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Showing 145-192 of 7,058 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
2028 Presidential matchup
K 315.4K contractsWill Jon Ossoff and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?Yes 12.5%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?Yes 11.1%
Will Kamala Harris and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?Yes 8.6%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
PM $2.60MJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes 0.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will the midterms happen on time?
K 312.5K contractsWill at least 50 states conduct 2026 U.S. House midterms on time?Yes 91.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
PM $2.59MWill Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-25 House winner?
K 308.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for FL-25?Yes 79%
Will Republican win the House race for FL-25?Yes 21.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ukraine election held by...?
PM $2.50MUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)
PM $2.49M · K 597.2K contractsWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the Presidency in 2028?
Related contracts
PM Yes 63.5%Rules differK Yes 58.5%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028?
Related contracts
PM Yes 34.5%Rules differK Yes 41.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?
K 308.1K contractsWill Widespread Panic perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 87.5%
Will The String Cheese Incident perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 87.5%
Will Blues Traveler perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 87.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
K 300.3K contractsWill the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 47%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 29%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 18%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
PM $2.37MRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-14 House winner?
K 294.8K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for FL-14?Yes 67.5%
Will Republican win the House race for FL-14?Yes 32%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
PM $2.28MWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Yes 13.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Top Song on Spotify in 2026?
K 291.4K contractsWill End of Beginning be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Babydoll be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 9.5%
Will SWIM be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2%
+25 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
PM $2.27MMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York Attorney General winner?
K 281.0K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New York?Yes 93.5%
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New York?Yes 6.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Maine Senate winner?
PM $2.26M · K 8.73M contractsWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Maine?
Related contracts
PM Yes 59.5%Rules differK Yes 56.5%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine?
Related contracts
PM Yes 41.5%Rules differK Yes 43.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?
K 280.1K contractsWill Nancy Pelosi resign her office early?Yes 1.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US strike on Colombia by...?
PM $2.25MUS strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes 26.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
K 275.8K contractsWill Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 82.5%
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 82.5%
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 77%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Alberta join the US?
PM $2.19MWill Alberta join the US? Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Dakota Senate winner?
K 273.5K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in South Dakota?Yes 95.6%
Will Brian Bengss win the Senate race in South Dakota?Yes 4.5%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Dakota?Yes <0.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Macron out by...?
PM $2.17MMacron out by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
K 271.9K contractsWill government spending decrease by 50 before 2026?Yes 4.3%
Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2026?Yes 4.3%
Will government spending decrease by 1000 before 2026?Yes 4.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iran coup attempt by...?
PM $2.15MIran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?Yes 27.5%
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Yes 11%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
2026: Trump's bad year?
K 271.0K contractsWill the bear case for Trump occur in 2026?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
PM $2.03MWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?Yes 56%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Yes 38.5%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 13.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?
K 269.2K contractsWill Donald Trump attend UFC 333?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
PM $2.00MWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
K 268.7K contractsWill NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4100000 in October 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4200000 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4300000 in October 2026?Yes 92.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
PM $1.95MUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Yes 29.5%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Yes 22%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Yes 10.2%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will have a #1 hit this year?
K 267.1K contractsWill Mariah Carey have a #1 hit this year?Yes 91%
Will Chappell Roan have a #1 hit this year?Yes 45.5%
Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 hit this year?Yes 30%
+111 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
PM $1.94MUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes 99.4%
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18?Yes 97.8%
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?Yes 96.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 15, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Providence Mayor winner?
K 261.3K contractsWho will win the 2026 Providence, RI mayoral election? (David Morales)Yes 98.5%
Who will win the 2026 Providence, RI mayoral election? (Brett Smiley)Yes 1.5%
Who will win the 2026 Providence, RI mayoral election? (Michael English)Yes 0.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
PM $1.91M Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which party will win the next UK general election?
K 260.9K contractsWill Labour win the next U.K. election?Yes 34.5%
Will Reform win the next U.K. election?Yes 34%
Will Conservative win the next U.K. election?Yes 26.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Aug 31, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
PM $1.88MWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?
K 249.4K contractsWill the difference between the number of Republican governors and the number of Democratic governors be between -50 and -1 governors after the 2026 midterms?Yes 67.5%
Will the difference between the number of Republican governors and the number of Democratic governors be between 1 and 50 governors after the 2026 midterms?Yes 25.5%
Will the difference between the number of Republican governors and the number of Democratic governors be exactly 0 governors after the 2026 midterms?Yes 9.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
PM $1.86MWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes 81.5%
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes 15.8%
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes 2.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
K 249.3K contractsWill Susie Wiles be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Yes 30.5%
Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Yes 15%
Will Howard Lutnick be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Yes 14.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ukraine election called by...?
PM $1.86MUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
K 246.1K contractsWill Donald Trump meet in person Bongbong Marcos before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 84.5%
Will Donald Trump meet in person Vladimir Putin before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 77%
Will Donald Trump meet in person Mohammed bin Salman before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 77%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
PM $1.82MWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes 75.5%
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes 21.5%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes 1.7%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
K 245.5K contractsWill legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 10.5%
Will legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US x Russia military clash by...?
PM $1.81MUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump declare an election emergency?
K 243.7K contractsWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Nov 4, 2026?Yes 14.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
PM $1.80MCuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
K 241.1K contractsVolodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 37.5%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 22%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.6%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
PM $1.79MWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 12%
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 6.5%
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 6.3%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC