Politics prediction markets
6,971 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 433-480 of 6,971 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
MercadoLibre items sold in 2026
K 90.2K contractsWill MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.1 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.05 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 95.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
PM $422.7KPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Yes 30%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Yes 20%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Yes 6.2%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump impose martial law?
K 89.6K contractsWill Trump impose martial law before his term ends?Yes 42%
Will Trump impose martial law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 31%
Will Trump impose martial law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Premier of Quebec
PM $422.7KWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 99.9%
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 0.1%
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 0.1%
+4 more
KalshiPolitics
NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?
K 89.1K contractsWill New York City experience population change between 0.01% and 0.99% during 2025-2027?Yes 39.5%
Will New York City experience population change between -0.99% and 0% during 2025-2027?Yes 32.5%
Will New York City experience population change between 1% and 1.99% during 2025-2027?Yes 7%
+5 moreNext deadline Jun 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
PM $419.4KUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
K 89.0K contractsWill the Secretary of State visit India before 2027?Yes 97.5%
Will the Secretary of State visit Uzbekistan before 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?Yes 27.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel military action against Beirut by...?
PM $419.4KIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?
K 89.0K contractsHow many billionaires will New York City lose this year? (At least 1)Yes 55%
How many billionaires will New York City lose this year? (At least 2)Yes 45%
How many billionaires will New York City lose this year? (At least 3)Yes 27%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
PM $410.7KWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 94%
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 3.1%
Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 2%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Governor-Senate combo
K 88.3K contractsWill Texas Governor winner be Republican party and Texas Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 40%
Will Texas Governor winner be Republican party and Texas Senate winner be Republican party?Yes 37.5%
Will Texas Governor winner be Democratic party and Texas Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 23.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
PM $408.9KIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Yes 11.5%
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Manchin Senate combo: Rogers & Collins
K 87.3K contractsManchin Senate combo: Both lose?Yes 55%
Manchin Senate combo: Both win?Yes 23.5%
Manchin Senate combo: Rogers loses, Collins wins?Yes 19.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
PM $408.8KWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes 91%
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Yes 8.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?
K 86.9K contractsWill Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?Yes 2.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump meets with Putin by...?
PM $407.3KTrump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes 82.5%
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Yes 76.5%
Trump meets with Putin by October 31?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
K 86.6K contractsWill the United States add another state before date?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
PM $406.2KWill Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?Yes 58%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?Yes 33%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-10 House winner?
K 84.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-10?Yes 83.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-10?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PM $402.4KU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Yes 14.7%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Yes 14%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?Yes 10.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Top U.S. Streamed Song (On-Demand Audio): 2026
K 84.3K contractsWill Choosin’ Texas be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Most-Streamed Songs of 2026 in U.S. (On-Demand Audio), as Published by Billboard?Yes 93%
Will SWIM be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Most-Streamed Songs of 2026 in U.S. (On-Demand Audio), as Published by Billboard?Yes 2%
Will Ordinary be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Most-Streamed Songs of 2026 in U.S. (On-Demand Audio), as Published by Billboard?Yes 2%
+21 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
PM $398.9KModi out by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How high will gas prices in New York get this year?
K 83.9K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above or below $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 60.1%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 29.9%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.20 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Jimmy Lai released by...?
PM $391.2KJimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
K 83.4K contractsWill the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 182 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?Yes 91.5%
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 186 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?Yes 88%
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 190 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?Yes 78.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PM $388.7KWill Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 89%
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 43%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 40.5%
+33 moreNext deadline Apr 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ljubljana mayoral election winner?
K 83.4K contractsWill Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Yes 67%
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Yes 16.5%
Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Yes 6.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?
PM $375.6KMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-02 House winner?
K 83.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MO-02?Yes 76.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for MO-02?Yes 24.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
New Hampshire Senate winner?
PM $365.3K · K 2.15M contractsWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in New Hampshire?
Related contracts
PM Yes 90.5%Rules differK Yes 89.5%
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Hampshire?
Related contracts
PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 10.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Red wave in 2026?
K 82.9K contractsRed wave in 2026?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
PM $364.0KLecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes 20.5%
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will the 2028 presidential election occur?
K 82.1K contractsWill the 2028 presidential election occur?Yes 91.1%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
PM $361.8KWill Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
K 82.1K contractsWhat will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 2000)Yes 96%
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 3000)Yes 83%
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 2500)Yes 78%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PM $361.0KWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes 90.6%
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Yes 9.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB
K 82.0K contractsWho will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? (Josh Allen)Yes 54%
Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? (Bryce Young)Yes 22.5%
Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB? (Brock Purdy)Yes 20%
+23 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump visit Greenland by...?
PM $356.3KWill Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Yes 8.5%
Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?Yes 0.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?
K 80.8K contractsWill Itamar Ben-Gvir be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 22%
Will Yoram Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 10.5%
Will Yitzhak Wasserlauf be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 4%
+21 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
PM $355.2KUAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes 5.6%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
K 80.4K contractsWill the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Uganda?Yes 40.5%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Democratic Republic of the Congo?Yes 13.5%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?Yes 10.3%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?
PM $354.7KSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?Yes 16%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump issue dividend payments?
K 80.3K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 14.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
PM $352.4KWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Yes 95%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Yes 2.9%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 0.9%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
K 80.2K contractsWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Roraima in the Brazil presidential runoff?Yes 97%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Tocantins in the Brazil presidential runoff?Yes 97%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Minas Gerais in the Brazil presidential runoff?Yes 95.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of England rate decision in November
PM $346.2K · K 10.1K contractsBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 93.5%Rules differK Yes 94.5%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 6%
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump end income tax for people earning under $150k?
K 79.8K contractsWill Trump waive taxes for people earning under $150k?Yes 4.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PM $343.6KWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes 4.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC