Browse prediction markets

Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?

Will any New York Times reporter whose alleged offense arises from newsgathering, publication, source protection, or compliance with investigative demands concerning the Times’s July 2026 reporting on the security of the Qatari-donated aircraft used as Air Force One be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes 86.6%

Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?

PM $38.9K

Will Sara Gunnarsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes 2.6%

Will Elisabeth Björk be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes 2.3%

+6 more

KalshiCrypto

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 500T tokens?Yes 99.5%

Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 450T tokens?Yes 99%

Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 550T tokens?Yes 98.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?Yes 97.8%

AL-04 House Election Winner

PM $38.8K

Will the Democratic Party win the AL-04 House seat?Yes <0.1%

Blake Lively and Taylor Swift seen together in public this year?

Will Blake Lively and Taylor Swift be seen in public before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?Yes 11.5%

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

PM $38.8K

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Yes 3.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiCrypto

BTC price range on Oct 19, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Bitcoin price range on Oct 19, 2026? ($82,250 to 82,499.99)Yes 11.5%

Bitcoin price range on Oct 19, 2026? ($82,000 to 82,249.99)Yes 11.5%

Bitcoin price range on Oct 19, 2026? ($82,500 to 82,749.99)Yes 10%

+77 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-05 House seat?Yes 98.2%

PA-05 House Election Winner

PM $38.7K

Will the Republican Party win the PA-05 House seat?Yes 1.6%

Grammy Nominees: Best Dance Pop Recording

Grammy nominees for Best Dance Pop Recording? (New Religion)Yes 76%

Grammy nominees for Best Dance Pop Recording? (Blue Moon)Yes 66%

Grammy nominees for Best Dance Pop Recording? (DANCE...)Yes 56.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Yes 3.8%

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

PM $38.5K

1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 10 bills into law in Oct 2026?Yes 98%

Will President Trump sign at least 12 bills into law in Oct 2026?Yes 94.5%

Will President Trump sign at least 14 bills into law in Oct 2026?Yes 93.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PolymarketCrypto

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

PM $38.5K

Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?Yes 15.4%

Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?Yes 12.5%

Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?Yes 11.2%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

MI-07 House winner?

PM $38.4K · K 87.4K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for MI-7?

Related contracts

PM Yes 63.5%Rules differK Yes 63.5%

Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for MI-7?

Related contracts

PM Yes 35.5%Rules differK Yes 35.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Ghana presidential election winner?

Will Asiedu Nketia win the next Ghanaian presidential election? (Asiedu Nketia)Yes 30.5%

Who will win the next Ghanian presidential election? (Mahamudu Bawumia)Yes 28%

Who will win the next Ghanian presidential election? (Jane Naana Opoku-Agyemang)Yes 13.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2029 UTC

Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent

Will PSOE receive at least 21% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 95.5%

Will PSOE receive at least 23% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 93.5%

Will PSOE receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 91.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC

PolymarketCrypto

Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?

PM $38.3K

Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?Yes 25.7%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

When will Canada announce a snap election?

Will Canada announce a snap election before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 36%

Will Canada announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 26%

Will Canada announce a snap election before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 15.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes 95%

Next Regional Board Chair of Västerbotten?

PM $38.3K

Will Anton Bergström Nord be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes 2.7%

Will Ewa-May Karlsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes 1.9%

+6 more

Will data center power-cost standards become law?

Will data center power-cost standards become law before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 43.5%

Will data center power-cost standards become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the MI-09 House seat?Yes 96%

MI-09 House Election Winner

PM $38.1K

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-09 House seat?Yes 4.3%

Spanish general election: Vox vote percent

Will Vox receive at least 13% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 97.5%

Will Vox receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 97%

Will Vox receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 97%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the AZ-09 House seat?Yes 94.5%

AZ-09 House Election Winner

PM $38.0K

Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-09 House seat?Yes 3.8%

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor on TV

Will David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 85.5%

Will Stephen Root be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 76%

Will Charles Melton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 74.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat?Yes 96.2%

IN-06 House Election Winner

PM $37.8K

Will the Democratic Party win the IN-06 House seat?Yes 4%

KalshiCulture

Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?

Will Patti Smith be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?Yes 67.5%

Will Olivia Dean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?Yes 29%

Will Paul McCartney be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?Yes 13%

+24 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketCrypto

Will GTE launch a token by ___?

PM $37.7K

Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 46.5%

Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 35%

Will GTE launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 21%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout

Will at least 3,150,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 97%

Will at least 3,000,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 97%

Will at least 3,600,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 96.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the TX-14 House seat?Yes 96.4%

TX-14 House Election Winner

PM $37.7K

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-14 House seat?Yes 2.4%

TX-30 House election: Everett Jackson vote percent

Will Everett Jackson receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 96.5%

Will Everett Jackson receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 95.5%

Will Everett Jackson receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 88%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Yes 94.5%

Next Regional Board Chair of Blekinge?

PM $37.5K

Will Hanna Ekblad be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Yes 5.3%

Will Björn Tenland Nurhadi be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Yes 3.7%

+4 more

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory

PM $37.5K · K 11.9K contracts

Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Hawaii

Related contracts

PM Yes 98.7%Rules differK Yes 98.1%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Hawaii

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.3%Rules differK Yes 1.2%

Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Hawaii

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.9%Rules differK Yes 1.2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiCompanies

Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 21%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 92%

When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?

K 11.4K contracts

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 85.5%

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 78%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?Yes 97%

MA-05 House Election Winner

PM $37.5K

Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat?Yes 1.9%