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Showing 673-720 of 2,595 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Top AI model this month
K 42.0K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 71.5%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
PM $28.0KWill there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes >99.9%
Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes 96.9%
Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes 89%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Diesel price at year-end 2026
K 41.9K contractsWill AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 be above $4.00?Yes 98.5%
Will AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 be above $4.60?Yes 96.5%
Will AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 be above $4.40?Yes 96.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
PM $27.7KBank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Yes 68%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?
K 41.9K contractsUnemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.2%)Yes 39%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.1%)Yes 28.5%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.3%)Yes 20.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?
PM $27.3KChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?Yes 34.5%
ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in March 2027
K 41.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in March 2027?Yes 72.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.00 in March 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in March 2027?Yes 49.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
PM $27.3KWill there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Yes 16.9%
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Yes 1.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 41.4K contractsWill Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 88.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
PM $27.2KWill CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?Yes 30.5%
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes 11.5%
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026?
K 41.3K contractsWill year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
PM $27.1KWill Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes 28%
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes 15.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Mississippi cotton production in 2027
K 41.2K contractsWill Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?Yes 92.5%
Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 700,000 bales?Yes 74.5%
Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 800,000 bales?Yes 62%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 Searched Person on Google 2026?
PM $26.9KWill Sydney Sweeney be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes 23%
Will Erling Haaland be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes 19%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes 18.9%
+43 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Hims subscribers in 2026
K 40.8K contractsWill Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.8 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 97%
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.84 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.88 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 95%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
PM $26.8KWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?Yes 47.5%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?Yes 44.5%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?Yes 2.9%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 39.8K contractsWill Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 1.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?
PM $26.3KWill OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 66%
Will Reve have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 3.5%
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 3%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Artist performing the James Bond Theme
K 39.7K contractsWho will perform the next James Bond Song? (Olivia Dean)Yes 35%
Who will perform the next James Bond Song? (Raye)Yes 26.5%
Who will perform the next James Bond Song? (Dua Lipa)Yes 19%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?
PM $26.2KAmazon 2026 capex above $170B?Yes 99.3%
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?Yes 95.6%
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?Yes 94.7%
+3 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026?
K 39.7K contractsWill Arizona’s annual average employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for 2026 be above 24,431 employees?Yes 36%
1 mktNext deadline Jun 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
PM $26.0K · K 31.50M contractsNo comparable saved prices
0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
TV shows cancelled this year
K 39.3K contractsWhich shows will be cancelled this year? (Late Night With Seth Meyers)Yes 14%
Which shows will be cancelled this year? (The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon)Yes 8%
Which shows will be cancelled this year? (The Daily Show)Yes 8%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?
PM $25.9KNext DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes 13.5%
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US Nominal GDP in 2026
K 39.1K contractsUS Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $31.4 trillion)Yes 99%
US Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $31.2 trillion)Yes 98.5%
US Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $31.6 trillion)Yes 97.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in October 2026?
PM $25.8KWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $65 in October?Yes 67%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 in October?Yes 65%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 in October?Yes 52.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Maine gas prices tomorrow
K 39.0K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.3300?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3050?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3250?Yes 97.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Brazil decision in December?
PM $25.8KWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes 54%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes 25.5%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?Yes 16.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this week
K 38.7K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 99.5%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?
PM $25.5KNext Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 49%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Illinois gas prices tomorrow
K 38.5K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.6500?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.6550?Yes 99%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.6400?Yes 99%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Lab end of November?
PM $25.5KWill Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 38.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 12.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
K 38.5K contractsWhen will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before 2027)Yes 39%
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before November)Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows on Google 2026
PM $25.3KWill A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Yes 56.5%
Will Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Yes 53%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026
K 38.5K contractsWill Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 56.6%?Yes 99.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 50.6%?Yes 99.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 43.6%?Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
PM $25.1KWill the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?Yes 46.5%
Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?Yes 21%
Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Vermont gas prices tomorrow
K 38.1K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.3600?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3550?Yes 99%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3500?Yes 99%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
PM $25.0KWill the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?Yes 43%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?Yes 21%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?Yes 13.5%
+5 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
K 37.9K contractsWill Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 22.5%
Will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 18%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
PM $24.8KWill GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Yes 60%
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?Yes 23.5%
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours?Yes 15.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026?
K 37.9K contractsWill any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026?Yes 0.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
PM $24.8KWill Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 22.5%
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 22.5%
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 16.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026?
K 37.7K contractsWill Alaska's 2026 commercial all salmon harvest total 75 million fish or above?Yes 95.5%
Will Alaska's 2026 commercial all salmon harvest total 80 million fish or above?Yes 95.5%
Will Alaska's 2026 commercial all salmon harvest total 85 million fish or above?Yes 93.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026
PM $24.8KWill The Odyssey rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes 71%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2030?
K 37.2K contractsGDP growth in 2030? (2.6% to 3.0%)Yes 16%
GDP growth in 2030? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 12%
GDP growth in 2030? (1.6% to 2.0%)Yes 11.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2031 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?
PM $24.6KWill the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31?Yes 24.9%
Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?Yes 24.5%
Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?Yes 20%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 37.0K contractsWill Ariana Grande have above 13M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Ariana Grande have above 13.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Ariana Grande have above 14M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 26%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?
PM $24.5KWill the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 60.3%
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $7.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Yes 60%
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 43.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC