Browse prediction markets

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2800?Yes 99.5%

US gas prices this week

K 892.4K contracts

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2600?Yes 99.5%

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2400?Yes 99.5%

+20 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes 57%

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

PM $1.72M

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Yes 32.4%

Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Yes 9.7%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

How high will unemployment get before 2027? (Above 5%)Yes 11.8%

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

K 809.5K contracts

How high will unemployment get before 2027? (Above 6.5%)Yes 11%

How high will unemployment get before 2027? (Above 4.5%)Yes 11%

+11 moreNext deadline Mar 9, 2027 UTC

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes 74.5%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

PM $1.56M

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 67.5%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 58.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

PM $1.47M · K 2.55M contracts

Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 26.8%Rules differK Yes 33.5%

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 19.5%Rules differK Yes 31.5%

Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Josh O'Connor be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.3%Rules differK Yes 23.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Derrick Henry: 1+ touchdownsYes 57.5%

Baltimore vs Cleveland: Touchdowns

K 770.8K contracts

Denzel Boston: 1+ touchdownsYes 29.5%

Zay Flowers: 1+ touchdownsYes 29.5%

+40 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Will there be a recession in 2027?Yes 20%

Recession in 2027?

K 702.1K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2028 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

PM $1.44M · K 4.51M contracts

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 34.5%Review neededK Yes 37%

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 26%Review neededK Yes 14.5%

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 25%Review neededK Yes 23.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCrypto

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

PM $1.42M · K 304.2K contracts

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 17.5%Rules differK Yes 43.8%

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 40%Rules differK Yes 43.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in October 2026?Yes 98.5%

CPI in October

K 696.8K contracts

Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in October 2026?Yes 96.5%

Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in October 2026?Yes 85.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Feb 9, 2027 UTC

Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 91,500 MW?Yes 4.5%

How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

K 682.7K contracts

Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 92,500 MW?Yes 3.5%

Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 92,000 MW?Yes 3.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes 4.1%

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

PM $1.42M

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in October?Yes 94.5%

Core CPI in October

K 681.8K contracts

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in October?Yes 81.5%

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in October?Yes 47%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes 64.5%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $1.31M

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 13.5%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes 9%

+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiCrypto

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

K 678.1K contracts

Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 73%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes 1.5%

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

PM $1.25M

PM $1.22M · K 40.9K contracts

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Iliana Yotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 88%Rules differK Yes 88.5%

Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13%Rules differK Yes 12%

Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Atanas Atanasov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?Yes 2.1%

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

K 672.1K contracts

Jonathan Taylor: 1+ touchdownsYes 68.5%

Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Touchdowns

K 666.7K contracts

Tony Pollard: 1+ touchdownsYes 37.5%

Tyler Warren: 1+ touchdownsYes 36.5%

+45 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

PolymarketFinancials

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

PM $1.22M

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes 93.5%

Rhamondre Stevenson: 1+ touchdownsYes 51.5%

New York J vs New England: Touchdowns

K 634.8K contracts

Braelon Allen: 1+ touchdownsYes 40.5%

Garrett Wilson: 1+ touchdownsYes 29.5%

+36 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

PolymarketEconomics

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

PM $1.10M

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes 68.5%

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes 22.5%

Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes 10.4%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?

PM $1.03M · K 11.4K contracts

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?

Kalshi: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% by Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 36.5%Rules differK Yes 35%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

Kalshi: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% by Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 26.3%Rules differK Yes 32%

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Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Houston vs Jacksonville: Receptions

K 565.9K contracts

Xavier Hutchinson: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%

Marvin Harrison Jr.: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%

Foster Moreau: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%

+93 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

How high will inflation get this year?

K 564.1K contracts

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)Yes 21.8%

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.5%)Yes 15.5%

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.0%)Yes 10.2%

+3 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiSports

Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

PM $1.01M · K 416.0K contracts

Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? (Carlos Ulberg)

Related contracts

PM Yes 92%Rules differK Yes 92.5%

Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? (Magomed Ankalaev)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 6%

Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? (Alex Pereira)

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.3%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiFinancials

USD/BRL high in 2026

K 563.8K contracts

Will the maximum USD/BRL exchange rate reach 5.4999 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 51%

Will the maximum USD/BRL exchange rate reach 6.7499 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 9%

Will the maximum USD/BRL exchange rate reach 6.2499 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 9%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 83%

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

PM $847.2K

1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

CPI YoY in November

K 524.9K contracts

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 98.5%

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 98.5%

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 96.5%

+18 moreNext deadline Mar 11, 2027 UTC

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes 9%

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

PM $775.0K

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%

KalshiScience

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

K 522.7K contracts

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?Yes 96.5%

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?Yes 92.5%

+10 moreNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes 69.5%

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

PM $751.4K

Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes 23.5%

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes 6.2%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

When will the next U.S. recession start? (Q1 2026)Yes 5.9%

When will the next US recession start?

K 520.8K contracts

When will the next U.S. recession start? (Q4 2025)Yes 3.6%

When will the next U.S. recession start? (Q2 2025)Yes 1.8%

+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes 0.9%

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

PM $677.8K

Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes 0.4%

Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes 0.3%

+20 more

Kenneth Walker III: 1+ touchdownsYes 60.5%

Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Touchdowns

K 516.6K contracts

Travis Kelce: 1+ touchdownsYes 37.5%

Xavier Worthy: 1+ touchdownsYes 35.5%

+43 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

PM $657.9K

When will OpenAI IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 52%

KalshiCompanies

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

K 510.6K contracts

When will OpenAI IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 46%

When will OpenAI IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 29%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

PM $640.6K

Javonte Williams: 1+ touchdownsYes 63.5%

Dallas vs Green Bay: Touchdowns

K 510.4K contracts

MarShawn Lloyd: 1+ touchdownsYes 52.5%

Christian Watson: 1+ touchdownsYes 43.5%

+50 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC

Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes 91.2%

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

PM $599.0K

Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.9%

Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.8%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Fed cut rates 0 times at emergency meetings?Yes 97.2%

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

K 510.4K contracts

Will the Fed cut rates 1 time at emergency meetings?Yes 1.2%

Will the Fed cut rates 2 times at emergency meetings?Yes 1.1%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 24%

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

PM $541.1K

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Gemini)Yes 75.5%

KalshiTech

Best AI in Oct 2026?

K 507.9K contracts

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Claude)Yes 22.5%

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Muse)Yes 1.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC