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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 97-144 of 1,261 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
K 204.1K contractsWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 30 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
PM $291.5KWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 27.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 24.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Yes 24%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
K 200.4K contractsWill USAID be eliminated?Yes 17.5%
Will EPA be eliminated?Yes 11.3%
Will IRS be eliminated?Yes 7.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketTech
NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?
PM $278.5KWill NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 26.5%
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 19.5%
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 10.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
PM $277.7K · K 140.2K contractsWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Kalshi: Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
K 193.9K contractsWill Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 28.5%
Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 15.5%
Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 6.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
K 184.8K contractsWill OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $273.4KWill North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 23.5%
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 10.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top 5 most searched people on Google in 2026
K 171.8K contractsWill Lindsay Clancy be the #Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list?Yes 76.5%
Will Erling Haaland be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 53.5%
Will Savannah Guthrie be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 43.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PM $260.0KWill the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes 32.5%
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes 32%
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes 18%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
K 171.2K contractsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (United States)Yes 56.5%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (China)Yes 30.9%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (Russia)Yes 1.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
PolymarketTech
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
PM $253.1KWill CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 28.5%
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 22.5%
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 14.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners
K 170.1K contractsWill Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 76.5%
Will Jon Batiste be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Noah Kahan be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 56.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
PM $241.7KWill Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 42.5%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 35%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 12.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?
K 167.5K contractsWill Tesla Inc report above 0 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 83%
Will Tesla Inc report above 1000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 29.5%
Will Tesla Inc report above 5000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 13%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
PM $237.9KWill any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 47%
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 19%
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.6%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026
K 166.5K contractsWho will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? (Noah Wyle)Yes 82.5%
Who will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? (David Corenswet)Yes 7%
Who will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? (Bad Bunny)Yes 4.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PM $227.5KWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 57.8%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
K 163.3K contractsWill total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 680,000?Yes 97.5%
Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 690,000?Yes 94.5%
Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 700,000?Yes 86.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
PM $224.1KWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Yes 46.2%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 35.5%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Yes 9.2%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say this week?
K 161.3K contractsWill Trump say "Bibi / Netanyahu" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Zacharia" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 27.5%
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 9.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
PM $215.4KWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 62%
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 158.2K contractsAbove 0 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 17.5%
Above 1 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 12.5%
Above 2 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 11%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
PM $208.8KWill Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes 33.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes 20.5%
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes 9.4%
+54 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
K 157.1K contractsWhat kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)Yes 8.5%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)Yes 7%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)Yes 6.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
PM $206.0KWill Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 14.8%
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 6.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
K 145.4K contractsWill a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?Yes 54.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
PM $205.3KWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes 65%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
K 145.3K contractsWho will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Donald Trump)Yes 52%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Bill Clinton)Yes 50.5%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Naomi Campbell)Yes 45%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
PM $180.7KSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Yes 66.5%
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Yes 14.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?
K 144.4K contractsWill a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 50.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 44.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 27.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
PM $173.7KSituational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actor
K 135.7K contracts2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Paul Giamatti)Yes 86.5%
2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Andrew Garfield)Yes 81.5%
2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Sam Rockwell)Yes 76%
+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $170.1KWill the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes 13.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 13%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 133.8K contractsWill Taylor Swift have above 13.9M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.1M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.2M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $162.1KWill the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes 51.2%
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes 40.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 20.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Anthropic market share this week
K 132.1K contractsAnthropic market share this week? (Above 4.5%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 4.0%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 3.8%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Anthropic lab leak by...?
PM $156.2KAnthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?Yes 6.5%
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
NFL Players Traded
K 129.4K contractsWill Jonah Elliss be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 60%
Will Jerry Jeudy be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Spencer Rattler be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 56.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $154.4KWill Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 59.4%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 9.3%
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 5.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiSports
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
K 128.6K contractsGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1490)Yes 28%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1505)Yes 27.5%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1510)Yes 27%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $149.9KWill Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 66%
Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes 9.7%
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?Yes 7%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026
K 126.7K contractsWill Carnival Corporation report Above 97.2 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.1 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $143.4KWill the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 76%
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 10%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Elon purchase Ryanair?
K 125.4K contractsWill Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX take a stake in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
PM $142.4KWill any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 123.4K contractsWill there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
PM $137.8KWill Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 54%
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 19.5%
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 8.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC