Browse prediction markets

Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.9%

Ukraine election called by...?

PM $1.86M

Will above 13500000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?Yes 91.5%

How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?

K 303.6K contracts

Will above 13750000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?Yes 89.5%

Will above 14000000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?Yes 77.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jul 22, 2027 UTC

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes 96.4%

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

PM $1.85M

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 1.8%

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 1.6%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Democratic win the House race for FL-14?Yes 67.5%

FL-14 House winner?

K 301.1K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for FL-14?Yes 32.5%

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 15%

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

PM $1.81M

Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 5.7%

Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 5.4%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

K 301.0K contracts

Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 46.5%

Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 28.5%

Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 21%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.9%

US x Russia military clash by...?

PM $1.81M

Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the Oscars?Yes 71.5%

Oscar winner: Best Actress

K 296.5K contracts

Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the Oscars?Yes 19%

Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the Oscars?Yes 3.5%

+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 11.5%

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

PM $1.80M

PM $1.78M · K 3.92M contracts

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Kalshi: Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 1.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 45)Yes 96.5%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping · Rotten Tomatoes score

K 293.4K contracts

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 50)Yes 93.5%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 90.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC

Will Democratic win the House race for NC-11?Yes 78.5%

NC-11 House winner?

K 293.1K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for NC-11?Yes 21.5%

Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes 19.5%

Kash Patel out by...?

PM $1.78M

Kash Patel out by October 31?Yes 2.8%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

Top Song on Spotify in 2026?

K 293.0K contracts

Will End of Beginning be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 88%

Will Babydoll be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11.5%

Will SWIM be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2%

+25 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

PM $1.75M

Will Republican win the House race for TX-23?Yes 71.5%

TX-23 House winner?

K 289.8K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for TX-23?Yes 29.5%

PM $1.73M · K 817.2K contracts

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Top artist on Spotify in 2026?

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Bad Bunny)

Related contracts

PM Yes 85.5%Rules differK Yes 85.5%

Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Taylor Swift)

Related contracts

PM Yes 11%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Drake)

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

9 saved comparisonsNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

K 289.5K contracts

Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4100000 in October 2026?Yes 98.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

PM $1.72M

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes 10%

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Klara and the Sun Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 5)Yes 98.5%

Klara and the Sun · Rotten Tomatoes score

K 285.3K contracts

Klara and the Sun Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 10)Yes 96.5%

Klara and the Sun Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 15)Yes 87.5%

+15 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

PM $1.57M

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes 19%

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiWorld

Who will have a #1 hit this year?

K 281.1K contracts

Will Mariah Carey have a #1 hit this year?Yes 90.5%

Will Zach Bryan have a #1 hit this year?Yes 30%

Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 hit this year?Yes 29.5%

+111 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

PM $1.56M · K 818.8K contracts

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins)

Related contracts

PM Yes 78.5%Rules differK Yes 80.5%

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Bernadette Wilson)

Related contracts

PM Yes 21.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Tom Begich)

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

14 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?

K 280.4K contracts

Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office early?Yes 1.6%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 34%

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

PM $1.53M

Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 34%

Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 29.5%

+20 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

PM $1.47M · K 2.55M contracts

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 20%Rules differK Yes 35%

Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 26.9%Rules differK Yes 32.5%

Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Josh O'Connor be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.6%Rules differK Yes 23.5%

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Saved prices; check contract rules.

19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for AL-02?Yes 71.5%

AL-02 House winner?

K 275.7K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for AL-02?Yes 28.5%

Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2026?Yes 5.3%

How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?

K 274.7K contracts

Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2026?Yes 4.3%

Will government spending decrease by 2000 before 2026?Yes 4%

+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC

PM $1.44M · K 4.52M contracts

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 36.5%Review neededK Yes 42.5%

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 26%Review neededK Yes 14.5%

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 24%Review neededK Yes 22.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 41.5%

Will Trump declare an election emergency?

K 273.0K contracts

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Nov 4, 2026?Yes 31%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes 2.5%

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

PM $1.44M

PM $1.44M · K 514.3K contracts

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?

Related contracts

PM Yes 73.5%Rules differK Yes 73.5%

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Dan Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?

Related contracts

PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 26.5%

Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Ann Diener win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes <0.1%

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Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 60)Yes 98.5%

Dune: Part Three: Rotten Tomatoes score

K 271.8K contracts

Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 98.5%

Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 50)Yes 98.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Dec 28, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

2026: Trump's bad year?

K 271.8K contracts

Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026?Yes 5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC

Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.8%

Will any country leave NATO by...?

PM $1.43M

How long will SWAG be #1? (More than 10 weeks)Yes 2%

KalshiEntertainment

How many straight weeks will 'SWAG' be #1?

K 271.5K contracts

How long will SWAG be #1? (More than 5 weeks)Yes 1.5%

How long will SWAG be #1? (More than 4 weeks)Yes 1.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 27, 2026 UTC

Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 3.3%

Iran Nuke before 2027?

PM $1.41M

Ebenezer Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 20)Yes 92.5%

Ebenezer · Rotten Tomatoes score

K 269.4K contracts

Ebenezer Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 25)Yes 88.5%

Ebenezer Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 30)Yes 80.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Nov 23, 2026 UTC