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Showing 433-480 of 8,373 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
K 146.7K contractsWhat will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? (Oil)Yes 62.5%
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? (Coal)Yes 13.5%
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? (Gas)Yes 6.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2032 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
PM $536.3KWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?Yes 13%
Will Israel annex any territory by March 31?Yes 10.5%
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Who will the next Pope be?
K 146.0K contractsWho will the next Pope be? (Luis Antonio Tagle)Yes 11.2%
Who will the next Pope be? (Pietro Parolin)Yes 4.9%
Who will the next Pope be? (Pierbattista Pizzaballa)Yes 3.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2070 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
PM $533.6KUkraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Boston Calling Music Festival 2027: Headliners
K 145.9K contractsWill Noah Kahan be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027?Yes 36.5%
Will The Strokes be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027?Yes 26.5%
Will Zach Bryan be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027?Yes 23.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
PM $525.8KWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 94.3%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 5.3%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms?
K 145.8K contractsWill Max Miller be out as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tim Walz charged by...?
PM $525.4KTim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
K 145.3K contractsWho will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Donald Trump)Yes 52%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Bill Clinton)Yes 48.5%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Naomi Campbell)Yes 45%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
PM $519.7K · K 556.7K contractsWill Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 10.6%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Ghislaine Maxwell receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.7%Rules differK Yes 8.7%
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Elizabeth Holmes receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.5%Rules differK Yes 8.1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
13 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
K 145.2K contractsWill Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 34.5%
Will Kansas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 24.5%
Will North Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 14.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $514.6KWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 45.1%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 24.9%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 8.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
K 143.4K contractsWill Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 be 7 or more?Yes 69.5%
Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 be exactly 6?Yes 24.5%
Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 be exactly 5?Yes 5.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
PM $514.3KWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Next Senate Democratic Leader?
K 143.4K contractsWill Chuck Schumer win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 81.5%
Will Brian Schatz win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 7.6%
Will Chris Murphy win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 7.1%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?
PM $510.0KWill the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?Yes 11%
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Nevada Governor winner?
PM $495.0K · K 1.63M contractsWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Nevada
Related contracts
PM Yes 57.5%Rules differK Yes 56.5%
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nevada
Related contracts
PM Yes 41.5%Rules differK Yes 44.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Chicago Mayor winner?
K 142.9K contractsWho will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? (Alexi Giannoulias)Yes 62.5%
Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? (Brandon Johnson)Yes 16.5%
Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? (Susana Mendoza)Yes 4.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Feb 23, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Unemployment in October
K 141.3K contractsWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.7% in October?Yes 99.5%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.8% in October?Yes 98.5%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in October?Yes 96.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
PM $487.1KWill Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
K 140.9K contractsWill the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 2,000 units?Yes 96.5%
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 2,500 units?Yes 82.5%
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,000 units?Yes 62.5%
+8 moreNext deadline May 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
PM $485.7KNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?
K 140.3K contractsWill legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time become law before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 37.5%
Will legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time become law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 23%
Will permanent daylight savings become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
PM $478.6KIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)
K 140.1K contractsWill the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 7 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96%
Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 6 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 5 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
PM $476.4KWill Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 71%
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 3.2%
Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 1.6%
+9 more
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
PM $471.1K · K 105.7K contractsWill "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?
Kalshi: Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1%Rules differK Yes 9.7%
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.8%Rules differK Yes 9.7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 popular vote margin of victory?
K 139.3K contractsWill Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 9.0% to 100.0%?Yes 23.5%
Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 8.0% to 8.99%?Yes 9.5%
Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 7.0% to 7.99%?Yes 8.5%
+17 moreNext deadline May 6, 2029 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
K 138.7K contractsWill Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 545,000 jobs?Yes 96.5%
Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 550,000 jobs?Yes 91.5%
Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 555,000 jobs?Yes 49.5%
+3 moreNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
PM $469.5KJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season
K 136.6K contractsWill Joe Burrow record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 73%
Will Patrick Mahomes record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 64.5%
Will Matthew Stafford record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 64.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SBF released from custody in 2026?
PM $468.2KSBF released from custody in 2026?Yes 2.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 136.5K contractsWill there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 89%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
PM $466.3KWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Yes 83%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?Yes 23%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
K 136.0K contractsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 9.5%
Will Jon Ossoff defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Ossoff as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8.5%
Will JD Vance defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
PM $463.6KWill Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?Yes 74.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Touchdowns
K 135.8K contractsRobert Tonyan: 2+ touchdownsYes 1.5%
Josh Williams: 1+ touchdownsYes 0.5%
Robert Tonyan: 1+ touchdownsYes 0.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
PM $460.6KU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
K 135.5K contractsWill Trump fire 0 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 87%
Will Trump fire 1 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 3.5%
Will Trump fire 2 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 3.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
PM $458.2KIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by December 31?Yes 9.2%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Ohio Governor winner?
PM $457.4K · K 2.66M contractsWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Ohio
Related contracts
PM Yes 72.5%Rules differK Yes 70.5%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Ohio
Related contracts
PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 30.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Senate margin of victory
K 135.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 89.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 68%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
K 134.3K contractsWill Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 4.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
PM $451.9KWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Yes 17%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-22 House winner?
K 133.8K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for FL-22?Yes 55.5%
Will Republican win the House race for FL-22?Yes 44.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
PM $446.7KUS x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Top U.S. Selling Album (Physical and Digital Sales Combined): 2026
K 132.7K contractsWill ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 81.5%
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 7%
Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 2.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
PM $446.3KWill oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 62.7%
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 31.4%
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 3.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC