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Showing 241-288 of 2,595 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
How low will gas prices in Texas get this year?
K 159.3K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above or below $2.30 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 3%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $2.20 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $2.10 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $146.6KWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Yes 46.5%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Yes 40%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31?Yes 38%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 158.2K contractsAbove 0 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 17.5%
Above 1 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 12.5%
Above 2 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $143.6KWill the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 72%
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 10%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2036?
K 157.6K contractsGDP growth in 2036? (1.6% to 2.0%)Yes 42.5%
GDP growth in 2036? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 17.5%
GDP growth in 2036? (0.0% or Below)Yes 10%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2037 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
PM $142.5KWill any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 34%
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2035?
K 157.2K contractsGDP growth in 2035? (1.6% to 2.0%)Yes 12.5%
GDP growth in 2035? (0.0% or Below)Yes 12%
GDP growth in 2035? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 11%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2036 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
PM $141.5KWill the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes 30.6%
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Yes 18.6%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?Yes 17.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
K 157.1K contractsWhat kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)Yes 8.5%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)Yes 7%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)Yes 6.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
PM $141.0KWill the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Yes 67.7%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Yes 10.5%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?Yes 5.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2033?
K 156.9K contractsGDP growth in 2033? (1.6% to 2.0%)Yes 13.5%
GDP growth in 2033? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 13%
GDP growth in 2033? (1.1% to 1.5%)Yes 10%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2034 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
PM $137.9KWill Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 56.5%
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 25.5%
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes 8.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Jul 2027?
K 152.7K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2027 meeting?Yes 78.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting?Yes 13.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will USD/KRW hit __ in 2026?
PM $137.6KWill USD/KRW hit 1300 (Low) in 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will USD/KRW hit 1200 (Low) in 2026?Yes 12%
Will USD/KRW hit 1000 (Low) in 2026?Yes 10.7%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?
K 151.1K contractsWill inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $137.5KWill the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 22%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 8.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
K 151.0K contractsWill privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,600 units?Yes 87.5%
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,700 units?Yes 75.5%
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,800 units?Yes 61%
+8 moreNext deadline May 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PM $134.7KWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 16.7%
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 16.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Diesel price on Election Day
K 149.3K contractsWill the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $4.40?Yes 99.5%
Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $5.40?Yes 98.5%
Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $5.20?Yes 98.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
SSI public model released by…?
PM $134.3KSSI public model released by November 30, 2026?Yes 39%
SSI public model released by December 31, 2026?Yes 36.5%
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Diesel prices this week
K 148.2K contractsWill Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.26?Yes 99.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.24?Yes 99.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.22?Yes 99.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PM $133.8KWill the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Yes 27.5%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?Yes 22.5%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
K 145.5K contractsWill a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?Yes 55%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Tesla Optimus released this year?
PM $132.9K · K 433.3K contractsWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12.3%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
K 145.3K contractsWho will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Donald Trump)Yes 52%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Bill Clinton)Yes 48.5%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Naomi Campbell)Yes 45%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?
PM $132.3K · K 193.7K contractsNYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Kalshi: Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 7.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?
K 144.4K contractsWill a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 50.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 44.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 27.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PM $127.2KWill Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
K 143.4K contractsWill Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 be 7 or more?Yes 69.5%
Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 be exactly 6?Yes 24.5%
Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 be exactly 5?Yes 5.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PM $126.9KWill the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Yes 65%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Yes 29.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Unemployment in October
K 141.3K contractsWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.7% in October?Yes 99.5%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.8% in October?Yes 98.5%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in October?Yes 96.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
PM $126.9KWill Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes 30.5%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Yes 29.2%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?Yes 5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiWorld
Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
K 140.9K contractsWill the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 2,000 units?Yes 96.5%
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 2,500 units?Yes 82.5%
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,000 units?Yes 62.5%
+8 moreNext deadline May 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?
PM $126.3KWill Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes 29.4%
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes 26.1%
Will Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes 11.3%
+42 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
K 138.7K contractsWill Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 545,000 jobs?Yes 96.5%
Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 550,000 jobs?Yes 91.5%
Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 555,000 jobs?Yes 49.5%
+3 moreNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
PM $125.2KWill the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Yes 24%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?Yes 21%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?Yes 7%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receiving Yards
K 137.8K contractsCeeDee Lamb: 40+ receiving yardsYes 85.5%
Christian Watson: 40+ receiving yardsYes 81.5%
Tucker Kraft: 25+ receiving yardsYes 79.5%
+106 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
PM $123.6KSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 136.5K contractsWill there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 89%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
PM $122.3KWill USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes 25.5%
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes 25%
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes 21.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actor
K 136.1K contracts2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Paul Giamatti)Yes 86.5%
2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Andrew Garfield)Yes 81%
2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Sam Rockwell)Yes 75%
+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PM $119.8KWill the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?Yes 38.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?Yes 22.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?Yes 22%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Touchdowns
K 135.8K contractsRobert Tonyan: 2+ touchdownsYes 1.5%
Josh Williams: 1+ touchdownsYes 0.5%
Robert Tonyan: 1+ touchdownsYes 0.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
PM $119.5KWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Yes 89.1%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?Yes 4%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Yes 3%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 134.0K contractsWill Taylor Swift have above 13.9M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.8M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.7M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
China Annual Inflation 2026
PM $118.2KWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Yes 49.5%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Yes 37.5%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?Yes 11.2%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Anthropic market share this week
K 132.7K contractsAnthropic market share this week? (Above 4.5%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 4.0%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 3.8%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
PM $118.0KWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 20, 2026?Yes 1.8%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 22, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC