

Robinhood funded customers in 2026

K 218.8K contracts
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 99%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.4 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.2 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 97.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

PM $126.9K
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Yes 65%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Yes 29.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Visitors to Florida in 2026

Visitors to Florida in 2026

K 209.1K contracts
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?Yes 97.5%
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 138 million?Yes 94.5%
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million?Yes 79.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

PM $126.9K
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes 32.5%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Yes 29.1%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?Yes 5.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receptions

Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receptions

K 205.3K contracts
Laquon Treadwell: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson: 2+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Keenan Allen: 3+ receptionsYes 99.5%
+79 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

PM $125.2K
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Yes 24%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?Yes 7.2%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Core CPI YoY in November

Core CPI YoY in November

K 204.6K contracts
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.0% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.3% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.2% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 97.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
USD x Iranian rials End of December?

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

PM $122.3K
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes 25.5%
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes 25%
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes 21.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

K 186.1K contracts
Will the Fed have an emergency meeting before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

PM $119.6K
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?Yes 38.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?Yes 22.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?Yes 21.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will there be a Trump economic boom?

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

K 181.3K contracts
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?Yes 32.6%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

PM $119.5K
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Yes 88.9%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?Yes 4.2%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Yes 4.2%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?

How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?

K 179.1K contracts
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31199.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 99.5%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 99.5%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30799.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 99.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
China Annual Inflation 2026

China Annual Inflation 2026

PM $118.2K
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Yes 49.5%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Yes 37.5%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?Yes 11.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

K 175.8K contracts
Which countries will have recessions? (United Kingdom)Yes 14.4%
Which countries will have recessions? (Japan)Yes 5.6%
Which countries will have recessions? (China)Yes 3.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

PM $112.0K
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Yes 88.9%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Yes 6.5%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?Yes 2.9%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?

K 174.4K contracts
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Yes 95.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Yes 95.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Yes 95%
+22 moreNext deadline May 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $108.1K
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?Yes 45.5%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?Yes 28.5%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?Yes 12.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Wyoming total coal production in 2026

Wyoming total coal production in 2026

K 173.9K contracts
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?Yes 96.5%
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 190 MMst?Yes 94.5%
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 200 MMst?Yes 83.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $104.9K
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?Yes 64.5%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Yes 40%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?

Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?

K 171.8K contracts
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25249.85 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 86.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

PM $104.7K
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?Yes 0.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of Israel rate decision in October

Bank of Israel rate decision in October

PM $103.4K · K 11.4K contracts

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 92.1%Rules differK Yes 92%

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Israel Cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.1%Rules differK Yes 8%

Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Israel Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.2%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receptions

Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receptions

K 166.5K contracts
Ted Hurst III: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Kenny Gainwell: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Emeka Egbuka: 3+ receptionsYes 99.5%
+80 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Average Wall Street bonus in 2026

Average Wall Street bonus in 2026

K 166.4K contracts
Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $200,000?Yes 97.5%
Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $225,000?Yes 95.5%
Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $250,000?Yes 85.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
India Annual Inflation 2026

India Annual Inflation 2026

PM $102.8K
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?Yes 98%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 0.75% and 1.49%?Yes 1%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%?Yes 0.9%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 13, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026

California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026

K 163.3K contracts
Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 680,000?Yes 97.5%
Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 690,000?Yes 94.5%
Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 700,000?Yes 86.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $100.1K
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Yes 55%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?Yes 20%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?Yes 17.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026

Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026

K 160.8K contracts
Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 447,500 jobs?Yes 96.5%
Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 450,000 jobs?Yes 95.5%
Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 452,500 jobs?Yes 91.5%
+4 moreNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

PM $99.6K
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Yes 70%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 18%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 15, 2027 UTC