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Showing 49-96 of 1,157 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiCulture
Taylor Swift: Wedding Dress
K 398.0K contractsWill Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Dior at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 65%
Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Monique Lhuillier at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 20.5%
Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Fendi at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 18%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $742.3KWill Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 25.5%
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 11.5%
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 10.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
K 386.7K contractsWill a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 71.5%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $726.5KWill Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 29%
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 15.5%
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 14.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 354.0K contractsWill there be more than 10 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 70.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
PM $718.0KBrian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?Yes 7%
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?Yes 4.7%
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Yes 4.2%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Carolina vs Philadelphia: Receiving Yards
K 345.3K contractsJalen Coker: 25+ receiving yardsYes 82.5%
DeVonta Smith: 25+ receiving yardsYes 81.5%
Dallas Goedert: 15+ receiving yardsYes 79.5%
+83 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $699.5KWill Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 20.5%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 8.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
K 332.3K contractsWill a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83.2%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 29.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PM $607.3KWill CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 31%
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 26.5%
Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Who will release a new album in 2026?
K 324.1K contractsWill Lil Baby release a new album in 2026?Yes 90%
Will Offset release a new album in 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will 2 Chainz release a new album in 2026?Yes 76.5%
+70 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketScience
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
PM $595.2KFDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?
K 316.0K contractsWill Widespread Panic perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will The String Cheese Incident perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 88.5%
Will The Avett Brothers perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 88.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
PM $580.1KNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 97%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 81.5%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Yes 70%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Actress
K 312.6K contracts2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations? (Julianne Moore)Yes 92%
2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations? (Inde Navarrette)Yes 85%
2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations? (Olivia Wilde)Yes 74%
+23 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $576.4KWill Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 26.5%
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 15.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
K 301.0K contractsWill the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 44.5%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 29%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 21.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Largest Company end of October 2026?
PM $531.4KWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 78.8%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 21.3%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 0.6%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
K 298.6K contractsWho will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Sean Strickland)Yes 91%
Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Nassourdine Imavov)Yes 7%
Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Khamzat Chimaev)Yes 1.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PM $525.0KWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 35%
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 1.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Top Song on Spotify in 2026?
K 293.0K contractsWill End of Beginning be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 88%
Will Babydoll be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 12%
Will SWIM be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2%
+25 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Plague pandemic in 2026?
PM $493.0KPlague pandemic in 2026?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
K 289.5K contractsWill NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4100000 in October 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4200000 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4300000 in October 2026?Yes 94.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
PM $485.3KWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes 26%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Yes 4.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will have a #1 hit this year?
K 279.0K contractsWill Mariah Carey have a #1 hit this year?Yes 90.5%
Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 hit this year?Yes 30%
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 hit this year?Yes 26.5%
+111 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
PM $460.4K · K 10.2K contractsWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2028?
Related contracts
PM Yes 64.5%Rules differK Yes 68.5%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 40%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
K 271.1K contractsWill Waymo operate ride-hailing in Denver, CO before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Las Vegas, NV before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 86%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
PM $455.2KWill OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes 16.5%
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?Yes 12%
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Yes 11.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Best AI this week
K 259.7K contractsBest AI this week (Gemini)Yes 99.5%
Best AI this week (Grok)Yes 0.5%
Best AI this week (ChatGPT)Yes 0.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PM $360.0KWill AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes 77%
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes 3%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
K 238.6K contractsWill OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 36%
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?Yes 34%
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?Yes 18%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
PM $353.2KWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 98%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
K 232.9K contractsWill Bank of Canada maintain the current rate at their October 2026 meeting?Yes 82.5%
Will Bank of Canada hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?Yes 17.5%
Will Bank of Canada hike rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
PM $341.4KWill Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes 23%
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes 17%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes 10%
+43 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
K 229.2K contractsHow many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)Yes 99.5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)Yes 97.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
PM $338.1KWill OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 21.5%
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 16.5%
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiWorld
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
K 227.3K contractsWill Pope Leo XIV visit Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Peru before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 74%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
PM $336.4KWill SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Yes 77.2%
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Yes 8.8%
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Yes 4.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 17 - Oct 18)?
K 226.1K contractsWill it rain in West Palm Beach between Oct 17 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Trenton between Oct 17 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Seattle between Oct 17 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
PM $325.4K · K 867.0K contractsOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? (Before 2027)
Related contracts
PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 6.7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 18, 2026?
K 216.1K contractsWill it rain in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49%
Will it rain in Phoenix on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 27%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
PM $317.0KOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes 2.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will have a top 10 song this year?
K 207.4K contractsWill Don Toliver have a top 10 song this year?Yes 99.5%
Will Mariah Carey have a top 10 song this year?Yes 97%
Will Chappell Roan have a top 10 song this year?Yes 95.5%
+105 moreNext deadline Dec 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
PM $313.4KNext Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 91.5%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 32%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes 8.4%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027: Headliner
K 206.9K contractsWill Vampire Weekend be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%
Will Tyler, The Creator be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%
Will Travis Scott be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
PM $313.0KWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 5.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
K 204.1K contractsWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 30 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
PM $295.3KWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes 90.4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?Yes 2.6%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?Yes 2.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC