Browse prediction markets

Will the next President confirm 0 Supreme Court justices?Yes 35.5%

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

K 216.8K contracts

Will the next President confirm 1 Supreme Court justices?Yes 22%

Will the next President confirm 2 Supreme Court justices?Yes 16.1%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

KalshiTech

Where will it rain on Oct 18, 2026?

K 216.1K contracts

Will it rain in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%

Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49%

Will it rain in Phoenix on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 27%

+32 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes 11%

India strike on Pakistan by...?

PM $996.9K

Will Democratic win the House race for TX-35?Yes 59.5%

TX-35 House winner?

K 215.1K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for TX-35?Yes 40.5%

US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.2%

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

PM $995.3K

Will Don Toliver have a top 10 song this year?Yes 99.5%

KalshiWorld

Who will have a top 10 song this year?

K 207.4K contracts

Will Mariah Carey have a top 10 song this year?Yes 97%

Will Chappell Roan have a top 10 song this year?Yes 95.5%

+105 moreNext deadline Dec 26, 2026 UTC

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes 26.5%

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

PM $992.2K

Will Vampire Weekend be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%

KalshiCulture

Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027: Headliner

K 206.9K contracts

Will Tyler, The Creator be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%

Will Travis Scott be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%

+17 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes 7%

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

PM $985.5K

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 30 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16.5%

KalshiTech

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?

K 204.1K contracts

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13%

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 67%

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

PM $977.1K

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 33.5%

Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 0.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Will USAID be eliminated?Yes 17.5%

Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

K 200.4K contracts

Will EPA be eliminated?Yes 11.3%

Will IRS be eliminated?Yes 7.4%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

PM $975.8K · K 78.1K contracts

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Javier Milei win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 48.5%Rules differK Yes 60.5%

Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)

Related contracts

PM Yes 58.5%Rules differK Yes 54.5%

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)

Related contracts

PM Yes 48.5%Rules differK Yes 54.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

30 saved comparisonsNext deadline Sep 1, 2027 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for NY-01?Yes 86.5%

NY-01 House winner?

K 199.0K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for NY-01?Yes 12.5%

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2027?Yes 7%

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

PM $968.0K

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.4%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

K 197.5K contracts

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

PM $945.3K

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kentucky?Yes 96.7%

Kentucky Senate winner?

K 196.6K contracts

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kentucky?Yes 3.3%

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes 58.5%

Maduro Prison Time?

PM $924.4K

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes 24.5%

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes 4.9%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

K 193.9K contracts

Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 28.5%

Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 15.5%

Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 6.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

PM $918.6K

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes 50.5%

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 82.5%

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

K 191.0K contracts

Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 75%

Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 62%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Kansas Senate winner?

PM $918.1K · K 3.73M contracts

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kansas?

Related contracts

PM Yes 62.5%Rules differK Yes 64.5%

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kansas?

Related contracts

PM Yes 37.5%Rules differK Yes 36.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for SC-01?Yes 71.5%

SC-01 House winner?

K 188.2K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for SC-01?Yes 28.5%

Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 8.4%

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

PM $916.2K

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 7.5%

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 6.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 60)Yes 7%

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

K 188.1K contracts

How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 62)Yes 6.5%

How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 66)Yes 5.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?Yes 81%

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

PM $914.6K

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?Yes 80%

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?Yes 77%

+20 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

K 184.8K contracts

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Yes 13%

PM $910.4K · K 5.56M contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Iowa Senate winner?

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa?

Related contracts

PM Yes 58.5%Rules differK Yes 56.5%

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Iowa?

Related contracts

PM Yes 42.5%Rules differK Yes 43.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 46.5%

Top U.S. Selling Vinyl Album: 2026

K 184.4K contracts

Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 19.5%

Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 7.5%

+25 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes 95.5%

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

PM $895.7K

Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?Yes 94.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in AlaskaYes 79.5%

Alaska Governor winner? (Party)

K 179.1K contracts

Will the Republican party win the governorship in AlaskaYes 20.5%

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes 9%

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

PM $873.5K

Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

K 175.8K contracts

Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 93.5%

Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 86%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes 4.5%

Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

PM $872.3K

1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

Will Maine be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 38%

Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

K 175.3K contracts

Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 36%

Will Ohio be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 8%

+17 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes 5.5%

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

PM $867.9K

Will the number of ICE removals be above 200000 in FY2026?Yes 99.4%

Deportations in 2026?

K 174.1K contracts

Will the number of ICE removals be above 300000 in FY2026?Yes 98.5%

Will the number of ICE removals be above 400000 in FY2026?Yes 97.9%

+4 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC