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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 145-192 of 8,669 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
2026: Trump's dream year?
K 615.0K contractsWill the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
PM $3.07MWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
K 610.3K contractsWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
PM $2.92MFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?Yes 41.5%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?Yes 31.5%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?Yes 18%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
How high will inflation get this year?
K 564.2K contractsInflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)Yes 20.3%
Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.5%)Yes 15.5%
Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.0%)Yes 10.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
PM $2.90MIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
USD/BRL high in 2026
K 563.9K contractsWill the maximum USD/BRL exchange rate reach 5.4999 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will the maximum USD/BRL exchange rate reach 6.2499 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%
Will the maximum USD/BRL exchange rate reach 6.7499 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 9%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
PM $2.86MUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Mississippi Senate winner?
K 541.5K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in Mississippi?Yes 85.5%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Mississippi?Yes 14.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
PM $2.83MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Yes 90%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Yes 61.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Yes 46.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
CPI YoY in November
K 525.1K contractsWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 96.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Mar 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
PM $2.69MNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
K 522.7K contractsWill Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?Yes 96.5%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?Yes 92.5%
+10 moreNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
PM $2.66MUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will the next US recession start?
K 520.8K contractsWhen will the next U.S. recession start? (Q1 2026)Yes 5.9%
When will the next U.S. recession start? (Q4 2025)Yes 3.6%
When will the next U.S. recession start? (Q2 2025)Yes 1.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
PM $2.60MJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes 1.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
K 510.8K contractsWhen will OpenAI IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 51%
When will OpenAI IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 46%
When will OpenAI IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 29.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
PM $2.59MWill Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
K 510.4K contractsWill the Fed cut rates 0 times at emergency meetings?Yes 97.4%
Will the Fed cut rates 1 time at emergency meetings?Yes 1.2%
Will the Fed cut rates 2 times at emergency meetings?Yes 1.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ukraine election held by...?
PM $2.50MUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)
PM $2.49M · K 601.5K contractsWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the Presidency in 2028?
Related contracts
PM Yes 63.5%Rules differK Yes 58.5%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028?
Related contracts
PM Yes 34.5%Rules differK Yes 40.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
K 500.9K contractsWill Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15.5%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11.5%
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.6%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
K 476.6K contractsWill the Democratic party hold fewer than 53 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 64.5%
Will the Democratic party hold exactly 53 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 13.5%
Will the Democratic party hold exactly 54 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 9.7%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
PM $2.41MRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump resign during his term?
K 475.4K contractsWill President Trump resign before his term is up?Yes 21.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Maine Senate winner?
PM $2.29M · K 9.02M contractsWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Maine?
Related contracts
PM Yes 60.5%Rules differK Yes 58.5%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine?
Related contracts
PM Yes 40.5%Rules differK Yes 41.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
K 463.4K contractsWill Musk have a net worth more than 1400 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 18%
Will Musk have a net worth more than 1500 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 10%
Will Musk have a net worth more than 1600 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 6.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
PM $2.28MWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Diesel prices in Oct 2026
K 461.1K contractsWill Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?Yes 97.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?Yes 96.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?Yes 96.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
PM $2.27MMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?
K 456.1K contractsWill the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?Yes 49.5%
Will the Republican party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?Yes 14.5%
Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?Yes 7.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US strike on Colombia by...?
PM $2.25MUS strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: 1st Touchdown
K 446.5K contractsBlake Corum: 1st TouchdownYes 99.5%
Bam Knight: 1st TouchdownYes 0.5%
Teagan Quitoriano: 1st TouchdownYes 0.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Macron out by...?
PM $2.20MMacron out by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?
K 444.1K contractsWill credit card rates be capped before 2027?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Alberta join the US?
PM $2.19MWill Alberta join the US? Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will Trump pardon?
K 440.4K contractsWill Eric Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 65.5%
Will Jared Kushner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 63%
Will Donald Trump Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 61.5%
+49 moreNext deadline Jan 22, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iran coup attempt by...?
PM $2.15MIran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?Yes 29.5%
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Yes 11%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-05 House winner?
K 433.6K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for MN-05?Yes 95%
Will Republican win the House race for MN-05?Yes 5.4%
Will DeVelle Jackson win the House race for MN-05?Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
PM $2.12MUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Yes 30.5%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Yes 19.5%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Yes 8.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Who will headline Coachella 2027?
K 430.4K contractsWill Tame Impala be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 90%
Will Dua Lipa be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 79%
Will Drake be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 63.5%
+113 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
PM $2.08MUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18?Yes 99.6%
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?Yes 97.4%
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes 94.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
K 423.9K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 99%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 99%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 98.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
PM $2.05MWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?Yes 49.5%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes 12.5%
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Yes 11%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
K 420.6K contractsWill Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?Yes 93%
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
PM $2.04MWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?Yes 56%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Yes 37%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?
K 418.0K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $3.60?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?Yes 99.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
PM $2.00MWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC