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Showing 145-192 of 1,715 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiSports
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
K 128.6K contractsGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1490)Yes 28%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1505)Yes 27.5%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1510)Yes 27%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
PM $205.3KWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes 65%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Big Sky open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 128.6K contractsWill Big Sky open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Big Sky open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Big Sky open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 93.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
PM $180.7KSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Yes 66.5%
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Yes 14.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026
K 126.7K contractsWill Carnival Corporation report Above 97.2 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.1 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 18?
PM $176.2KWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?Yes 92.4%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?Yes 8.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?Yes 0.4%
+8 more
KalshiCompanies
Will Elon purchase Ryanair?
K 125.4K contractsWill Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX take a stake in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
PM $173.7KSituational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 123.4K contractsWill there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $170.1KWill the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes 13.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 13%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Carolina vs Philadelphia: Receptions
K 123.2K contractsDeVonta Smith: 2+ receptionsYes 92%
Dallas Goedert: 2+ receptionsYes 87%
Tetairoa McMillan: 3+ receptionsYes 86.5%
+72 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $162.1KWill the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes 51.2%
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes 40.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 20.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
K 122.9K contractsWill Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2099 UTC
PolymarketTech
Anthropic lab leak by...?
PM $156.2KAnthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?Yes 6.5%
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will have a top 20 song this year?
K 120.6K contractsWill Chappell Roan have a top 20 song this year?Yes 98%
Will Mariah Carey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
Will Lana Del Rey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
+86 moreNext deadline Dec 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $154.4KWill Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 59.4%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 9.3%
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 5.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?
K 119.2K contractsWill Pennsylvania have at least 180 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 185 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 190 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 57.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
PM $150.5KWill the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Yes 86.2%
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Director
K 118.0K contracts2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Christopher Nolan)Yes 95%
2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Javier Calvo)Yes 92.5%
2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Nathan Fielder)Yes 79%
+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $149.9KWill Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 66%
Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes 9.7%
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?Yes 7%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 117.5K contractsWill the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 60%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
PM $147.8KMajor volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes 8.2%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
New Orleans vs New York G: Receiving Yards
K 113.4K contractsJuwan Johnson: 15+ receiving yardsYes 84.5%
Chris Olave: 40+ receiving yardsYes 83.5%
Isaiah Likely: 25+ receiving yardsYes 82.5%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $143.4KWill the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 76%
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 10%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receiving Yards
K 112.5K contractsGermie Bernard: 15+ receiving yardsYes 85.5%
Emeka Egbuka: 15+ receiving yardsYes 81.5%
Pat Freiermuth: 15+ receiving yardsYes 79.5%
+80 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PM $142.8KWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
K 112.1K contractsWill OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
PM $142.4KWill any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?
K 111.9K contractsHow much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 500000 in a single quarter)Yes 51%
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 750000 in a single quarter)Yes 4%
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 1000000 in a single quarter)Yes 2%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
PM $137.8KWill Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 54%
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 19.5%
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 8.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne?
K 108.9K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Melbourne originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Working Class)Yes 99.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Melbourne originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tax Break)Yes 99.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Melbourne originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Social Security)Yes 99.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $137.5KWill the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 23.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 8%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress
K 108.4K contracts2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Anne Hathaway)Yes 88%
2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Penélope Cruz)Yes 78.5%
2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Samantha Morton)Yes 77.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PM $134.7KWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 64%
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 16.2%
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 15.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
K 106.4K contractsWill the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season be between 2.5°C and 2.9°C?Yes 57.5%
Will the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season be at least 3.0°C?Yes 35.5%
Will the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season be between 2.0°C and 2.4°C?Yes 4%
+2 moreNext deadline Aug 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
SSI public model released by…?
PM $134.2KSSI public model released by December 31, 2026?Yes 39.5%
SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?Yes 33.5%
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Yes 9%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
K 105.9K contractsWho will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Alexander Volkanovski)Yes 51%
Who will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Movsar Evloev)Yes 47.5%
Who will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Aljamain Sterling)Yes 3.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?
PM $134.0KWill the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Yes 55%
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Yes 44.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
AI capability growth this year?
K 104.8K contractsWill any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 55%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 33%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
PM $133.0KWill the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes 41.4%
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Yes 17.9%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?Yes 11.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
First Solar module volume sold in Q3
K 104.5K contractsWill First Solar Inc. report Above 3700 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will First Solar Inc. report Above 3800 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will First Solar Inc. report Above 3900 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 86.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Tesla Optimus released this year?
PM $132.9K · K 433.3K contractsWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3
K 104.3K contractsWill American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 83.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 45%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 18?
PM $127.6KWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?Yes 99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Tesla Roadster delivery
K 104.2K contractsTesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2029)Yes 55.5%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before July, 2028)Yes 31.5%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2028)Yes 16%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PM $127.2KWill Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa?
K 103.2K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tampa originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Working Class)Yes 99.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tampa originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Trump (5+ times))Yes 99.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tampa originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tax Break)Yes 99.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?
PM $126.1KWill Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes 30.6%
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes 26.2%
Will Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes 10.4%
+42 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC