Browse prediction markets

PM Yes 73.8%Rules differK Yes 36.9%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 47.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Will legislation principally aimed at curbing federal coercion of speech intermediaries (social media platforms, AI systems, broadcasters), including through a private right of action against agencies or officials, monetary damages, or mandatory disclosure of government-to-platform communications become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 43%

Which bills will become law in 2026?

K 637.5K contracts

Will legislation that authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 41%

Will legislation that pairs enhanced border security and mandatory E-Verify with asylum system reforms and an earned legal status program (without a path to citizenship) for certain long-term undocumented immigrants become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 39%

+27 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?Yes 24%

Crude Oil all time high by...?

PM $4.98M

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes 12%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?Yes 57.5%

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

K 637.3K contracts

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?Yes 41%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Epstein client list released by October 31?Yes 5%

Epstein client list released by...?

PM $4.38M

Epstein client list released by December 31, 2026?Yes 0%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

PM $4.32M · K 119.3K contracts

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 49.5%Rules differK Yes 55.5%

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14.5%Rules differK Yes 16%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?Yes 5.5%

2026: Trump's dream year?

K 615.0K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?Yes 21%

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

K 610.3K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Texas Senate winner?

PM $4.04M · K 29.86M contracts

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas?

Related contracts

PM Yes 62.5%Rules differK Yes 61.5%

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?

Related contracts

PM Yes 37.5%Rules differK Yes 38.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

PM $3.93M · K 1.98M contracts

California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

Kalshi: Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 5, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 97%

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Kalshi: Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 5, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 97%

California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

Kalshi: Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 24.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiScience

NASA lands on the moon?

K 554.0K contracts

Will NASA land a person on the Moon by 2029?Yes 41.5%

Will NASA land a person on the Moon by 2028?Yes 23.5%

Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2028?Yes 3.1%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

K 522.7K contracts

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?Yes 96.5%

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?Yes 92.5%

+10 moreNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes 11%

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

PM $3.80M

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Gemini)Yes 75.5%

KalshiTech

Best AI in Oct 2026?

K 507.9K contracts

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Claude)Yes 22.5%

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Muse)Yes 1.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

PolymarketScience

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

PM $3.79M

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 80.5%

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 19.5%

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes 0.3%

+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15.5%

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

K 499.4K contracts

Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 14.5%

Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.6%

+19 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes 95.6%

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

PM $3.77M

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Yes 1.8%

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Yes 0.6%

+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Mississippi?Yes 87.5%

Mississippi Senate winner?

K 489.8K contracts

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Mississippi?Yes 12.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 7.5%

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

PM $3.63M

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.9 on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 80%

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026?

K 477.6K contracts

Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 39.0 on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 5.5%

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2%

+6 more

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes 5.5%

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

PM $3.60M

Will President Trump resign before his term is up?Yes 21.5%

Will Trump resign during his term?

K 475.4K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 21, 2029 UTC

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes 17.5%

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

PM $3.55M

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 6%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic party hold fewer than 53 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 64.5%

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

K 470.3K contracts

Will the Democratic party hold exactly 53 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 13.5%

Will the Democratic party hold exactly 54 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 9.7%

+4 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 9.5%

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

PM $3.52M

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiTech

Google market share this week

K 464.8K contracts

Google market share this week? (Above 19.5%)Yes 99.5%

Google market share this week? (Above 18.9%)Yes 99.5%

Google market share this week? (Above 18.7%)Yes 99.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes 4%

US strike on Mexico by...?

PM $3.50M

Will Musk have a net worth more than 1400 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 18%

KalshiEconomics

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

K 463.4K contracts

Will Musk have a net worth more than 1500 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 9.5%

Will Musk have a net worth more than 1600 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 6.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 39.5%

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

PM $3.19M

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 16.5%

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 12.5%

+8 more

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?Yes 49%

2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

K 456.1K contracts

Will the Republican party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?Yes 14.5%

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?Yes 8%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Yes 29.5%

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

PM $3.14M

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Yes 21.5%

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes 5.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Will credit card rates be capped before 2027?Yes 3.4%

Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?

K 443.9K contracts

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.5%

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

PM $3.13M

Will Eric Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 65%

Who will Trump pardon?

K 440.4K contracts

Will Jared Kushner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 63%

Will Donald Trump Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 61%

+49 moreNext deadline Jan 22, 2029 UTC

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes 7%

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

PM $3.07M

OpenAI market share this week? (Above 18.1%)Yes 99.5%

KalshiTech

OpenAI market share this week

K 431.0K contracts

OpenAI market share this week? (Above 17.1%)Yes 99.5%

OpenAI market share this week? (Above 15.1%)Yes 99.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?Yes 41.5%

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

PM $2.92M

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?Yes 31.5%

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?Yes 18%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

Who will headline Coachella 2027?

K 430.0K contracts

Will Tame Impala be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 87.5%

Will Dua Lipa be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 83.5%

Will Drake be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 63.5%

+113 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes 13.5%

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

PM $2.90M