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Showing 145-192 of 2,136 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Number of rate hikes in 2026?
K 272.9K contractsWill there be exactly 2 Fed rate hikes in 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will there be exactly 1 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will there be exactly 3 Fed rate hikes in 2026?Yes 8.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
PM $94.8KWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Yes 1.9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
K 272.3K contractsWill **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q3 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q3 2026?Yes 99%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $90.3KWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?Yes 24%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by December 31?Yes 19.5%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Yes 4%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
PM $89.8K · K 41.1K contractsWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Kalshi: Will Morgan Stanley serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 82.5%
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Kalshi: Will Goldman Sachs serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?
Related contracts
PM Yes 16.7%Rules differK Yes 16%
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Kalshi: Will Citigroup serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
K 271.4K contractsWill Waymo operate ride-hailing in Denver, CO before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Las Vegas, NV before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 87%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?
K 264.1K contractsWill the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $64 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $65 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $63 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in October 2026?
PM $87.8KWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in October?Yes 78%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?Yes 72.5%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?Yes 50.7%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Best AI this week
K 262.8K contractsBest AI this week (Gemini)Yes 99.5%
Best AI this week (Grok)Yes 0.5%
Best AI this week (ChatGPT)Yes 0.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
PM $84.9KWill Citigroup fail by end of 2026?Yes 3.4%
Will RBC fail by end of 2026?Yes 3.4%
Will Santander fail by end of 2026?Yes 3.3%
+16 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Jan 2027?
K 249.7K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2027 meeting?Yes 62.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?Yes 32.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Epic Games' valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $83.7KWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?Yes 26.9%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?Yes 22.5%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
K 243.6K contractsWhen will Starlink IPO? (Before Jun 30, 2027)Yes 5.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 4.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?
PM $82.6KWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 in October?Yes 89.5%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in October?Yes 81%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $680 in October?Yes 69%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
K 241.4K contractsWill Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?Yes 96.5%
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 90.0 TWh?Yes 95.5%
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh?Yes 94.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $82.5KWill Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by December 31?Yes 2.9%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?Yes 2.1%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?Yes 2.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
K 239.6K contractsWill OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?Yes 20%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $77.3KWill Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?Yes 48%
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Yes 31%
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?Yes 17%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receiving Yards
K 235.6K contractsEmeka Egbuka: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Chris Godwin Jr.: 25+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Chris Godwin Jr.: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
+83 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $68.9KWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Yes 55%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by December 31?Yes 12%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?Yes 2.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November
PM $68.8K · K 6.6K contractsWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Brazil cut 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 90.5%Rules differK Yes 89%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Brazil maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 8.6%Rules differK Yes 9%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Brazil cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
K 232.9K contractsWill Bank of Canada maintain the current rate at their October 2026 meeting?Yes 82.5%
Will Bank of Canada hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?Yes 17.5%
Will Bank of Canada hike rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November
PM $68.8K · K 37.7K contractsNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Maintain current rate at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 74%
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 20.1%Rules differK Yes 19%
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Hike 25bps at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 1.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
New Orleans vs New York G: Receiving Yards
K 232.1K contractsIsaiah Likely: 40+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Isaiah Likely: 25+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Devaughn Vele: 25+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
+96 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
K 231.1K contractsWill Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.4 million TEUs?Yes 95.5%
Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.5 million TEUs?Yes 94.5%
Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.6 million TEUs?Yes 88.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in October 2026?
PM $67.4KWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in October?Yes 87.5%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 in October?Yes 84.5%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in October?Yes 77.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
K 229.8K contractsHow many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)Yes 99.5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)Yes 97.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
PM $65.3KUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December
PM $62.7K · K 31.4K contractsWill the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 81%
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?
Related contracts
PM Yes 17.8%Rules differK Yes 16.5%
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank cut 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Texas crude oil production in 2026
K 220.2K contractsWill Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.6 million barrels/day?Yes 98.5%
Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.7 million barrels/day?Yes 97.5%
Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.8 million barrels/day?Yes 26.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Robinhood funded customers in 2026
K 218.8K contractsWill Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 99%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.4 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.2 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 97.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will GBP/USD hit __ in 2026?
PM $62.4KWill GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026?Yes 45%
Will GBP/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026?Yes 41%
Will GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?Yes 31%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Visitors to Florida in 2026
K 209.1K contractsWill the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?Yes 97.5%
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 138 million?Yes 94.5%
Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million?Yes 79.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?
PM $62.2KWill USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?Yes 26%
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?Yes 21.5%
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?Yes 11%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receptions
K 205.3K contractsLaquon Treadwell: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson: 2+ receptionsYes 99.5%
Keenan Allen: 3+ receptionsYes 99.5%
+79 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Glean's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $61.6KWill Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?Yes 44%
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31?Yes 40%
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?Yes 34.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Core CPI YoY in November
K 204.6K contractsWill the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.0% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.3% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.2% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 97.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in October 2026?
PM $61.5KWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 in October?Yes 85%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 in October?Yes 83%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 in October?Yes 66.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
K 200.4K contractsWill USAID be eliminated?Yes 17.5%
Will EPA be eliminated?Yes 11.3%
Will IRS be eliminated?Yes 7.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketScience
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
PM $60.3KWill there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 75.8%
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 20%
Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 3.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
K 194.1K contractsWill Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 27.5%
Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 15.5%
Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 6.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?
PM $58.5KWill the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 49%
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 27%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
K 192.4K contractsWhich company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Amazon)Yes 16.5%
Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Netflix)Yes 8.5%
Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Disney)Yes 4.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in October 2026?
PM $58.4KWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?Yes 86%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in October?Yes 84%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in October?Yes 63.7%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3
K 187.4K contractsWill The Cheesecake Factory Inc. report Above 4.5% comparable restaurant sales in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will The Cheesecake Factory Inc. report Above 4% comparable restaurant sales in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will The Cheesecake Factory Inc. report Above 3.5% comparable restaurant sales in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Feb 24, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in October 2026?
PM $52.7KWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Yes 85%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Yes 82.5%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Yes 65.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?
K 186.1K contractsWill the Fed have an emergency meeting before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Deepseek IPO by...?
PM $52.5KWill DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 67.4%
Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?Yes 60.5%
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?Yes 31%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC