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Showing 97-144 of 937 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Bank of Japan rate decision in December
PM $264.4K · K 34.7K contractsNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 28%
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the October 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 94.5%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Hike 25bps at the December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 72%Rules differK Yes 71.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
13 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026
K 166.5K contractsWho will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? (Noah Wyle)Yes 82.5%
Who will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? (David Corenswet)Yes 7%
Who will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? (Bad Bunny)Yes 4.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?
K 161.4K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States has imposed a ban on exports of diesel that has gone into effect before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PM $198.4KKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receiving Yards
K 160.1K contractsJosh Downs: 15+ receiving yardsYes 86%
Keenan Allen: 15+ receiving yardsYes 84.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson: 15+ receiving yardsYes 83.5%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
PM $196.3KWill there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will there be four or more UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes 0.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?
PM $192.7K · K 104.8K contractsWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Kalshi: Will Bernie Sanders endorse James Talarico in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas before Nov 3, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 22.5%Rules differK Yes 22%
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Kalshi: Will Bernie Sanders endorse Dan Osborn in the 2026 United States Senate election in Nebraska before Nov 3, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.8%Rules differK Yes 6.7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 158.2K contractsAbove 0 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 17.5%
Above 1 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 12.5%
Above 2 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 11%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
K 157.1K contractsWhat kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)Yes 8.5%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)Yes 7%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)Yes 6.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
PM $178.6KWill more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes 75%
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes 22%
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes 1.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
K 151.0K contractsWill privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,600 units?Yes 87.5%
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,700 units?Yes 75.5%
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,800 units?Yes 61%
+8 moreNext deadline May 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
PM $175.9KWill Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?Yes 82.5%
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Hungary?Yes 3.1%
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Azerbaijan?Yes 2.9%
+26 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
K 149.1K contractsWill the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?Yes 8.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Ukraine coup attempt by...?
PM $173.0KUkraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027?Yes 24%
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Yes 6%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
K 145.4K contractsWill a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?Yes 54.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
PM $169.2KUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes 5.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
How high will Brazil inflation get this year?
PM $168.3K · K 19.4K contractsWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%?
Kalshi: Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 7.00%?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
K 145.3K contractsWho will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Donald Trump)Yes 52%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Bill Clinton)Yes 50.5%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Naomi Campbell)Yes 45%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?
K 144.4K contractsWill a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 50.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 44.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 27.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
PM $157.7KWill US annex any territory in 2026?Yes 3.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November
PM $156.8K · K 25.2K contractsNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82.5%Rules differK Yes 81%
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 70%Rules differK Yes 81%
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 21.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
K 140.9K contractsWill the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 2,000 units?Yes 96.5%
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 2,500 units?Yes 73%
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,000 units?Yes 62.5%
+8 moreNext deadline May 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?
PM $143.6K · K 4.6K contractsWill AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 50%Rules differK Yes 45%
Will AfD be in the next Berlin state government?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.6%Rules differK Yes 45%
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 44%Rules differK Yes 45%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Anthropic market share this week
K 132.1K contractsAnthropic market share this week? (Above 4.5%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 4.0%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 3.8%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
NFL Players Traded
K 129.4K contractsWill Jonah Elliss be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 60%
Will Jerry Jeudy be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Spencer Rattler be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 56.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner
PM $135.6KWill Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Yes 6.6%
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Yes 4.9%
Will Lakhwinder Jhaj win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Yes 2.2%
3 mktsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
K 128.6K contractsGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1490)Yes 28%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1505)Yes 27.5%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1510)Yes 27%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Tesla Optimus released this year?
PM $132.9K · K 433.3K contractsWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: First Inning Run
K 126.2K contracts1st inning: Over 0.5 runsYes 41.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
PM $123.8KWill Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will run for public office in 2026?
K 124.9K contractsWill Nicki Minaj announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?Yes 3.6%
Will Joe Kent announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?Yes 3.3%
Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?Yes 3.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
PM $122.4KWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes 73.5%
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes 26.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
K 122.9K contractsWill Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2099 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?
PM $120.4KWill North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Yes 23%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Passing Yards
K 122.8K contractsDaniel Jones: 150+ passing yardsYes 89%
Cam Ward: 125+ passing yardsYes 87.5%
Cam Ward: 150+ passing yardsYes 80.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?
PM $118.0KWill Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?Yes 3.5%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by October 31?Yes 0.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Colorado permitted housing units in 2026
K 120.9K contractsWill the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 30,000?Yes 58.5%
Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 32,000?Yes 30.5%
Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 34,000?Yes 20.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Spain General Election Winner
PM $116.9KWill PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 84.5%
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 14.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will have a top 20 song this year?
K 120.6K contractsWill Chappell Roan have a top 20 song this year?Yes 98%
Will Mariah Carey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
Will Lana Del Rey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
+86 moreNext deadline Dec 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
PM $114.5KWill there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Yes 96.1%
Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?Yes 1.8%
Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?Yes 1.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Chicago vs Atlanta: Receiving Yards
K 120.3K contractsRome Odunze: 15+ receiving yardsYes 83.5%
Drake London: 50+ receiving yardsYes 81.5%
Luther Burden III: 25+ receiving yardsYes 81.5%
+90 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
PM $113.4KXi Jinping divorce before 2027?Yes 1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?
K 119.2K contractsWill Pennsylvania have at least 180 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 185 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 190 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 57.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
PM $112.4KWill there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Yes 50.5%
Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes 13.5%
Will Boris Pistorius be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes 5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiWorld
Number of Honey Deuces sold at the US Open
K 116.3K contractsWill more than 650,000 Honey Deuces be sold at the US Open 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will more than 700,000 Honey Deuces be sold at the US Open 2026?Yes 76.5%
Will more than 750,000 Honey Deuces be sold at the US Open 2026?Yes 53.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
PM $111.3KRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Yes 4.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
New Orleans vs New York G: Receiving Yards
K 113.4K contractsJuwan Johnson: 15+ receiving yardsYes 84.5%
Chris Olave: 40+ receiving yardsYes 83.5%
Isaiah Likely: 25+ receiving yardsYes 82.5%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
PM $104.8KTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC