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Showing 385-432 of 8,772 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
SC-01 House winner?
K 188.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for SC-01?Yes 71.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for SC-01?Yes 28.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $599.0KWill Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes 91.2%
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.9%
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Texas Governor winner?
PM $578.2K · K 2.46M contractsWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Texas
Related contracts
PM Yes 75.5%Rules differK Yes 75.5%
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas
Related contracts
PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 24.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
K 188.1K contractsHow many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 60)Yes 7%
How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 62)Yes 6.5%
How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 66)Yes 5.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3
K 187.4K contractsWill The Cheesecake Factory Inc. report Above 4.5% comparable restaurant sales in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will The Cheesecake Factory Inc. report Above 4% comparable restaurant sales in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will The Cheesecake Factory Inc. report Above 3.5% comparable restaurant sales in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Feb 24, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
PM $578.0KWill Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 42.5%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 25.1%
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 21.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?
K 186.1K contractsWill the Fed have an emergency meeting before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PM $568.2KPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 24.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Top U.S. Selling Vinyl Album: 2026
K 184.4K contractsWill ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 46.5%
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 19.5%
Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 7.5%
+25 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
PM $567.6KWill Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 40.5%
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 38.5%
Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
K 181.3K contractsWill quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?Yes 32.6%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PM $566.8KWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 93.7%
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 92%
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 86.5%
+43 moreNext deadline Apr 17, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
American Express cards-in-force in Q3
K 179.7K contractsWill American Express Company report Above 154.5 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will American Express Company report Above 155 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will American Express Company report Above 155.5 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 72.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 13, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
PM $565.5KWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Governor winner? (Party)
K 179.1K contractsWill the Democratic party win the governorship in AlaskaYes 79.5%
Will the Republican party win the governorship in AlaskaYes 20.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
PM $564.8KLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Yes 4.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?
K 179.1K contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 31199.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 99.5%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 99.5%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30799.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 99.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
PM $562.5KGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which countries will have a recession before 2027?
K 175.8K contractsWhich countries will have recessions? (United Kingdom)Yes 14.4%
Which countries will have recessions? (Japan)Yes 5.6%
Which countries will have recessions? (China)Yes 3.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PM $548.7KTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 175.8K contractsWill there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 86%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lima Mayoral Election Winner
PM $547.4KWill Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes 90.3%
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes 1.1%
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes 0.3%
+20 more
KalshiPolitics
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
K 175.3K contractsWill Maine be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 38%
Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 36%
Will Ohio be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 8%
+17 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
PM $546.4KWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?
K 174.4K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Yes 95.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Yes 95%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Yes 95%
+22 moreNext deadline May 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US military draft authorized in 2026?
PM $544.4KUS military draft authorized in 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Deportations in 2026?
K 174.1K contractsWill the number of ICE removals be above 200000 in FY2026?Yes 99.4%
Will the number of ICE removals be above 300000 in FY2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the number of ICE removals be above 400000 in FY2026?Yes 97.9%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PM $540.6KUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes 78.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will be arrested before 2027?
PM $539.8K · K 51.8K contractsWill Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.9%Rules differK Yes 5%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?
Kalshi: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.1%Rules differK Yes 5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Wyoming total coal production in 2026
K 173.9K contractsWill Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?Yes 96.5%
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 190 MMst?Yes 94.5%
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 200 MMst?Yes 83.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Robinhood funded customers in Q3
K 173.6K contractsWill Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.5 million funded customers in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.6 million funded customers in Q3 2026?Yes 85.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.7 million funded customers in Q3 2026?Yes 25.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
PM $538.2KWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 59%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 24.9%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 5.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-04 House winner?
K 173.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for CO-04?Yes 73.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for CO-04?Yes 26.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
PM $536.3KWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?Yes 13%
Will Israel annex any territory by March 31?Yes 10.5%
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top 5 most searched people on Google in 2026
K 171.8K contractsWill Lindsay Clancy be the #Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list?Yes 76.5%
Will Erling Haaland be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 53.5%
Will Savannah Guthrie be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 43.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
PM $533.6KUkraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?
K 171.8K contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 25249.85 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 86.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
PM $525.8KWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 94.3%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 5.1%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners
K 170.1K contractsWill Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 76.5%
Will Jon Batiste be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Noah Kahan be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 56.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tim Walz charged by...?
PM $525.2KTim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Carolina vs Philadelphia: 1st Touchdown
K 169.4K contractsChuba Hubbard: 1st TouchdownYes 15.5%
Dameon Pierce: 1st TouchdownYes 11.5%
Tetairoa McMillan: 1st TouchdownYes 8.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
PM $519.7K · K 556.6K contractsWill Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 10.6%
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Elizabeth Holmes receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.6%Rules differK Yes 8.1%
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.4%Rules differK Yes 7.6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
13 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
K 166.3K contractsWill average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $200,000?Yes 97.5%
Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $225,000?Yes 95.5%
Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $250,000?Yes 85.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
PM $514.3KWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?
K 164.8K contractsWill the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?
PM $510.0KWill the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?Yes 11%
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-05 House winner?
K 164.3K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for MO-05?Yes 96.5%
Will Republican win the House race for MO-05?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $508.5KWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 45.1%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 24.9%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC