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Showing 337-384 of 7,589 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
K 135.7K contractsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 9.5%
Will Jon Ossoff defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Ossoff as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8.5%
Will JD Vance defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
PM $706.5KWill the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 34%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 23.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 135.6K contractsWill there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 85.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Nebraska Senate winner?
PM $696.0K · K 2.60M contractsWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Nebraska?
Related contracts
PM Yes 71.5%Rules differK Yes 72.5%
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Dan Osborn (as an independent)s win the Senate race in Nebraska?
Related contracts
PM Yes 28.5%Rules differK Yes 27.5%
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Nebraska?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes <0.1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
K 135.5K contractsWill Trump fire 0 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 87%
Will Trump fire 1 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 3.5%
Will Trump fire 2 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 3.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PM $682.0KWill Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Yes 14%
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026?Yes 11.6%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Senate margin of victory
K 134.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 89.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PM $671.6KWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes 99.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
K 134.3K contractsWill Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Houthis enter Aden by...?
PM $669.0KHouthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Yes 25.5%
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?Yes 13.5%
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-22 House winner?
K 133.8K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for FL-22?Yes 55.5%
Will Republican win the House race for FL-22?Yes 44.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
PM $663.6KU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Top U.S. Selling Album (Physical and Digital Sales Combined): 2026
K 132.7K contractsWill ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 81.5%
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 7%
Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 2.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
PM $656.0KWill Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?Yes 85%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KY-06 House winner?
K 132.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for KY-06?Yes 69.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for KY-06?Yes 30.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Erdoğan out by...?
PM $649.6KErdoğan out by December 31, 2027?Yes 16%
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026
K 131.8K contractsWill Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $50 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $55 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $60 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 61.5%
+8 moreNext deadline May 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PM $642.4KUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Comedy
K 130.5K contractsWill The Invite win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 24.5%
Will Club Kid win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 20.5%
Will The Debut win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 12.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
PM $627.1KWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Big Sky open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 128.6K contractsWill Big Sky open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Big Sky open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Big Sky open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 93.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
PM $618.2KWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 14%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
K 127.4K contractsWho will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? (Miley Cyrus)Yes 64.5%
Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? (JAY-Z)Yes 62%
Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? (T-Pain)Yes 49.5%
+130 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
PM $618.0KWill oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 59.4%
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 31.6%
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
K 126.6K contractsWill exactly 0 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?Yes 92.3%
Will exactly 1 Senate Democrat lose re-election in 2026?Yes 6.9%
Will exactly 2 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?Yes 1.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia invade another country by...?
PM $611.7KWill Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?Yes 19%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will run for public office in 2026?
K 124.9K contractsWill Nicki Minaj announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?Yes 3.6%
Will Joe Kent announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?Yes 3.3%
Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?Yes 3.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
PM $607.8KWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 69%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Yes 49%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump expand the H-1B program?
K 123.5K contractsWill Trump expand high-skill immigration?Yes 21%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
PM $598.0KWill Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 42.5%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 24.1%
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 21.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Texas Governor winner?
PM $578.2K · K 2.47M contractsWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Texas
Related contracts
PM Yes 75.4%Rules differK Yes 75.5%
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas
Related contracts
PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 25.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football Passing Touchdowns Leader
K 122.2K contractsWill Brock Purdy lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 29%
Will Jared Goff lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 19%
Will Joe Burrow lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 16%
+25 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
K 120.7K contractsWill Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican?Yes 11.1%
Will JFET leave the John Fetterman?Yes 9%
Will Thomas Massie leave the Republican?Yes 4.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PM $571.2KPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 24.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will have a top 20 song this year?
K 120.6K contractsWill Chappell Roan have a top 20 song this year?Yes 98%
Will Lana Del Rey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96.5%
Will Mariah Carey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
+86 moreNext deadline Dec 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
PM $567.6KWill Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 45%
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 41%
Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Choosin' Texas weeks at #1: 2026
K 120.5K contractsWill Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 25 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 99%
Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 26 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 89%
Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 27 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 74.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PM $566.9KWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 93.7%
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 92%
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 86.5%
+43 moreNext deadline Apr 17, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
K 119.3K contractsWill Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 62.5%
Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 30%
Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the Grammys?Yes 3.5%
+65 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
PM $565.5KWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes 10%
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
K 118.5K contractsWill the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration?Yes 99.6%
Will the national debt hit $42.5 trillion during the Trump Administration?Yes 96.5%
Will the national debt hit $45 trillion during the Trump Administration?Yes 85.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
PM $564.8KLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Yes 4.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 117.6K contractsWill the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 59.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
PM $562.5KGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia Senate margin of victory
K 117.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 95%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 88%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 84%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PM $548.8KTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place?
K 117.0K contractsWill SDP finish 3rd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 50.5%
Will HDZ coalition finish 3rd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 47.5%
Will SNSD finish 3rd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 9%
+22 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PM $547.6KUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes 79.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC