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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 145-192 of 2,875 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiCulture
Taylor Swift: Wedding Dress

Taylor Swift: Wedding Dress

K 398.1K contracts
Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Dior at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 63.5%
Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Monique Lhuillier at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 20.5%
Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Fendi at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 18%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

PM $317.0K
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

K 395.4K contracts
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

PM $316.0K
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 26%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes 9.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
South Dakota corn yield in 2026

South Dakota corn yield in 2026

K 389.8K contracts
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?Yes 98.5%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?Yes 98%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?Yes 96.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

PM $295.3K
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes 90.4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?Yes 2.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?Yes 2.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will gas prices in California get this year?

How high will gas prices in California get this year?

K 387.6K contracts
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 16%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

PM $291.5K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 27.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 24.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Yes 23.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

K 386.8K contracts
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 71.5%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

PM $278.5K
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 26.5%
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 19.5%
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 10.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

PM $278.2K · K 140.2K contracts

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Kalshi: Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 9.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

K 355.2K contracts
Will there be more than 10 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 70.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

K 332.3K contracts
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83.2%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 29%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

PM $273.4K
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 23.5%
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 10.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Who will release a new album in 2026?

Who will release a new album in 2026?

K 324.3K contracts
Will Lil Baby release a new album in 2026?Yes 90%
Will Offset release a new album in 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will 2 Chainz release a new album in 2026?Yes 76.5%
+70 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Bank of Japan rate decision in December

Bank of Japan rate decision in December

PM $266.2K · K 34.7K contracts

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 28%

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the October 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 94.5%

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Hike 25bps at the December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 70%Rules differK Yes 69.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

13 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?

Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?

K 316.0K contracts
Will Widespread Panic perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will The String Cheese Incident perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 88.5%
Will The Avett Brothers perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 88.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

PM $260.0K
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes 32.5%
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes 32%
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes 17.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Actress

Oscar nominees: Best Actress

K 312.6K contracts
2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations? (Julianne Moore)Yes 92%
2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations? (Inde Navarrette)Yes 85%
2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations? (Olivia Wilde)Yes 74%
+23 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

PM $253.4K
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 28.5%
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 22.5%
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiSports
CPI YoY in December

CPI YoY in December

K 304.1K contracts
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 94.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Apr 14, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinancials
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

PM $252.8K
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes 9%
Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes 5.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

K 301.0K contracts
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 46.5%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 28.5%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 21%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

PM $245.4K
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes 3.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

K 298.6K contracts
Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Sean Strickland)Yes 91%
Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Nassourdine Imavov)Yes 6.5%
Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Khamzat Chimaev)Yes 1.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

PM $241.7K
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 42.5%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 35%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 12.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Top Song on Spotify in 2026?

Top Song on Spotify in 2026?

K 293.0K contracts
Will End of Beginning be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 88%
Will Babydoll be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will SWIM be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2%
+25 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

PM $237.9K
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 19%
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.7%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

K 289.5K contracts
Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4100000 in October 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4200000 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4300000 in October 2026?Yes 94.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

PM $228.4K
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 57.9%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Washington vs San Francisco: Touchdowns

Washington vs San Francisco: Touchdowns

K 289.1K contracts
Christian McCaffrey: 1+ touchdownsYes 69.5%
Mike Evans: 1+ touchdownsYes 52.5%
George Kittle: 1+ touchdownsYes 46.5%
+44 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

PM $224.1K
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Yes 46.4%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 30%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Yes 9.2%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
NYC median asking rent in December 2026

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

K 288.2K contracts
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?Yes 94.5%
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?Yes 80.5%
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

PM $215.4K
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 61.5%
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 12%
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 18, 2026?

Where will it rain on Oct 18, 2026?

K 282.5K contracts
Will it rain in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 42.5%
Will it rain in Phoenix on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 31.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

PM $208.8K
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes 33.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes 20.5%
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes 9.4%
+54 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will have a #1 hit this year?

Who will have a #1 hit this year?

K 281.1K contracts
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 hit this year?Yes 90.5%
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 hit this year?Yes 30%
Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 hit this year?Yes 29.5%
+111 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

PM $207.1K
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 9.4%
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 4.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Number of rate hikes in 2026?

Number of rate hikes in 2026?

K 272.9K contracts
Will there be exactly 2 Fed rate hikes in 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will there be exactly 1 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will there be exactly 3 Fed rate hikes in 2026?Yes 8.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

PM $205.3K
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes 65%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

K 272.3K contracts
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q3 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q3 2026?Yes 99%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinancials
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

PM $204.7K
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes 2.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Will Stripe acquire PayPal this year?

Will Stripe acquire PayPal this year?

PM $187.0K · K 29.8K contracts

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Stripe and Advent International (collectively) announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 5.5%

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Stripe and Advent International (collectively) announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

K 271.4K contracts
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Denver, CO before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Las Vegas, NV before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 87%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?

How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?

K 264.1K contracts
Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $64 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $65 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $63 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

PM $180.7K
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Yes 66.5%
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Yes 14.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Best AI this week

Best AI this week

K 262.8K contracts
Best AI this week (Gemini)Yes 99.5%
Best AI this week (Grok)Yes 0.5%
Best AI this week (ChatGPT)Yes 0.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?

PM $178.2K
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in October?Yes 81.5%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 in October?Yes 76%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in October?Yes 54.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC