Browse prediction markets

PM Yes 48.5%Rules differK Yes 59.5%

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Javier Milei win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

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Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)

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PM Yes 58.5%Rules differK Yes 54.5%

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)

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PM Yes 48.5%Rules differK Yes 54.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

30 saved comparisonsNext deadline Sep 1, 2027 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for NY-01?Yes 87%

NY-01 House winner?

K 199.0K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for NY-01?Yes 12.5%

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2027?Yes 7%

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

PM $968.0K

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

K 197.5K contracts

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

PM $945.3K

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kentucky?Yes 96.7%

Kentucky Senate winner?

K 196.6K contracts

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kentucky?Yes 3%

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes 55.5%

Maduro Prison Time?

PM $924.5K

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes 24.5%

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Yes 5.3%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 82.5%

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

K 192.9K contracts

Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 74%

Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 62%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Kansas Senate winner?

PM $918.3K · K 3.74M contracts

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kansas?

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PM Yes 62.5%Rules differK Yes 64.5%

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kansas?

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PM Yes 37.5%Rules differK Yes 36.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

PS6 announced this year?

K 191.2K contracts

PS6 announced by 2026?Yes 5.5%

Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 8.2%

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

PM $916.2K

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 7.5%

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 6.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor

K 190.7K contracts

Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?Yes 26.5%

Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?Yes 20.5%

Will Guitarricadelafuente win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?Yes 12%

+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17?Yes 86.5%

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

PM $915.4K

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?Yes 86%

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?Yes 77%

+20 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

K 189.8K contracts

Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%

Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 90.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Iowa Senate winner?

PM $911.7K · K 5.57M contracts

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa?

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PM Yes 58.5%Rules differK Yes 56.5%

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Iowa?

Related contracts

PM Yes 42.5%Rules differK Yes 43.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for SC-01?Yes 71.5%

SC-01 House winner?

K 188.3K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for SC-01?Yes 28.5%

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes 95.5%

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

PM $895.7K

Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?Yes 94.7%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 60)Yes 7.5%

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

K 188.1K contracts

How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 62)Yes 6.5%

How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 66)Yes 5.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes 8%

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

PM $873.5K

Will ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 48%

Top U.S. Selling Vinyl Album: 2026

K 184.4K contracts

Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 20%

Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 7.5%

+25 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes 4.5%

Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

PM $872.3K

1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in AlaskaYes 79.5%

Alaska Governor winner? (Party)

K 179.1K contracts

Will the Republican party win the governorship in AlaskaYes 20.5%

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes 5.5%

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

PM $867.9K

Will Trump say "Zacharia" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 16.5%

What will Trump say this week?

K 178.6K contracts

Will Trump say "Stupid Question" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 16%

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 8.5%

+18 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?Yes 66.5%

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

PM $866.0K

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?Yes 40.5%

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes 21.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Maine be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 38%

Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

K 175.3K contracts

Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 36%

Will Ohio be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 8%

+17 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes 5.5%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

PM $865.9K

1 mktNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

Will the number of ICE removals be above 200000 in FY2026?Yes 99.4%

Deportations in 2026?

K 174.4K contracts

Will the number of ICE removals be above 300000 in FY2026?Yes 98.5%

Will the number of ICE removals be above 400000 in FY2026?Yes 97.9%

+4 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketCulture

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

PM $864.5K

GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 3%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for CO-04?Yes 73.5%

CO-04 House winner?

K 173.4K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for CO-04?Yes 26.5%

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes 5%

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

PM $852.1K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Top 5 most searched people on Google in 2026

K 171.8K contracts

Will Lindsay Clancy be the #Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list?Yes 76.5%

Will Erling Haaland be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 53.5%

Will Savannah Guthrie be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 43.5%

+17 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?Yes 25%

UK election called by...?

PM $837.4K

Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Yes 7%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners

K 170.1K contracts

Will Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 76.5%

Will Jon Batiste be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 59.5%

Will Noah Kahan be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 56.5%

+17 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Yes 3.2%

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

PM $825.3K