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Showing 289-336 of 937 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
PM $9.7K · K 6.3K contractsJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 71.5%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 70.5%Rules differK Yes 71.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this month
K 42.0K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 65%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 39.6K contractsWill Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 1.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?
PM $8.8KWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?Yes 5.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receptions
K 39.4K contractsWan'Dale Robinson: 2+ receptionsYes 91.5%
Josh Downs: 2+ receptionsYes 90%
Keenan Allen: 2+ receptionsYes 88.5%
+75 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?
PM $8.7KWill the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2027?Yes 84.5%
Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by July 31, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this week
K 38.6K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 99%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?
PM $8.5KWill Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 35.5%
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 27%
Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 26%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?
PM $8.4K · K 1.3K contractsWill Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union conclude an agreement expanding rights for Canadians to live or work in the EU after September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
K 38.5K contractsWhen will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before 2027)Yes 39%
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before November)Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
K 37.1K contractsWill Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 93%
Will Vladimir Padrino López de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 2.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 2.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PM $8.1KWill SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 90.5%
Will NiP win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 4.4%
Will SNSD win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 3.2%
+4 more
KalshiWorld
Pro Football Coaches Out Before March
K 36.8K contractsTodd Bowles out before Mar 1, 2027Yes 88%
Dan Quinn out before Mar 1, 2027Yes 80%
Nick Sirianni out before Mar 1, 2027Yes 66%
+29 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?
PM $8.1KWill Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 46.2%
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 24%
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 15%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
New York J vs New England: Receiving Yards
K 36.4K contractsGarrett Wilson: 40+ receiving yardsYes 79.5%
Romeo Doubs: 15+ receiving yardsYes 73.5%
Hunter Henry: 15+ receiving yardsYes 69.5%
+63 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $8.0KWill Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 85.5%
Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 15%
Will Blair Visscher win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 0.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Baltimore vs Cleveland: Receptions
K 36.3K contractsKC Concepcion Jr.: 2+ receptionsYes 90.5%
Harold Fannin Jr.: 2+ receptionsYes 90%
Zay Flowers: 3+ receptionsYes 87%
+66 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Shas # of seats?
PM $7.9KWill Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 52.5%
Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 36%
Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 15%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?
K 35.4K contractsWill the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner
PM $7.9KWill Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?Yes 48%
Will Vladislav Kondratovič win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?Yes 17.5%
Will Ignotas Adomavičius win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 35.1K contractsWill the H200 compute per hour price be above $6.09 by Dec 31?Yes 92%
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.79 by Dec 31?Yes 89.5%
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $6.69 by Dec 31?Yes 63%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place
PM $7.9KWill PCN win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 37.5%
Will PDC win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 16.5%
Will Vamos win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?
K 35.1K contractsWill the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule be above 25000 in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule be above 27500 in 2026?Yes 82%
Will the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule be above 30000 in 2026?Yes 56.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Sep 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Dems # of seats?
PM $7.7KWill Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 31%
Will Dems win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 21.5%
Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy next meet?
K 34.6K contractsWill Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Turkey?Yes 16%
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the United Arab Emirates?Yes 9.5%
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the USA?Yes 4.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?
PM $7.5KWill Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 58.5%
Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 19.5%
Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 18%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?
K 34.0K contractsWill Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 67.5%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?
PM $7.4KWill Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 51%
Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 34.5%
Will Blue and White win 1.25-2% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 7.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
EU loses a member before 2030?
K 33.6K contractsWill a country leave the EU by 2030?Yes 10.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Quebec General Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?
PM $7.4KWill the Parti Québécois win by between 10 and 19 seats?Yes 63.2%
Will the Parti Québécois win by between 20 and 29 seats?Yes 36%
2 mkts
KalshiWorld
Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs: First Week Streams
K 33.6K contractsWill Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs by Zach Bryan have above 5000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 99.5%
Will Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs by Zach Bryan have above 3000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 99.5%
Will Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs by Zach Bryan have above 2000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 99.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
PM $7.3KEU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Song on Spotify in 2026?
K 33.1K contractsWill Babydoll be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 84%
Will End of Beginning be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 12%
Will Billie Jean be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Yashar vote share?
PM $7.0KWill Yashar win 18-20% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 38.5%
Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 31.5%
Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 17.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
K 32.1K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 15%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
PM $6.7KIsrael Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 10 Finishers
K 31.8K contractsCup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 10Yes 80%
Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 10Yes 74%
Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 10Yes 67.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?
PM $6.4KWill United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4-4.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 33%
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 30.5%
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US ban crude oil exports?
K 31.7K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States has imposed a ban on exports of crude oil that has gone into effect before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Together vote share?
PM $6.1KWill Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 43.5%
Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 25.5%
Will Together win 11-13% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 22.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
World's best restaurant in 2026?
K 30.9K contractsWorld's best restaurant: Trèsind StudioYes 45%
World's best restaurant: SühringYes 45%
World's best restaurant: RealeYes 45%
+27 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?
PM $6.1KWill Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 46%
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 29.5%
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 16%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?
K 30.8K contractsWill the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 be above 20%?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Which party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?
PM $6.0KWill Nuevas Ideas (NI) gain the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 77%
Will PCN gain the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 3.8%
Will ARENA gain the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 3.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026
K 30.3K contractsWill Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 43.6%?Yes 99.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 50.6%?Yes 98.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 49.8%?Yes 98.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?
PM $5.7KWill Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 46%
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 22%
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 20.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
K 29.3K contractsWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Yes 62%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?
PM $5.5KBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Yes 71%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC