Browse prediction markets

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 98.5%

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?

K 35.8K contracts

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 96.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?

K 35.4K contracts

Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?Yes 7%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Yes 41.5%

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

PM $21.5K

Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?Yes 29.5%

Will OpenAI's public ticker be $CGPT?Yes 26.7%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiWorld

How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?

K 35.1K contracts

Will the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule be above 25000 in 2026?Yes 93%

+8 moreNext deadline Sep 29, 2027 UTC

Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 34%

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

PM $21.4K

Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 27%

Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 26%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 355?Yes 99%

US gasoline CPI for October

K 34.7K contracts

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 360?Yes 97.5%

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 370?Yes 95%

+14 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC

Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?Yes 53.5%

Core PCE YoY - September 2026

PM $21.0K

Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?Yes 18.5%

Will Core PCE YoY be 2.9% in September?Yes 13%

+4 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC

KalshiWorld

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy next meet?

K 34.6K contracts

Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Turkey?Yes 16%

Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the United Arab Emirates?Yes 9%

Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Ukraine?Yes 4.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2029 UTC

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.76% in October?Yes 12.5%

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?

PM $20.7K

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?Yes 12%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October?Yes 9.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will average **gas prices** be above or below $2.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 12%

How low will gas prices in Florida get this year?

K 34.6K contracts

Will average **gas prices** be above or below $2.50 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%

Will average **gas prices** be above or below $2.40 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 33%

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

PM $20.5K

Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 21%

Will Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 20.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

PM $20.3K · K 4.2K contracts

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.43% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 79%Rules differK Yes 60.5%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.40% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 73%Rules differK Yes 78%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.35% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 44%Rules differK Yes 40%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Alaska’s total crude oil field production in 2026 be above 153.607 million barrels?Yes 84.5%

Will Alaska crude oil production increase YoY in 2026?

K 34.2K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Germany’s government budget balance in 2026

K 33.8K contracts

Will Germany’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -5.0% of GDP?Yes 95%

Will Germany’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -4.5% of GDP?Yes 88%

Will Germany’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -4.0% of GDP?Yes 55.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Apr 27, 2027 UTC

Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 33.5%

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

PM $20.3K

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 32.5%

Will Marine Le Pen win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 13%

+13 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting?

K 33.7K contracts

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Jun 9, 2027 meeting?Yes 82%

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Jun 9, 2027 meeting?Yes 82%

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Jun 9, 2027 meeting?Yes 81.5%

+22 moreNext deadline Jun 16, 2027 UTC

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Yes 22.5%

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

PM $20.1K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiElections

EU loses a member before 2030?

K 33.6K contracts

Will a country leave the EU by 2030?Yes 10.2%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 39.5%

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

PM $19.7K

Will Édouard Philippe win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 25.5%

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 13%

+13 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs: First Week Streams

K 33.6K contracts

Will Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs by Zach Bryan have above 5000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 99.5%

Will Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs by Zach Bryan have above 3000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 99.5%

Will Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs by Zach Bryan have above 2000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 99.5%

+10 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?Yes 72%

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

PM $19.7K

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?Yes 48.5%

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Yes 37.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

#2 Song on Spotify in 2026?

K 33.4K contracts

Will Babydoll be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 79.5%

Will End of Beginning be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 15.5%

Will Billie Jean be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%

+22 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 50%

Meta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?

PM $19.0K

Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?Yes 40%

Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes 9.4%

+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Will Max App Downloads for October 2026 be above 5 ?Yes 99.5%

Max App Downloads in October

K 33.2K contracts

Will Max App Downloads for October 2026 be above 20 ?Yes 98.5%

Will Max App Downloads for October 2026 be above 35 ?Yes 98.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?Yes 58%

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

PM $18.6K

1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

K 32.7K contracts

Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2026 be above 9.4 million?Yes 97.5%

Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2026 be above 9.6 million?Yes 74%

Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2026 be above 9.8 million?Yes 15.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 98.4%

3rd largest private company end of October?

PM $18.5K

Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 0.9%

Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 0.9%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Idaho’s potato production for 2026 be above 138.38 million cwt?Yes 9.5%

Will Idaho potato production increase YoY in 2026?

K 32.6K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC