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Showing 385-432 of 7,968 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
K 145.2K contractsWill Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 34.5%
Will Kansas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 24.5%
Will North Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 14.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Erdoğan out by...?
PM $649.6KErdoğan out by December 31, 2027?Yes 16%
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?
K 144.4K contractsWill a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 50.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 44.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 27.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PM $642.4KUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 3.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Next Senate Democratic Leader?
K 143.4K contractsWill Chuck Schumer win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 81.5%
Will Brian Schatz win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 7.6%
Will Chris Murphy win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 7.1%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
PM $627.1KWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Chicago Mayor winner?
K 142.9K contractsWho will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? (Alexi Giannoulias)Yes 62.5%
Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? (Brandon Johnson)Yes 16.5%
Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? (Susana Mendoza)Yes 4.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Feb 23, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia invade another country by...?
PM $618.7KWill Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?Yes 19%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?
K 140.3K contractsWill legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time become law before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 37.5%
Will legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time become law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 23%
Will permanent daylight savings become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
PM $618.2KWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 14.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)
K 140.1K contractsWill the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 7 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96%
Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 6 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 5 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
PM $618.1KWill oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 58.9%
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 31.4%
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 popular vote margin of victory?
K 139.3K contractsWill Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 9.0% to 100.0%?Yes 23.5%
Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 8.0% to 8.99%?Yes 9.5%
Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 7.0% to 7.99%?Yes 8.5%
+17 moreNext deadline May 6, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
PM $609.0KWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 78%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Yes 59%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receiving Yards
K 137.8K contractsCeeDee Lamb: 40+ receiving yardsYes 85.5%
Christian Watson: 40+ receiving yardsYes 81.5%
Tucker Kraft: 25+ receiving yardsYes 79.5%
+106 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PM $607.5KWill CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 31.5%
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 26.5%
Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season
K 136.6K contractsWill Joe Burrow record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 73%
Will Patrick Mahomes record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 64.5%
Will Matthew Stafford record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 64.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
PM $598.6KWill Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 41.5%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 25.9%
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 21.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 136.5K contractsWill there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 89%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
PM $595.2KFDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actor
K 136.1K contracts2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Paul Giamatti)Yes 86.5%
2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Andrew Garfield)Yes 81%
2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar nominations? (Sam Rockwell)Yes 75%
+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
PM $586.3KNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 98.3%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 82%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Yes 71.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Texas Governor winner?
PM $585.1K · K 2.49M contractsWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Texas
Related contracts
PM Yes 73.5%Rules differK Yes 74.5%
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas
Related contracts
PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 26.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
K 136.0K contractsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 9.5%
Will Jon Ossoff defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Ossoff as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8.5%
Will JD Vance defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
K 135.5K contractsWill Trump fire 0 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 87%
Will Trump fire 1 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 3.5%
Will Trump fire 2 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 3.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $576.4KWill Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 26.5%
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 15.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Senate margin of victory
K 135.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 89.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 68%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PM $571.2KPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 24.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
K 134.3K contractsWill Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 4.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
PM $567.7KWill Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 41%
Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 134.0K contractsWill Taylor Swift have above 13.9M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.8M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.7M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PM $567.0KWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 93.7%
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 92%
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 86%
+43 moreNext deadline Apr 17, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-22 House winner?
K 133.8K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for FL-22?Yes 55.5%
Will Republican win the House race for FL-22?Yes 44.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
PM $565.5KWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Top U.S. Selling Album (Physical and Digital Sales Combined): 2026
K 132.7K contractsWill ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 81.5%
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 7%
Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 2.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
PM $564.8KLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Yes 4.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Anthropic market share this week
K 132.7K contractsAnthropic market share this week? (Above 4.5%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 4.0%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 3.8%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
PM $562.5KGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KY-06 House winner?
K 132.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for KY-06?Yes 69.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for KY-06?Yes 30.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PM $548.8KTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026
K 131.8K contractsWill Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $50 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $55 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $60 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 61.5%
+8 moreNext deadline May 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PM $548.3KUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes 79.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Comedy
K 130.5K contractsWill The Invite win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 24.5%
Will Club Kid win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 20.5%
Will The Debut win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 12.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lima Mayoral Election Winner
PM $547.5KWill Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes 90.3%
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes 1.1%
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes 0.3%
+20 more
KalshiWorld
NFL Players Traded
K 130.1K contractsWill Spencer Rattler be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 62%
Will Jerry Jeudy be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 57%
Will Will McDonald IV be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 52.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
PM $546.4KWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
K 128.6K contractsGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1505)Yes 28%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1490)Yes 28%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1510)Yes 27%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Largest Company end of October 2026?
PM $545.1KWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 78.8%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 21.8%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 0.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC